This opponent (Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.67
1.13
1.67
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (17)
1.00
2.06
1.22
2.44
0.75
1.62
vs Similar (13)
1.38
1.15
1.00
0.50
1.71
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
Oliveirense goals ↓
Belenenses goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
8.3%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
1
8.5%
14%
8.1%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.4%
8.3%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
3
2.8%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oliveirense goals (down), columns = Belenenses goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Moreirense
2.32
Farense
2.03
Vilaverdense
2.00
Estrela
1.85
Academico Viseu
1.56
FC Porto B
1.50
Mafra
1.38
Vilafranquense
1.35
Feirense
1.35
Torreense
1.29
Oliveirense
1.26
Tondela
1.18
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.15
Nacional
1.15
Benfica B
1.12
Belenenses
1.00
Trofense
0.94
SC Covilha
0.82
Oliveirense is 0.26 points better than Belenenses in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Moreirense
2.26
Farense
1.68
Estrela
1.62
Benfica B
1.53
Oliveirense
1.50
Academico Viseu
1.50
FC Porto B
1.41
Mafra
1.35
Feirense
1.26
Vilafranquense
1.24
Belenenses
1.17
Leixoes
1.12
Torreense
1.12
Penafiel
1.06
Tondela
1.03
Nacional
1.03
Vilaverdense
1.00
SC Covilha
0.91
Trofense
0.91
Oliveirense is 0.33 goals better than Belenenses in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vilaverdense
0.50
Farense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
Estrela
1.03
Vilafranquense
1.06
Feirense
1.09
Moreirense
1.12
FC Porto B
1.18
Torreense
1.21
Academico Viseu
1.32
Nacional
1.35
Penafiel
1.38
Leixoes
1.44
Mafra
1.44
Oliveirense
1.47
Trofense
1.50
SC Covilha
1.68
Belenenses
1.69
Benfica B
1.71
Oliveirense is 0.22 goals better than Belenenses in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Oliveirense
56%
Estrela
54%
Farense
53%
Mafra
53%
Moreirense
53%
Benfica B
52%
Vilafranquense
52%
Academico Viseu
51%
Torreense
51%
Penafiel
50%
FC Porto B
50%
Tondela
48%
Feirense
47%
SC Covilha
47%
Leixoes
46%
Belenenses
46%
Nacional
46%
Trofense
40%
Oliveirense is 10.1 percentage points better than Belenenses in terms of average possession (56% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oliveirense
For 4.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 18.7 · Total 33.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Belenenses
For 5.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oliveirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
10.5
12.0
9.0
2.9
3.0
2.8
33.5
33.7
33.3
vs Stronger (7)
12.3
18.0
9.5
2.7
2.5
2.8
33.0
36.0
31.5
vs Similar (8)
8.7
9.0
8.0
3.0
3.2
2.7
34.0
32.5
37.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
40%
43%
38%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
60%
57%
62%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.3
5.3
5.4
5.2
31.4
31.1
31.7
vs Stronger (30)
10.6
10.5
10.8
5.4
5.2
5.6
30.3
29.4
31.3
vs Similar (20)
9.5
9.3
9.7
5.2
5.8
4.8
33.1
34.3
32.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
72%
71%
73%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
28%
29%
27%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Academico Viseu
13.0
Estrela
12.8
FC Porto B
12.0
Leixoes
11.7
SC Covilha
11.3
Nacional
11.1
Trofense
10.9
Farense
10.8
Oliveirense
10.5
Moreirense
10.3
Belenenses
10.3
Penafiel
10.3
Feirense
10.0
Tondela
9.7
Torreense
9.3
Benfica B
8.6
Vilafranquense
8.6
Mafra
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Estrela
7.6
Oliveirense
7.2
Torreense
7.1
Trofense
7.1
Academico Viseu
6.8
Moreirense
6.7
FC Porto B
6.7
Benfica B
6.4
Belenenses
6.3
Vilafranquense
6.1
Tondela
6.0
Leixoes
6.0
Mafra
6.0
Farense
5.8
Penafiel
5.4
Nacional
5.4
SC Covilha
5.3
Feirense
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
35.6
Torreense
34.9
Vilafranquense
33.6
Oliveirense
33.5
Farense
33.2
Penafiel
32.7
Trofense
31.9
FC Porto B
31.7
Nacional
31.5
Estrela
30.8
Belenenses
30.8
Tondela
30.2
Leixoes
30.1
SC Covilha
30.0
Moreirense
29.1
Mafra
28.9
Academico Viseu
28.3
Benfica B
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.7%
Under 9.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
89.1%
Under 3.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.2%
Under 21.5
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oliveirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.57
0.43
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.50
0.80
0.40
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.76
0.56
0.78
0.38
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.46
0.50
0.33
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oliveirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oliveirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oliveirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oliveirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.86
0.43
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.62
0.60
0.20
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Belenenses) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.03
0.60
1.07
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
1.29
0.67
1.67
0.38
0.88
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
0.50
0.17
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oliveirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oliveirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oliveirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oliveirense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armando Lopes22%
Bruno Silva18%
Luís Bastos17%
Bura11%
Manga Foe Ondoa10%
Pedro Martelo9%
Joao Silva9%
Sabino0%
Douglas Borel0%
Ricardo Ribeiro0%
Joanderson0%
Diogo Pereira0%
Simão Martins0%
Lucas Henrique0%
Nuno Namora0%
Amadou Diallo0%
João Adriano0%
Tiago Brito0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Vasco Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustavo Silva67%
Joao Silva55%
Sabino45%
Tiago Brito40%
Manga Foe Ondoa30%
Vasco Santos29%
Simão Martins20%
João Adriano20%
Ricardo Ribeiro18%
Pedro Martelo18%
Luís Bastos17%
Diogo Pereira11%
Armando Lopes11%
Nuno Namora9%
Douglas Borel0%
Bura0%
Joanderson0%
Bruno Silva0%
Lucas Henrique0%
Amadou Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lucas Henrique17%
Armando Lopes11%
Pedro Martelo9%
Nuno Namora9%
Sabino0%
Douglas Borel0%
Ricardo Ribeiro0%
Bura0%
Joanderson0%
Bruno Silva0%
Diogo Pereira0%
Simão Martins0%
Joao Silva0%
Luís Bastos0%
Amadou Diallo0%
João Adriano0%
Tiago Brito0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Manga Foe Ondoa0%
Vasco Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joao Silva27%
Amadou Diallo17%
Bura11%
Manga Foe Ondoa10%
Sabino9%
Pedro Martelo9%
Bruno Silva9%
Douglas Borel0%
Ricardo Ribeiro0%
Joanderson0%
Diogo Pereira0%
Simão Martins0%
Lucas Henrique0%
Luís Bastos0%
Nuno Namora0%
Armando Lopes0%
João Adriano0%
Tiago Brito0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Vasco Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Moreirense
Farense
Estrela
Academico Viseu
FC Porto B
Mafra
Feirense
Vilafranquense
Torreense
Tondela
Leixoes
Penafiel
Nacional
Benfica B
Trofense
SC Covilha
Vilaverdense