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Orijent 1919 vs Croatia Zmijavci Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2024
Time: 15:30
Final 0-0
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Vs
56%
28%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Orijent 1919’s defensive solidity is highlighted by a 1.0 average conceded at home, while Croatia Zmijavci’s away form shows a 2.08 average conceded, suggesting a tight encounter. The model favours a home win with a 56% probability, a draw 28%, and an away win 16%. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a low-scoring affair, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Orijent 1919, carrying a 15.5% chance. Orijent’s 0.83 average goals scored at home contrasts with Croatia Zmijavci’s 0.54 away scoring rate, while both sides face opponents of similar strength. The model’s selection includes an Under 3.5 with an 81.6% probability, marked as a hit. In summary, Orijent 1919 are the favourites to win, the match is expected to be low-scoring, and the Under 3.5 is the highlighted pick.

Results analysis

The 0-0 draw was a shock for the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win call, which had a 56% probability. The prediction was wrong. Orijent 1919, coming off a win, had been in fine form, but Croatia Zmijavci, on a four-game winning streak, held them to a stalemate. The model’s single other selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 81.6% chance. The match finished 0-0, a draw that defied the 56% expectation of a home victory. The outcome left the model’s confidence in the home side misplaced, while its under-goals call proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orijent 1919 win✗ Miss
56.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci win✗ Miss
15.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D30W10W00D22D00D00D21W21WH·ZRI13/04A·HNK21/04H·CRO27/04A·DUB04/05A·BSK12/05H·SOL18/05A·DUG25/05H·JAR01/06A·KUS09/06H·KUS14/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.200.860.931.061.44
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.961.230.831.001.071.43
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L03L20W11D03L30W04L02L11D31WH·SIB02/04A·ZRI06/04H·HNK14/04A·DUB20/04A·ORI27/04H·BSK05/05A·SOL12/05H·DUG19/05A·JAR25/05H·SES01/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.532.001.070.532.00
vs Stronger (3)1.001.672.002.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.301.522.001.000.542.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.2%
Under 2.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-0 ✓
12.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
Orijent 1919 goals ↓
Croatia Zmijavci goals →
01234
012%6.4%2.6%0.6%0.1%
115%13%4.0%0.9%0.2%
213%8.8%3.0%0.7%0.1%
36.4%4.5%1.5%0.4%0.1%
42.5%1.7%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orijent 1919 goals (down), columns = Croatia Zmijavci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Orijent 1919 is 0.48 points better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Orijent 1919 is 0.39 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Orijent 1919 is 0.36 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W00D00D10W00D00D11D10WH·ZRI13/04A·HNK21/04H·CRO27/04A·DUB04/05A·BSK12/05H·SOL18/05A·DUG25/05H·JAR01/06A·KUS09/06H·KUS14/06
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.570.430.380.75
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.620.580.500.360.71
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L00D11D02L30W00D01L01L20WH·SIB02/04A·ZRI06/04H·HNK14/04A·DUB20/04A·ORI27/04H·BSK05/05A·SOL12/05H·DUG19/05A·JAR25/05H·SES01/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.930.200.331.07
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (27)0.630.630.930.140.311.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W00D12L00D00D10W11DH·ZRI13/04A·HNK21/04H·CRO27/04A·DUB04/05A·BSK12/05H·SOL18/05A·DUG25/05H·JAR01/06A·KUS09/06H·KUS14/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.290.500.690.69
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.620.250.500.710.71
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D20W00D01L00D04L01L10W11DH·SIB02/04A·ZRI06/04H·HNK14/04A·DUB20/04A·ORI27/04H·BSK05/05A·SOL12/05H·DUG19/05A·JAR25/05H·SES01/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.901.070.870.200.93
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.891.070.860.230.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Orijent 1919 and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Orijent 1919 and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Orijent 1919 and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Orijent 1919 and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
O1 wins
3
Draws
1
CZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Orijent 1919 vs Croatia Zmijavci · H/A from O1
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-0
16/03/24HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
22/10/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs O16-2
22/04/23HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-0
18/02/23HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
25/09/22ACroatia Zmijavci Vs O12-2

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/06/24HO1 Vs Kustosija2-1
09/06/24AKustosija Vs O11-2
01/06/24HO1 Vs Jarun0-0
25/05/24ADugopolje Vs O10-0
18/05/24HO1 Vs Solin2-2
12/05/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O10-0
04/05/24ADubrava Zagreb Vs O10-1
27/04/24HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-0
21/04/24AHNK Cibalia Vs O11-1
13/04/24HO1 Vs Zrinski Jurjevac0-1

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/24HCZ Vs Sesvete3-1
25/05/24AJarun Vs CZ1-1
19/05/24HCZ Vs Dugopolje0-2
12/05/24ASolin Vs CZ4-0
05/05/24HCZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-0
27/04/24AOrijent 1919 Vs CZ3-0
20/04/24ADubrava Zagreb Vs CZ1-1
14/04/24HCZ Vs HNK Cibalia2-0
06/04/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs CZ3-0
02/04/24HCZ Vs Sibenik0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.18
HomeLWDDW1.46
AwayDWDDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.562.172.92
Over 1.5 %64%58%69%
Over 2.5 %44%33%54%
Over 3.5 %28%17%38%
Scored1.221.251.19
Conceded1.340.921.73
BTTS46%33%58%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.22
HomeLWWLW1.96
AwayLDLLD0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%58%4%
AVG goals2.482.712.27
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %20%21%19%
Scored1.181.830.58
Conceded1.300.881.69
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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