This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.17
1.88
1.12
1.38
1.23
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.70
1.22
2.00
1.21
1.38
1.23
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympic Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.3%
0-1
11.7%
1-1 ✓
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.2%
Olympic Charleroi goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
12%
12%
7.9%
3.8%
1
4.2%
11%
9.7%
6.2%
3.0%
2
2.1%
4.0%
3.8%
2.5%
1.2%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympic Charleroi goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
Olympic Charleroi is 1.16 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
Olympic Charleroi is 0.56 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
Olympic Charleroi is 0.91 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Olympic Charleroi is 4.0 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (48% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Olympic Charleroi
For 4.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 5.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympic Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
10.7
10.7
-
0.8
1.6
0.0
22.3
22.3
-
vs Stronger (15)
10.7
10.7
-
0.9
1.6
0.0
22.3
22.3
-
vs Similar (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
33%
-
12%
25%
0%
33%
33%
-
% under line
67%
67%
-
88%
75%
100%
67%
67%
-
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.1
10.6
4.0
3.5
4.5
25.3
26.7
24.1
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.8
10.8
10.7
4.1
3.8
4.4
25.1
26.6
23.8
vs Weaker (3)
12.0
16.0
8.0
3.3
2.0
6.0
28.5
29.0
28.0
% over line
58%
50%
65%
56%
54%
58%
74%
78%
70%
% under line
42%
50%
35%
44%
46%
42%
26%
22%
30%
This opponent (Olympic Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.4
Lokeren-Temse
10.8
Beerschot VA
10.7
Olympic Charleroi
10.7
Seraing United
10.6
Kortrijk
10.5
RWDM
10.4
KRC Genk II
10.3
RSC Anderlecht II
9.8
SK Beveren
9.8
Francs Borains
9.8
Patro Eisden
9.7
Club Brugge II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.3
AS Eupen
9.3
Lommel United
8.9
KAA Gent II
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.5
Francs Borains
6.2
Patro Eisden
5.7
K. Lierse S.K.
5.5
Liège
5.2
Seraing United
5.2
SK Beveren
5.0
RSC Anderlecht II
4.9
Lommel United
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
AS Eupen
4.7
KRC Genk II
4.7
Club Brugge II
4.5
Beerschot VA
4.3
Olympic Charleroi
4.3
RWDM
4.2
KAA Gent II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KAA Gent II
28.8
Lokeren-Temse
28.2
Francs Borains
27.6
Patro Eisden
27.5
K. Lierse S.K.
26.9
RSC Anderlecht II
26.1
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.7
Club Brugge II
25.1
SK Beveren
25.0
Liège
24.9
Lommel United
24.8
AS Eupen
24.8
RWDM
23.7
Beerschot VA
22.6
Olympic Charleroi
22.3
Kortrijk
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.3%
Under 9.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympic Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.43
1.43
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.93
0.43
1.43
0.57
0.43
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.12
0.47
0.77
0.46
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.52
1.14
0.57
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympic Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympic Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympic Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympic Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympic Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.20
0.29
0.86
0.75
1.50
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.29
0.86
0.86
1.29
vs Similar (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.76
0.65
0.62
0.77
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.70
0.86
0.64
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympic Charleroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympic Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympic Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympic Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympic Charleroi
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Corneillie33%
Niklo Dailly24%
Jay David Mbalanda20%
Mohamed Medfai17%
Luca Ferrara16%
Thomas Ephestion14%
Nathan De Medina12%
Toshio Lake12%
Kevin Kis7%
Hasan Jahić7%
Robert Ion6%
Karl Ndedi6%
Rayan Berberi6%
Iago Herrerín0%
Jonas Ramalho0%
Oliver Šarkić0%
Aitor Embela Gil0%
Michael Omosanya0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Mathieu Cachbach0%
Kenny Kima Beyissa0%
Luca Florică0%
Elias Spago0%
Thierno Diallo0%
Antonio Thea0%
David Vitasek0%
Mike Bettinger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Corneillie33%
Kenny Kima Beyissa33%
Elias Spago27%
Nathan De Medina25%
Luca Florică25%
Mathieu Cachbach24%
Kevin Kis20%
Oliver Šarkić20%
Karl Ndedi19%
Luca Ferrara16%
Niklo Dailly14%
Hasan Jahić13%
Antonio Thea11%
Robert Ion6%
Rayan Berberi6%
Toshio Lake6%
Mohamed Medfai6%
Jonas Ramalho6%
Thomas Ephestion0%
Iago Herrerín0%
Aitor Embela Gil0%
Michael Omosanya0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Thierno Diallo0%
Jay David Mbalanda0%
David Vitasek0%
Mike Bettinger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Robert Ion25%
Jay David Mbalanda20%
Mathieu Cachbach10%
Niklo Dailly10%
Elias Spago9%
Oliver Šarkić7%
Rayan Berberi6%
Toshio Lake6%
Mohamed Medfai6%
Nathan De Medina0%
Kevin Kis0%
Thomas Ephestion0%
Iago Herrerín0%
Jonas Ramalho0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Aitor Embela Gil0%
Michael Omosanya0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Kenny Kima Beyissa0%
Luca Florică0%
Karl Ndedi0%
Hasan Jahić0%
Luca Ferrara0%
Thierno Diallo0%
Antonio Thea0%
David Vitasek0%
Mike Bettinger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Niklo Dailly24%
Toshio Lake18%
Thomas Ephestion14%
Mohamed Medfai11%
Luca Ferrara11%
Oliver Šarkić7%
Robert Ion6%
Mathieu Cachbach5%
Nathan De Medina0%
Kevin Kis0%
Iago Herrerín0%
Jonas Ramalho0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Aitor Embela Gil0%
Michael Omosanya0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Kenny Kima Beyissa0%
Luca Florică0%
Karl Ndedi0%
Elias Spago0%
Hasan Jahić0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Thierno Diallo0%
Jay David Mbalanda0%
Antonio Thea0%
David Vitasek0%
Mike Bettinger0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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SK Beveren
Kortrijk
Beerschot VA
Lommel United
Patro Eisden
AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Seraing United
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II