This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.63
2.14
1.43
1.44
1.81
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
2.17
2.00
1.00
1.00
3.33
vs Similar (19)
1.95
1.47
2.33
1.56
1.60
1.40
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.60
1.50
1.50
1.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.3%
@ 1.54+0.2%
Under 2.5
38.7%
@ 2.42-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.0%
Under 3.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.2%
No
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
OH Leuven goals ↓
KV Mechelen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
5.8%
5.6%
3.0%
1.2%
1
5.4%
12%
8.6%
4.7%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.1%
6.6%
3.6%
1.5%
3
2.6%
4.2%
3.4%
1.8%
0.8%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OH Leuven goals (down), columns = KV Mechelen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
OH Leuven is 0.32 points worse than KV Mechelen in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
OH Leuven is 0.29 goals worse than KV Mechelen in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
OH Leuven is 0.09 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OH Leuven
For 5.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
For 5.1 · Against 7.2 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OH Leuven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.4
5.0
5.2
4.9
23.6
22.9
24.4
vs Stronger (16)
12.4
11.3
13.2
4.5
3.6
5.2
21.6
19.9
23.0
vs Similar (26)
9.8
9.1
10.5
5.2
5.9
4.4
24.9
24.8
25.0
vs Weaker (8)
10.0
9.8
10.3
5.8
5.4
6.3
23.5
22.0
26.0
% over line
56%
44%
68%
76%
80%
72%
64%
56%
72%
% under line
44%
56%
32%
24%
20%
28%
36%
44%
28%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.8
3.8
4.2
3.4
24.2
24.0
24.4
vs Stronger (10)
9.3
11.6
7.0
2.9
3.8
2.0
25.6
27.0
24.2
vs Similar (32)
10.6
9.4
11.8
3.8
4.5
3.2
24.4
23.9
25.0
vs Weaker (8)
11.9
12.2
11.5
4.6
3.5
5.8
21.4
20.5
22.2
% over line
62%
60%
64%
46%
60%
32%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
38%
40%
36%
54%
40%
68%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Antwerp
11.0
Beerschot VA
10.9
OH Leuven
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Eupen
10.6
Oostende
10.5
KV Mechelen
10.5
Union St. Gilloise
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Kortrijk
10.3
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Gent
10.1
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Genk
9.8
Seraing
9.6
St. Truiden
9.5
Standard Liege
9.3
Anderlecht
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
5.0
Seraing
4.8
Standard Liege
4.8
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Antwerp
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Beerschot VA
4.5
Kortrijk
4.5
Eupen
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.2
St. Truiden
4.2
Oostende
4.1
Gent
4.1
Genk
3.9
Charleroi
3.8
Anderlecht
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.9
Kortrijk
26.5
Cercle Brugge
25.7
St. Truiden
25.5
Gent
25.1
Beerschot VA
24.9
Union St. Gilloise
24.7
Anderlecht
24.2
KV Mechelen
24.2
Genk
24.1
Seraing
24.0
Zulte Waregem
23.9
Club Brugge KV
23.8
OH Leuven
23.6
Oostende
23.3
Eupen
22.8
Charleroi
22.4
Antwerp
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
65.2%
Under 9.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.3%
Under 21.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OH Leuven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.90
0.50
0.75
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.50
0.75
0.38
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.00
0.64
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.63
1.33
0.78
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OH Leuven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
0.93
0.93
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.20
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.81
1.00
0.62
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
1.14
0.79
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.33
1.67
0.33
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.84
1.00
0.78
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
1.20
1.00
1.50
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
OH Leuven · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Kaba20%
Roggerio Nyakossi15%
Henok Teklab12%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Siebe Schrijvers10%
Łukasz Łakomy9%
Youssef Maziz8%
Abdoul Karim Traoré8%
Thibaud Verlinden8%
Kyan Vaesen8%
Ewoud Pletinckx8%
Óscar Gil6%
Noë Dussenne4%
Wouter George4%
Mathieu Maertens3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Takuma Ominami0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Davis Opoku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nachon Nsingi50%
Óscar Gil39%
Birger Verstraete35%
Thibault Vlietinck33%
Noë Dussenne26%
Siebe Schrijvers20%
Sory Kaba20%
Łukasz Łakomy19%
Youssef Maziz17%
Casper Terho17%
Henok Teklab16%
Thibaud Verlinden15%
Kyan Vaesen15%
Roggerio Nyakossi15%
Mathieu Maertens14%
Jovan Mijatović14%
Takuma Ominami14%
Takahiro Akimoto13%
Abdoul Karim Traoré12%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Maxence Prévot11%
Ewoud Pletinckx10%
Davis Opoku10%
Wouter George8%
Tobe Leysen6%
William Balikwisha0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibaud Verlinden15%
Youssef Maziz11%
Siebe Schrijvers10%
Davis Opoku10%
Łukasz Łakomy9%
Mathieu Maertens9%
Jovan Mijatović7%
Sory Kaba7%
Takuma Ominami5%
Wouter George4%
Abdoul Karim Traoré4%
Óscar Gil3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Henok Teklab0%
Roggerio Nyakossi0%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathieu Maertens20%
Sory Kaba13%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Henok Teklab8%
Abdoul Karim Traoré8%
Roggerio Nyakossi7%
Jovan Mijatović7%
Siebe Schrijvers7%
Łukasz Łakomy6%
Youssef Maziz6%
Ewoud Pletinckx5%
Óscar Gil3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Thibaud Verlinden0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Takuma Ominami0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Wouter George0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Davis Opoku0%
KV Mechelen · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Myron Van Brederode50%
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Massimo Decoene33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Fredrik Hammar25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Adeshina Ayodele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
BV (26)
€9m
OH Leuven's squad is €15m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€30m vs €45m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
OH Leuven's attack is €6m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€7m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
BV (2)
€0m
OH Leuven's midfield is €1m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€6m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
OH Leuven's defence is €8m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€17m vs €25m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Charleroi
Genk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA