This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.60
1.31
1.19
0.79
2.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
2.90
0.50
3.00
0.25
2.88
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.06
1.18
1.09
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.33
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
Omonia Aradippou goals ↓
AEL goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
6.5%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.4%
13%
7.3%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.1%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.8%
4.7%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Omonia Aradippou goals (down), columns = AEL goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Omonia Aradippou is 0.06 points worse than AEL in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Omonia Aradippou is 0.30 goals worse than AEL in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Omonia Aradippou is 0.12 goals better than AEL in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Omonia Aradippou is 6.5 percentage points worse than AEL in terms of average possession (43% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Omonia Aradippou
For 3.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEL
For 5.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Aradippou
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
7.5
8.8
1.0
0.7
1.2
25.8
24.0
26.3
vs Stronger (15)
8.5
-
8.5
0.5
0.0
1.0
28.5
-
28.5
vs Similar (34)
8.5
7.5
9.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
24.8
24.0
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
0%
33%
14%
8%
19%
75%
50%
83%
% under line
75%
100%
67%
86%
92%
81%
25%
50%
17%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.7
10.5
0.6
0.4
0.8
28.7
27.3
29.8
vs Stronger (15)
10.0
-
10.0
0.9
0.0
1.4
30.7
-
30.7
vs Similar (30)
11.8
11.7
12.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
27.2
27.3
27.0
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
86%
100%
75%
8%
4%
12%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
14%
0%
25%
92%
96%
88%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.7
AEL
10.0
Aris
9.4
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
9.1
Akritas
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Pafos
8.9
Omonia Aradippou
8.5
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Olympiakos
8.4
Krasava Ypsonas
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
Aris
5.6
Anorthosis
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.1
Pafos
5.0
Ethnikos Achna
4.9
Enosis
4.8
AEL
4.6
Olympiakos
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.4
Akritas
4.2
Krasava Ypsonas
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.5
Anorthosis
29.2
Enosis
28.3
Krasava Ypsonas
28.0
Olympiakos
27.4
AEL
27.1
Ethnikos Achna
26.5
AEK Larnaca
26.4
Aris
26.2
Pafos
25.9
Omonia Aradippou
25.8
Apollon Limassol
25.4
Omonia Nicosia
24.7
Akritas
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.9%
Under 3.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Omonia Aradippou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.43
0.36
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
0.90
0.00
0.40
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.53
0.50
0.44
0.07
0.64
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.88
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.35
0.55
0.36
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.67
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Omonia Aradippou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.79
1.07
0.31
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.60
0.40
1.40
0.20
1.80
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.75
1.00
0.89
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.81
0.75
0.71
1.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.90
0.50
1.50
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.71
0.64
0.73
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.67
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Omonia Aradippou
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastián Lomónaco33%
Giorgos Pontikos33%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jasin Assehnoun20%
Christos Kallis17%
Jorginho12%
Niko Havelka0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jaly Mouaddib0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Ring50%
Ryan Edwards50%
Jasin Assehnoun40%
Niko Havelka29%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Rasmus Thelander25%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Jeremy Van Mullem25%
Panagiotis Zachariou20%
Paris Polikarpou14%
Jorginho12%
Minas Antoniou11%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Christos Kallis0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Sebastian Ring17%
Jorginho12%
Jeremy Van Mullem12%
Danny12%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Giorgos Pontikos0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastián Lomónaco33%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Stavros Georgiou14%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Jorginho0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
AEL
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zakaria Sawo44%
Luther Singh40%
Morgan Ferrier33%
Christoforos Frantzis33%
Andreas Makris27%
Sérgio Conceição27%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis20%
Fernando Forestieri17%
Léo Natel12%
Nemanja Glavčić9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Július Szőke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Ivan Milosavljević0%
Dušan Stevanović0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Stephane Keller0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Thapelo Maseko0%
François Régis Mughe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Ferrier67%
Július Szőke62%
Dušan Stevanović33%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe29%
Stephane Keller25%
Luther Singh20%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis20%
Sérgio Conceição18%
Thapelo Maseko14%
Guillermo Ochoa12%
Léo Natel12%
Zakaria Sawo11%
Ivan Milosavljević9%
Nemanja Glavčić9%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Andreas Makris0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Christoforos Frantzis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sérgio Conceição27%
Léo Natel25%
Stephane Keller25%
Luther Singh20%
François Régis Mughe17%
Thapelo Maseko14%
Ivan Milosavljević9%
Nemanja Glavčić9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Július Szőke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Andreas Makris0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Morgan Ferrier0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Dušan Stevanović0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Christoforos Frantzis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Zakaria Sawo0%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoforos Frantzis33%
Luther Singh20%
François Régis Mughe17%
Léo Natel12%
Luka Bogdan12%
Zakaria Sawo11%
Andreas Makris9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Július Szőke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Morgan Ferrier0%
Ivan Milosavljević0%
Dušan Stevanović0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Sérgio Conceição0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Stephane Keller0%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Thapelo Maseko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Omonia Aradippou's squad is €4m less valuable than AEL's (€5m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Omonia Aradippou's attack is €2m less valuable than AEL's (€1m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Omonia Aradippou and AEL have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Omonia Aradippou's defence is €1m less valuable than AEL's (€2m vs €3m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Anorthosis
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
Enosis