NSÍ II’s recent form has been shaky, with a 1-5 loss at home to TB and only one win in five matches. B71, on the other hand, has won every game away in their last five outings, scoring five times in a 5-3 win over B36 II. The model therefore favours an away win, giving B71 a 67% chance, while home and draw stand at 15% and 18% respectively. The expected total is four goals, and the most likely total is 6 +, with a 21% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 for B71, with an 8.7% chance.
Against a stronger opponent, NSÍ II averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.9 conceded at home, whereas B71, playing away against a weaker side, averages 2.46 scored and 1.69 conceded. The model’s suggested picks reflect this imbalance: Home under 3.5 goals (96%), Under 7.5 (95%), Away +2 handicap (93.9%), Away over 0.5 goals (93.3%), Over 1.5 (91.3%), Under 6.5 (89.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.3%) and Draw or Away (84.9%). Each selection is listed with its exact probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSÍ II win
15.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B71 win
67.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSÍ II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
3.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
2.70
1.40
2.40
1.93
3.00
vs Stronger (22)
1.50
3.00
1.30
2.90
1.67
3.08
vs Similar (8)
2.12
1.88
1.60
1.40
3.00
2.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.70
1.33
2.94
1.06
2.43
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.75
1.36
3.00
1.07
2.46
1.69
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.3%
Under 1.5
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.9%
Under 2.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
56.2%
Under 3.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.7%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-3
5.0%
NSÍ II goals ↓
B71 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.5%
4.4%
6.9%
6.2%
4.2%
1
1.7%
7.1%
8.7%
7.9%
5.3%
2
1.5%
4.1%
5.6%
5.0%
3.4%
3
0.6%
1.7%
2.4%
2.1%
1.4%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSÍ II goals (down), columns = B71 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
NSÍ II is 2.32 points worse than B71 in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 2.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
NSÍ II is 3.02 goals worse than B71 in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 3.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
NSÍ II is 2.71 goals worse than B71 in terms of goals conceded per game (3.71 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NSÍ II or Draw
32.9%
Avg Implied -
15%
18%
67%
covers NSÍ II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II or B71
82.2%
Avg Implied -
15%
18%
67%
covers NSÍ II + B71
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or B71
84.9%
Avg Implied -
15%
18%
67%
covers Draw + B71
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5
Over
72.0%
Under
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
Under
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5
Over
93.3%
Under
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5
Over
75.3%
Under
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5
Over
50.8%
Under
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 3.5
Over
28.7%
Under
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NSÍ II, so a minus line means NSÍ II give that many goals of a start and B71 receive them. At -1, NSÍ II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NSÍ II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II -2
1.9%
Draw -2
4.2%
B71 +2
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II -1
6.1%
Draw -1
9.0%
B71 +1
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II +1
32.9%
Draw +1
19.9%
B71 -1
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II +2
52.8%
Draw +2
19.0%
B71 -2
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSÍ II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.37
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.77
1.59
0.70
1.10
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.75
0.60
0.80
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.57
1.38
0.31
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.57
1.40
0.33
1.08
0.85
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSÍ II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.33
0.73
1.40
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
1.41
0.60
1.80
0.83
1.08
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.12
1.00
0.60
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.77
1.56
0.75
1.36
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.50
0.79
1.60
0.73
1.38
0.85
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →