Olympiakos Piraeus vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus are the clear favourite, with a 77% chance of winning, 18% for a draw and only 5% for Larisa to take the match. The model picks a home win as the most likely result, driven by Olympiakos’ strong 2.6 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded at home against weaker opposition, while Larisa averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road against stronger teams. The expected total is 2.6 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 at 17.7%. Over 19.5 fouls, over 21.5 fouls, over 2.5 cards, over 23.5 fouls, under 11.5 corners, under 3.5 and over 1.5 are all the model’s selections, with probabilities ranging from 74.6% to 95.5%. The home side’s recent form shows a 2-game winning run, while Larisa also enjoys a 2-game winning streak. These factors combine to give Olympiakos a decisive edge in the match.

The pre-match favourite, Olympiakos Piraeus, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The model had given the home side a 77% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The game was a surprise, with both teams failing to score despite Olympiakos’ strong home form, noted as a two-game winning run, and Larisa’s recent two-game winning streak. The model’s other selections performed largely as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 90.0%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 85.7%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 80.9%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 79.7%, Under 3.5 hit at 74.6%, while Home win missed at 76.7% and Over 1.5 missed at 73.1%.