Olympiakos Piraeus hosts Atromitos in the Greece: Super League 1. Recent form suggests that Olympiakos Piraeus is coming off a defeat, while Atromitos is on a high after a 6-0 win over Panserraikos. Olympiakos Piraeus has a 60% chance of winning, while Atromitos has a 15% chance of taking the three points. The model predicts a home win, with an expected total of 2.5 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a probability of 13.4%.
At home, Olympiakos Piraeus has scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.33 goals against weaker opponents. Away, Atromitos has scored an average of 1 goal but conceded 1.4 goals against stronger opponents. The model suggests taking the under 3.5 goals, with a 76% probability and a 10% edge. The under 3.5 goals is the model's selection with a 76% probability. The over 21.5 fouls is the model's selection with a 90.1% probability, and the over 1.5 goals is the model's selection with a 72.2% probability. The home win percentage is 60%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 15%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Olympiakos Piraeus secured a 1-0 win over Atromitos, extending their recent victory streak. The pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned a 63 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline of 2-0, 1-0 or 1-1 all carried a 12.8 % chance, with 2-0 and 1-0 each at 12.8 %. The model’s selections performed impressively: Under 7.5 (99.7 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (99.4 %) hit, Under 6.5 (98.9 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.6 %) hit, Under 5.5 (96.5 %) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (96.5 %) hit, and Home +2 handicap (95.8 %) hit. The outcome matched the model’s expectations across the board.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus win✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Dafabet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.43
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.01
Dafabet
5.80
Superbet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Atromitos win✗ Miss
13.3%
Avg Implied 7.8% · @ 11.88
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
BetVictor
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Pinnacle
12.63
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.09
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.63
0.21
1.56
0.22
1.70
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.13
1.60
1.13
1.33
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.06
1.12
1.25
1.40
0.90
vs Weaker (4)
3.75
0.75
3.67
1.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.2%
@ 1.22-2.6%
Under 1.5
25.8%
@ 4.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.13
Betano
4.10
Superbet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.0%
@ 1.71-6.9%
Under 2.5
52.0%
@ 2.08+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
SBO
1.75
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
@ 2.78-7.4%
Under 3.5
73.7%
@ 1.41+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.82
BetVictor
2.80
Under
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.1%
@ 2.28+4.5%
No
54.9%
@ 1.56-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Betano
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
No
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.8%@ 5.35+4.5%
1-0 ✓
12.8%@ 5.91+5.3%
1-1
11.3%@ 9.81+6.7%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.39+4.2%
0-0
8.5%@ 11.95+4.8%
3-0
7.9%@ 6.87+1.4%
3-1
5.9%@ 11.14+1.9%
0-1
4.5%@ 23.01+2.6%
Olympiakos Piraeus goals ↓
Atromitos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
4.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
1
13%
11%
3.8%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.5%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.9%
5.9%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.7%
2.7%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (down), columns = Atromitos goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.83 points better than Atromitos in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.28 goals better than Atromitos in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.68 goals better than Atromitos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Olympiakos Piraeus is 7.6 percentage points better than Atromitos in terms of average possession (60% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 4.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 6.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atromitos
For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.6
7.3
3.7
3.1
4.3
25.2
23.7
26.6
vs Stronger (3)
8.3
8.0
8.5
4.3
3.0
5.0
22.3
19.0
24.0
vs Similar (14)
7.9
8.3
7.5
3.6
3.0
4.3
22.3
20.7
24.2
vs Weaker (33)
8.7
10.4
7.1
3.7
3.1
4.2
26.8
25.5
27.9
% over line
31%
41%
22%
46%
32%
60%
69%
68%
70%
% under line
69%
59%
78%
54%
68%
40%
31%
32%
30%
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.3
9.3
4.1
4.3
3.9
30.7
30.8
30.7
vs Stronger (14)
8.3
8.7
8.0
3.4
3.4
3.3
29.4
30.0
28.8
vs Similar (31)
8.9
8.3
9.5
4.5
5.1
3.8
31.3
31.2
31.5
vs Weaker (5)
9.2
7.0
11.5
4.2
2.3
7.0
30.5
30.0
31.0
% over line
41%
35%
48%
64%
65%
62%
95%
96%
95%
% under line
59%
65%
52%
36%
35%
38%
5%
4%
5%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
OFI
9.0
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Atromitos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.4
Kalamata
7.0
Iraklis 1908
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
OFI
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
AEK Athens FC
5.6
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Panetolikos
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Iraklis 1908
5.0
Atromitos
4.8
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Kalamata
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
37.0
Kifisia
32.2
Atromitos
30.3
Levadiakos
30.3
Volos NFC
30.3
AEK Athens FC
29.6
OFI
28.5
Panathinaikos
28.3
Aris Thessalonikis
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.1%
@ 1.99-6.4%
Under 9.5
59.9%
@ 1.73+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.79
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.1%
@ 1.57+8.7%
Under 3.5
31.9%
@ 2.29-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.48
Under
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.1%
Under 21.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw✓ Hit
85.7%
Avg Implied 91.4% · @ 1.03
Edge
-5.7%
63%
24%
13%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
Olympiakos Piraeus or Atromitos✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 83.6% · @ 1.13
Edge
-9.5%
63%
24%
13%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + Atromitos
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Draw or Atromitos✗ Miss
40.3%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.77
Edge
+15.2%
63%
24%
13%
covers Draw + Atromitos
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.20
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.88
William Hil
3.75
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.4%
@ 1.06-6.9%
Under
18.6%
@ 8.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Under
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.1%
@ 1.39-16.5%
Under
49.9%
@ 2.79+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
BetVictor
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.8%
@ 2.24-17.6%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.59+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
BetVictor
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 4.10-13.6%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.20+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Superbet
4.20
888Sport
4.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Atromitos over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
50.8%
@ 2.15+7.5%
Under
49.2%
@ 1.64-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Under
888Sport
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Atromitos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 6.82+2.2%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.08-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Atromitos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 23.00-0.7%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Atromitos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 90.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
90.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Olympiakos Piraeus, so a minus line means Olympiakos Piraeus give that many goals of a start and Atromitos receive them. At -1, Olympiakos Piraeus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olympiakos Piraeus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
1.13
0.40
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.38
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.25
2.33
0.33
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.31+1.9%
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 3.26-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.34
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.49-4.6%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.48+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.9%
@ 5.86-4.0%
Under 2.5
88.1%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.80
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
60.1%
@ 1.45-4.1%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.60+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
10Bet
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 3.10-9.6%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.32+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 7.75-6.8%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.05+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Atromitos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
30.6%
@ 3.96+7.2%
Under
69.4%
@ 1.21-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.60
Marathonbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Atromitos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 17.17-0.1%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Atromitos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 85.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
85.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.17
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.11
0.44
0.00
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.47
0.73
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.50
0.12
0.75
0.90
0.30
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.6%
Under 0.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.2%
Under 1.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.1%
Under 2.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.4%
Under
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.4%
Under
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.5%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.9%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
1.23
Betano
1.23
-
-
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
84.1%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.2%
1.25
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.7%
1.32
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.2%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
+17.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-2.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.0%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
-9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.7%
1.41
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.3%
1.31
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.7%
1.44
Unibet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Jota Silva25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodinei67%
Santiago Hezze67%
Panagiotis Retsos33%
Lorenzo Scipioni33%
Gustavo Sá33%
Gelson Martins25%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Sá33%
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Joel Roca25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Atromitos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Zuber22%
Makana Baku20%
Denzel Jubitana16%
Ognjen Ožegović14%
Stavros Pnevmonidis14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Mansur12%
Brayan Palmezano11%
Gerasimos Mitoglou11%
Samuel Moutoussamy11%
Panagiotis Tsantilas10%
Georgios Tzovaras10%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis7%
Peter Michorl6%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos6%
Tom van Weert5%
Athanasios Karamanis5%
Theocharis Tsingaras3%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Jere Uronen0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Quini0%
Aitor García0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Mattheos Mountes0%
Ehije Ukaki0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Tsakmakis47%
Luka Gugeshashvili33%
Ognjen Ožegović29%
Athanasios Karamanis29%
Peter Michorl28%
Quini28%
Theocharis Tsingaras25%
Georgios Papadopoulos25%
Spyros Abartzidis25%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos21%
Mattheos Mountes19%
Aitor García18%
Samuel Moutoussamy18%
Steven Zuber17%
Mansur15%
Lefteris Choutesiotis13%
Brayan Palmezano11%
Gerasimos Mitoglou11%
Jere Uronen10%
Stavros Pnevmonidis7%
Panagiotis Tsantilas7%
Denzel Jubitana6%
Ehije Ukaki6%
Makana Baku6%
Tom van Weert5%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Michorl22%
Aitor García18%
Makana Baku14%
Stavros Pnevmonidis14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Ehije Ukaki12%
Jere Uronen10%
Athanasios Karamanis10%
Theocharis Tsingaras9%
Ognjen Ožegović7%
Denzel Jubitana6%
Tom van Weert5%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Mattheos Mountes4%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Steven Zuber0%
Mansur0%
Brayan Palmezano0%
Samuel Moutoussamy0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos0%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis0%
Quini0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Panagiotis Tsantilas0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Zuber28%
Makana Baku17%
Denzel Jubitana13%
Ognjen Ožegović7%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Panagiotis Tsantilas3%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Jere Uronen0%
Theocharis Tsingaras0%
Peter Michorl0%
Mansur0%
Brayan Palmezano0%
Tom van Weert0%
Samuel Moutoussamy0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis0%
Quini0%
Aitor García0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Athanasios Karamanis0%
Mattheos Mountes0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Ehije Ukaki0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Olympiakos Piraeus's squad is €163m more valuable than Atromitos's (€175m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Olympiakos Piraeus's attack is €80m more valuable than Atromitos's (€84m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Olympiakos Piraeus's midfield is €45m more valuable than Atromitos's (€47m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Olympiakos Piraeus's defence is €38m more valuable than Atromitos's (€44m vs €6m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos