NSÍ II and HB II are set to clash in the Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild on August 15th. Recent form suggests a high-scoring match, as NSÍ II has been struggling with 5 straight defeats, including a 1-4 loss to Víkingur II, while HB II has been inconsistent, with 2 straight defeats and a 0-3 loss to B36 II. This narrative is reinforced by the expected total goals of 3.5 and the most likely total goals being 3.
The model predicts an away win for HB II, with a 44% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring 10.1% of the time. NSÍ II has been averaging 2 goals scored at home, with no goals conceded, while HB II has averaged 1.5 goals scored away and 2 conceded against similar opponents.
The model's selection for this match is Over 1.5, with an 87.3% chance of occurrence. The home side's chances of winning are 32%, drawing is 24%, and the away side's chances of winning are 44%. The model's selections are: Over 1.5 (87.3%), with no other selections mentioned.
Results analysis
NSÍ II's 4-1 win over HB II was a major upset, extending their run of recent form. The model's selection, an away win, was incorrect, with HB II's pre-match probability of winning standing at 44%. The model's call was wrong, and HB II's run of three straight defeats was compounded by this loss. The model had also suggested an Over 1.5 total goals, which hit with a probability of 87.3%. The most likely total goals was 3, according to the model, but the actual score was 4-1. The final score was a far cry from the model's most likely scores, which included 1-1, 1-2, and 2-1.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSÍ II win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB II win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSÍ II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
2.57
1.19
2.56
2.36
2.57
vs Stronger (23)
1.48
2.91
1.25
2.92
1.73
2.91
vs Similar (7)
2.57
1.43
1.00
1.50
4.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.90
1.12
3.00
0.93
2.79
vs Stronger (24)
0.71
2.83
0.62
2.69
0.82
3.00
vs Similar (6)
2.33
3.17
3.33
4.33
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.7%
No
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.4%
NSÍ II goals ↓
HB II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
4.9%
5.5%
3.5%
1.7%
1
3.9%
10%
8.7%
5.5%
2.6%
2
3.9%
7.3%
7.0%
4.4%
2.1%
3
2.0%
3.9%
3.7%
2.3%
1.1%
4
0.8%
1.6%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSÍ II goals (down), columns = HB II goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
NSÍ II is 0.35 points worse than HB II in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
NSÍ II is 0.48 goals worse than HB II in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
NSÍ II is 1.60 goals worse than HB II in terms of goals conceded per game (3.71 vs 2.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSÍ II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.23
0.62
1.00
1.29
1.50
vs Stronger (23)
0.78
1.43
0.75
1.08
0.82
1.82
vs Similar (7)
1.43
0.57
0.25
0.75
3.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.27
0.56
1.56
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
1.21
0.23
1.38
0.45
1.00
vs Similar (6)
1.17
1.50
2.00
2.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSÍ II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.33
0.56
1.56
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (23)
0.70
1.48
0.50
1.83
0.91
1.09
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.86
0.75
0.75
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.63
0.56
1.44
0.50
1.86
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
1.62
0.38
1.31
0.36
2.00
vs Similar (6)
1.17
1.67
1.33
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
NSÍ II and HB II have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
NSÍ II and HB II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
E/S (6)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
NSÍ II and HB II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
NSÍ II and HB II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
Suduroy
ÍF II
TB
Hoyvík
B36 II
EB / Streymur II