Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK Result & Analysis

The contest between Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest: Olympiakos averages 2.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded at home against similar opponents, while PAOK, on the road, has managed only 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded against comparable opposition. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a fairly open game, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability, even though the final outcome will likely be a 2-1 victory for the hosts. The probabilities of each result are 37% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 36% for an away win. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (91.9%), Over 2.5 cards (90.9%), Over 21.5 fouls (83.5%), Under 11.5 corners (82.1%), Over 3.5 cards (79.3%), Over 1.5 goals (78.1%), Under 10.5 corners (72.8%) and Over 23.5 fouls (71.4%). Olympiakos, unbeaten in their last five, last beat Atromitos 1-0, while PAOK, after a recent defeat, lost 2-3 to Brann. The match remains finely balanced, but the model’s pick points to a home win.

Olympiakos Piraeus, unbeaten in their last five, extended their good run with a 2-1 win over PAOK, who were coming off a defeat. The model’s favourite was a home win, assigned a 37% probability, and it proved correct. The final score of 2-1 matched the actual result, confirming the predicted outcome. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.3%, Over 1.5 at 78.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 72.8%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.4%. All picks settled as hit.