This match is expected to be a one-sided affair, with OH Leuven struggling to contain the high-scoring Club Brugge KV. The away side's recent form has been impressive, with two consecutive wins, while OH Leuven has been on a downward spiral, suffering two straight defeats.
Club Brugge KV is the clear favourite to win, with a 61% probability of victory, while OH Leuven's chances are slim at 17%. The draw is also a possibility, with a 22% probability.
The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.4%.
In terms of scoring, OH Leuven has struggled at home, averaging 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per match against stronger opponents. Club Brugge KV has been clinical on the road, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is an Away win, with a 61% probability. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 selection, with an 82.7% probability of occurrence. The home win percentage is 17%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 61%.
Club Brugge KV's winning streak continues, extending their run to four matches after a 3-0 victory over OH Leuven. The win was a convincing one, with the away side dominating the match. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 61%. The model's call was spot on, as it correctly predicted the favourite would prevail.
The model's selection of an away win hit, as did the selection of Over 1.5 goals, which came in with a probability of 82.7%. The model also correctly suggested a score of 0-3, which was the actual outcome.
OH Leuven| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 1.47 | 1.13 | 1.40 | 1.13 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (18) | 1.06 | 1.56 | 0.89 | 1.89 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Club Brugge KV| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.70 | 1.37 | 3.12 | 1.25 | 2.21 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 2.70 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 2.84 | 1.05 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Club Brugge KV goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 10% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
OH Leuven
Club Brugge KV
OH Leuven| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.9 | 11.0 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 25.3 | 25.6 | 25.0 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 11.2 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 25.4 | 24.9 | 26.0 |
| vs Similar (32) | 10.8 | 11.2 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 25.2 | 25.9 | 24.4 |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 65% | 71% | 58% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| % under line | 35% | 29% | 42% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Club Brugge KV| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 20.3 | 19.5 | 21.0 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 6.3 | 4.5 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 17.7 | 18.0 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (15) | 10.5 | 11.7 | 9.4 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 20.7 | 20.3 | 21.1 |
| vs Weaker (32) | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 20.3 | 19.4 | 21.2 |
| % over line | 57% | 54% | 61% | 38% | 28% | 48% | 38% | 29% | 48% |
| % under line | 43% | 46% | 39% | 62% | 72% | 52% | 62% | 71% | 52% |
OH Leuven| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.27 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 0.58 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| vs Similar (18) | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
Club Brugge KV| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.27 | 0.53 | 1.56 | 0.44 | 0.93 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 1.50 | 0.70 | 1.80 | 0.60 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 1.21 | 0.42 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
OH Leuven| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| vs Similar (18) | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 0.56 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Club Brugge KV| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.43 | 0.83 | 1.56 | 0.81 | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 1.63 | 0.63 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.13 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 80.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 76.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 73.5% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +15.3% | - |
| Over 8.5 corners | 73.4% | 1.30 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | - | +3.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 71.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/12/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 18/10/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 08/02/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 07/01/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 02/11/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 10/03/24 | A | 3-1 | |
| 26/11/23 | H | 0-1 |
OH Leuven| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 19/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 15/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 21/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 0-0 |
Club Brugge KV| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 21/05/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 6-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Charleroi | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 2.8 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 9.5 | 50% | 2.3 | 33% | 20.2 | 50% | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 50% |
| 2 | Gent | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 7.8 | 25% | 3.2 | 25% | 20.2 | 50% | 58 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 49% |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 8.0 | 25% | 3.5 | 50% | 24.0 | 75% | 98 | 32 | 38 | 28 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 52% |
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 2.5 | 75% | 75% | 0% | 11.5 | 50% | 3.7 | 33% | 19.2 | 25% | 196 | 92 | 23 | 81 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 60% |
| 5 | Zulte Waregem | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 9.5 | 50% | 2.8 | 25% | 26.5 | 75% | 20 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 48% |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 10.0 | 25% | 3.5 | 50% | 22.0 | 75% | 54 | 14 | 8 | 31 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 44% |
| 7 | Genk | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 5.0 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 9.5 | 25% | 3.2 | 50% | 22.8 | 75% | 113 | 39 | 19 | 55 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 58% |
| 8 | Lommel United | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 11.0 | 50% | 2.3 | 33% | 17.5 | 0% | 26 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 45% |
| 9 | Antwerp | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 25% | 2.8 | 50% | 21.0 | 75% | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 49% |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 10.0 | 50% | 3.8 | 75% | 25.2 | 100% | 91 | 50 | 18 | 24 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 53% |
| 11 | St. Truiden | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 4.0 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 8.0 | 25% | 3.2 | 50% | 20.8 | 50% | 30 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 55% |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 9.2 | 25% | 2.5 | 25% | 19.0 | 50% | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | - |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 14.2 | 100% | 2.8 | 25% | 18.8 | 25% | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 6.0 | 0% | 2.7 | 33% | 22.0 | 75% | 45 | 13 | 7 | 25 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 49% |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 8.2 | 25% | 4.0 | 75% | 21.2 | 50% | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 39% |
| 16 | KVC Westerlo | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 10.0 | 50% | 3.3 | 33% | 23.5 | 50% | 38 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 49% |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 12.0 | 50% | 3.7 | 67% | 18.2 | 0% | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 46% |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 10.0 | 50% | 2.2 | 25% | 20.8 | 50% | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | - |