This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.83
0.73
1.47
1.67
2.20
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.00
0.80
2.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.65
0.62
1.12
1.89
2.11
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
2.25
1.00
1.50
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.67+11.7%
Under 2.5
31.6%
@ 2.19-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.1%
No
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
3-1 ✓
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
Oostende goals ↓
Beerschot VA goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
3.4%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
1
5.2%
9.8%
6.5%
3.2%
1.2%
2
6.2%
9.1%
6.7%
3.3%
1.2%
3
4.3%
6.3%
4.6%
2.3%
0.8%
4
2.2%
3.2%
2.4%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oostende goals (down), columns = Beerschot VA goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
Oostende is 0.62 points better than Beerschot VA in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 0.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
Oostende is 0.03 goals better than Beerschot VA in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
Oostende is 0.44 goals better than Beerschot VA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 2.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oostende
For 6.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beerschot VA
For 4.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oostende
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.8
10.3
4.0
3.9
4.2
24.8
24.8
24.8
vs Stronger (36)
11.0
11.4
10.6
4.1
4.0
4.2
24.8
23.8
25.7
vs Similar (14)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.9
3.7
4.0
24.9
27.4
22.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
56%
56%
56%
60%
52%
68%
72%
64%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
44%
40%
48%
32%
28%
36%
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
10.4
10.4
10.3
4.3
4.5
4.1
25.5
25.9
25.1
vs Stronger (13)
10.8
10.8
10.9
4.9
5.5
4.4
25.5
27.0
24.1
vs Similar (24)
10.0
9.9
10.1
4.0
3.8
4.2
26.0
25.8
26.4
vs Weaker (4)
11.2
12.5
10.0
4.2
6.0
2.5
22.5
23.0
22.0
% over line
55%
60%
50%
61%
67%
55%
85%
80%
90%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
39%
33%
45%
15%
20%
10%
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oostende
10.6
Charleroi
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.4
Eupen
10.4
Antwerp
10.3
OH Leuven
10.3
Cercle Brugge
10.0
KV Mechelen
9.9
Kortrijk
9.8
Standard Liege
9.7
Zulte Waregem
9.6
Genk
9.5
Club Brugge KV
9.5
Union St. Gilloise
9.4
Gent
9.4
St. Truiden
9.2
Anderlecht
8.8
Seraing
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Seraing
6.9
Union St. Gilloise
5.1
OH Leuven
5.0
St. Truiden
4.6
Eupen
4.5
Antwerp
4.4
Cercle Brugge
4.3
Beerschot VA
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Genk
4.1
Charleroi
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
Oostende
4.0
Club Brugge KV
4.0
Anderlecht
3.9
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
KV Mechelen
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
28.0
Kortrijk
27.2
Seraing
27.1
Anderlecht
26.3
St. Truiden
26.3
Genk
26.0
Union St. Gilloise
25.9
Beerschot VA
25.5
Club Brugge KV
25.5
KV Mechelen
25.1
Cercle Brugge
24.9
OH Leuven
24.9
Oostende
24.8
Gent
24.7
Charleroi
24.6
Zulte Waregem
24.5
Eupen
24.2
Antwerp
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.3%
Under 9.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.8%
Under 3.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.0%
Under 21.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oostende
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.50
0.50
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
0.67
0.55
0.45
0.50
0.90
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.56
0.33
0.67
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.53
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.89
0.40
0.80
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.71
0.38
0.25
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oostende over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oostende
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.00
0.79
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (21)
0.90
0.76
1.09
0.82
0.70
0.70
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.89
0.67
0.67
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
0.40
0.93
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.11
0.40
1.20
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.94
0.25
0.88
1.56
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oostende over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oostende · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Berte25%
Ewan Henderson17%
Daniel Pérez17%
Maxime D'Arpino14%
Thomas Basila11%
Anton Tanghe9%
Juan Fuentes9%
Luis Hartwig6%
David Atanga6%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Brent Laes5%
Siebe Wylin5%
Sieben Dewaele4%
Zech Medley4%
Alfons Amade0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Liam Bossin0%
Cederick Van Daele0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Vinck35%
Thomas Basila33%
Ewan Henderson30%
Sieben Dewaele26%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo25%
Manuel Osifo25%
Brent Laes21%
Liam Bossin21%
Mohamed Berte21%
Daniel Pérez17%
Alfons Amade14%
Maxime D'Arpino14%
Siebe Wylin11%
Anton Tanghe9%
Cederick Van Daele6%
Zech Medley4%
Robbie D'Haese0%
David Atanga0%
Luis Hartwig0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Berte17%
Brent Laes11%
Siebe Wylin11%
Daniel Pérez8%
Luis Hartwig6%
David Atanga6%
Cederick Van Daele6%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Massimo Decoene5%
Sieben Dewaele4%
Alfons Amade0%
Ewan Henderson0%
Zech Medley0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Maxime D'Arpino0%
Thomas Basila0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Anton Tanghe0%
Liam Bossin0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Atanga18%
Ewan Henderson17%
Mohamed Berte17%
Anton Tanghe9%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Brent Laes5%
Siebe Wylin5%
Zech Medley4%
Daniel Pérez4%
Alfons Amade0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Maxime D'Arpino0%
Thomas Basila0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Liam Bossin0%
Luis Hartwig0%
Cederick Van Daele0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Beerschot VA · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips37%
Arnold Vula35%
Ensar Brahić25%
Rajiv Van La Parra17%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Ken Masui15%
Severin Sabri Guendouz12%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Oscar Vargas10%
Loïc Mbe Soh8%
Brian Plat7%
Glenn Claes4%
Lukas Van Eenoo3%
Colin Dagba0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cyril Khetir50%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Edisson Jordanov29%
Marco Weymans20%
Loïc Mbe Soh17%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Siviwe Magidigidi17%
Bas Van den Eynden16%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Arnold Vula15%
Ken Masui15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Dennis Gyamfi14%
Rajiv Van La Parra12%
Nick Shinton10%
Nilton Varela10%
Andres Labie9%
Glenn Claes9%
Brian Plat7%
Axl Van Himbeeck6%
Ryan Sanusi5%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Colin Dagba5%
Emre Uzun0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D'Margio Wright-Phillips26%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Arnold Vula15%
Colin Dagba15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Edisson Jordanov12%
Oscar Vargas10%
Glenn Claes9%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Rajiv Van La Parra4%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Genki Haraguchi0%
Brian Plat0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Bas Van den Eynden0%
Ken Masui0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnold Vula35%
Ken Masui31%
Rajiv Van La Parra25%
Glenn Claes13%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Lukas Van Eenoo10%
Severin Sabri Guendouz8%
Genki Haraguchi8%
Ensar Brahić6%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Brian Plat4%
Colin Dagba0%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Genk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem