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Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 2-1
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Vs
43%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Orijent 1919 win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L11D00D11D10W11D33D22D11DH·DUB18/09A·OPA21/09H·RUD28/09A·BSK05/10H·JAR12/10A·VUK20/10A·CRO27/10A·SES01/11H·ZRI09/11A·DUG16/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.871.140.710.941.00
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)1.000.921.170.750.861.07
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L50W11D33D12L11D01L10W21W10WA·SES18/09H·ZRI21/09A·DUG28/09H·CRO05/10H·DUB11/10A·OPA18/10A·RUD26/10H·BSK02/11A·JAR08/11H·VUK16/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.371.731.271.071.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.401.371.731.271.071.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.1%
Under 2.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.3%
Under 3.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
Orijent 1919 goals ↓
HNK Cibalia goals →
01234
012%8.9%4.8%1.5%0.3%
113%14%6.1%1.9%0.4%
29.0%8.4%3.9%1.2%0.3%
33.8%3.6%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.2%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orijent 1919 goals (down), columns = HNK Cibalia goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Orijent 1919 is 0.30 points better than HNK Cibalia in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Orijent 1919 is 0.03 goals worse than HNK Cibalia in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Orijent 1919 is 0.24 goals better than HNK Cibalia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.18).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W00D10W00D01L02L10W10WH·DUB18/09A·OPA21/09H·RUD28/09A·BSK05/10H·JAR12/10A·VUK20/10A·CRO27/10A·SES01/11H·ZRI09/11A·DUG16/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.330.790.140.250.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.350.830.170.210.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W02L01L00D00D00D00D00DA·SES18/09H·ZRI21/09A·DUG28/09H·CRO05/10H·DUB11/10A·OPA18/10A·RUD26/10H·BSK02/11A·JAR08/11H·VUK16/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.400.400.530.200.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.300.400.400.530.200.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L00D01L10W10W31W12L01LH·DUB18/09A·OPA21/09H·RUD28/09A·BSK05/10H·JAR12/10A·VUK20/10A·CRO27/10A·SES01/11H·ZRI09/11A·DUG16/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.360.570.690.50
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.580.330.580.640.57
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W01L31W11D11D01L10W21W10WA·SES18/09H·ZRI21/09A·DUG28/09H·CRO05/10H·DUB11/10A·OPA18/10A·RUD26/10H·BSK02/11A·JAR08/11H·VUK16/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.971.330.730.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.100.971.330.730.871.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Orijent 1919 and HNK Cibalia have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Orijent 1919 and HNK Cibalia have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Orijent 1919 and HNK Cibalia have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Orijent 1919 and HNK Cibalia have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
O1 wins
2
Draws
4
HC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Orijent 1919 vs HNK Cibalia · H/A from O1
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24AHNK Cibalia Vs O11-1
21/04/24AHNK Cibalia Vs O11-1
24/02/24AHNK Cibalia Vs O11-0
30/09/23HO1 Vs HNK Cibalia0-3
13/05/23AHNK Cibalia Vs O13-2
26/11/22HO1 Vs HNK Cibalia3-1
10/09/22AHNK Cibalia Vs O11-0

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24ADugopolje Vs O11-1
09/11/24HO1 Vs Zrinski Jurjevac2-2
01/11/24ASesvete Vs O13-3
27/10/24ACroatia Zmijavci Vs O11-1
20/10/24AVukovar Vs O10-1
12/10/24HO1 Vs Jarun1-1
05/10/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O10-0
28/09/24HO1 Vs Rudes1-1
21/09/24AOpatija Vs O12-0
18/09/24HO1 Vs Dubrava Zagreb2-0

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24HHC Vs Vukovar1-0
08/11/24AJarun Vs HC1-2
02/11/24HHC Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
26/10/24ARudes Vs HC1-0
18/10/24AOpatija Vs HC1-1
11/10/24HHC Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-2
05/10/24HHC Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-3
28/09/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-1
21/09/24HHC Vs Zrinski Jurjevac5-0
18/09/24ASesvete Vs HC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 7 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD1.14
HomeWWDDD1.29
AwayDWDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals2.362.082.62
Over 1.5 %64%58%69%
Over 2.5 %34%29%38%
Over 3.5 %20%12%27%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.301.001.58
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.22
HomeWDLWW1.56
AwayLDDLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.762.762.76
Over 1.5 %78%68%88%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.261.481.04
Conceded1.501.281.72
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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