NSÍ II face Víkingsur II at home, but the model rates the away side as the clear favourite, giving the away win a 64% probability. The strong home form of NSÍ II (1.3 goals scored, 2.9 conceded against a stronger opponent) contrasts sharply with Víkingsur II’s robust away attack (4.33 scored, 1.33 conceded against a weaker opponent), explaining the model’s bias. The expected total is 4.4 goals, with the most likely total being 6+ at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7.9% chance. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 18%, 18% and 64% respectively. Suggested picks include Away over 0.5 goals (94%), Over 1.5 (93.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (93%), Under 7.5 (92.5%), Away +2 handicap (91.7%), Under 6.5 (84.9%), Home or Away (82.2%) and Draw or Away (81.6%). The recent form shows NSÍ II struggling after two straight defeats, while Víkingsur II comes off a win, reinforcing the model’s preference for the away victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSÍ II win
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II win
63.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSÍ II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
3.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
2.70
1.40
2.40
1.93
3.00
vs Stronger (22)
1.50
3.00
1.30
2.90
1.67
3.08
vs Similar (8)
2.12
1.88
1.60
1.40
3.00
2.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
1.60
2.19
1.38
2.64
1.86
vs Stronger (10)
2.10
2.00
2.60
2.00
1.60
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.38
1.75
1.60
1.20
1.00
2.67
vs Weaker (12)
3.33
1.17
2.33
1.00
4.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
93.7%
Under 1.5
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81.0%
Under 2.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
74.3%
No
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.9%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-3
5.7%
1-4
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
NSÍ II goals ↓
Víkingur II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.8%
3.1%
5.1%
4.8%
3.4%
1
1.4%
6.1%
7.9%
7.4%
5.2%
2
1.5%
4.3%
6.0%
5.7%
4.0%
3
0.8%
2.2%
3.1%
2.9%
2.0%
4
0.3%
0.8%
1.2%
1.1%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSÍ II goals (down), columns = Víkingur II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
NSÍ II is 2.20 points worse than Víkingur II in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 2.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
NSÍ II is 2.27 goals worse than Víkingur II in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 3.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
NSÍ II is 2.46 goals worse than Víkingur II in terms of goals conceded per game (3.71 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NSÍ II or Draw
36.2%
Avg Implied -
18%
18%
64%
covers NSÍ II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II or Víkingur II
82.2%
Avg Implied -
18%
18%
64%
covers NSÍ II + Víkingur II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Víkingur II
81.6%
Avg Implied -
18%
18%
64%
covers Draw + Víkingur II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5
Over
78.4%
Under
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5
Over
45.4%
Under
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 3.5
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5
Over
94.0%
Under
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5
Over
53.6%
Under
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 3.5
Over
31.3%
Under
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NSÍ II, so a minus line means NSÍ II give that many goals of a start and Víkingur II receive them. At -1, NSÍ II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NSÍ II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II -2
3.0%
Draw -2
5.3%
Víkingur II +2
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II -1
8.3%
Draw -1
10.1%
Víkingur II +1
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II +1
36.2%
Draw +1
19.1%
Víkingur II -1
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (NSÍ II)
NSÍ II +2
55.3%
Draw +2
17.9%
Víkingur II -2
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSÍ II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.37
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.77
1.59
0.70
1.10
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.75
0.60
0.80
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.70
1.38
0.81
1.29
0.57
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
0.80
1.40
1.20
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
0.80
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
2.00
0.58
1.83
0.67
2.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSÍ II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.33
0.73
1.40
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
1.41
0.60
1.80
0.83
1.08
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.12
1.00
0.60
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.90
0.81
0.56
1.36
1.29
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.20
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.60
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.58
0.50
0.33
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away over 0.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
NSÍ II and Víkingur II have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
NSÍ II and Víkingur II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
E/S (6)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
NSÍ II and Víkingur II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
NSÍ II and Víkingur II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →