Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo Result & Analysis

The match between Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win at 40%. Home win odds sit at 33%, a draw at 27%. The expected total goals is 2.9, but the most likely total is 2, occurring 24% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.7% chance. Novi Pazar, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Železničar Pančevo, on the road, averages 0.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals (79.5%), Over 19.5 fouls (92.5%), Under 11.5 corners (86.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (84.5%), Under 10.5 corners (78.5%), Over 23.5 fouls (72.8%) and Over 3.5 cards (70.9%). The remaining picks are Over 2.5 cards (85.9%) and Over 19.5 fouls (92.5%). The model’s edge percentages are noted where provided.

The match delivered a shock as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win, failed to materialise, ending in a 2-2 draw. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, confirming the upset. The model had assigned a 40% probability to the away victory, but the outcome proved otherwise. The suggested picks performed as follows: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 92.5%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 86.5%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 85.9%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 84.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 79.5%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 78.5%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 72.8%, and Over 3.5 cards missed at 70.9%. The home side, Novi Pazar, had recently drawn, while Železničar Pančevo entered the fixture on a win, yet neither side could secure the victory the model had predicted.