PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Orsha vs Gomel II Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Orsha
Orsha
Vs
52%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This encounter between Orsha and Gomel II in the Belarus: 1. Division is set to be an open and attacking affair, with the expected total goals standing at 3.4. Orsha's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning streak, including a 2-1 victory over Gomel II. In contrast, Gomel II has struggled, losing their last three matches.

Orsha is the favourite to win, with a 52% chance of victory, followed by a 23% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of Gomel II winning. The model's selection is a home win. Orsha's home form against similar opponents has seen them score an average of 0.83 goals and concede 2.17.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.1% probability. Gomel II's away form against similar opponents has seen them score an average of 2.5 goals and concede 1.0. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals has a 86.4% chance of success. The home win percentage is 52%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 25%.

Results analysis

The win extends Orsha's run to three consecutive victories, following a 2-1 triumph over Gomel II. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the actual result, a home win for Orsha. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, as it had a pre-match probability of 52%. The model's selection was the favourite. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit, with a probability of 86.4%, while the model's selection, Home win, was the correct call.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orsha win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gomel II win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L02L02L13L04L32W20W13L13L31WA·BEL05/10H·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11A·VOL25/07H·SHA31/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.601.252.251.143.00
vs Stronger (15)1.202.531.382.001.003.14
vs Similar (15)1.202.671.122.501.292.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-702L31W15L23L07L05L02L11D02L14LH·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.531.002.271.002.80
vs Stronger (25)0.762.680.752.250.773.08
vs Similar (5)2.201.802.002.332.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.4%
Under 1.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.3%
Under 2.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.5%
Under 3.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
Orsha goals ↓
Gomel II goals →
01234
04.2%3.6%3.1%1.4%0.5%
15.8%10%6.4%2.9%1.0%
26.8%9.4%6.5%3.0%1.0%
34.6%6.4%4.4%2.0%0.7%
42.4%3.3%2.2%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orsha goals (down), columns = Gomel II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Orsha is 0.62 points better than Gomel II in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 0.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Orsha is 0.25 goals better than Gomel II in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Orsha is 0.50 goals better than Gomel II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 2.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrshaOrsha

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L12L01L11D10W01L12L20WA·BEL05/10H·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11A·VOL25/07H·SHA31/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.500.880.641.36
vs Stronger (15)0.730.870.750.620.711.14
vs Similar (15)0.401.330.251.120.571.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gomel IIGomel II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W13L11D03L02L00D11D00D03LH·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.471.000.671.20
vs Stronger (25)0.441.160.331.000.541.31
vs Similar (5)1.200.801.001.001.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orsha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrshaOrsha

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D01L03L21W10W12L01L11DA·BEL05/10H·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11A·VOL25/07H·SHA31/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.500.751.380.501.64
vs Stronger (15)0.471.670.621.380.292.00
vs Similar (15)0.801.330.881.380.711.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gomel IIGomel II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W02L12L04L03L02L00D02L11DH·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.430.531.270.331.60
vs Stronger (25)0.321.520.421.250.231.77
vs Similar (5)1.001.001.001.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orsha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Orsha and Gomel II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Orsha and Gomel II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Orsha and Gomel II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Orsha and Gomel II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ORS wins
0
Draws
1
GI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Orsha vs Gomel II · H/A from ORS
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25HORS Vs Gomel II1-3
22/06/25AGomel II Vs ORS2-5

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HORS Vs Shakhter Soligorsk3-1
25/07/26AVolna Vs ORS3-1
22/11/25HORS Vs Ostrovets FC1-3
17/11/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs ORS0-2
09/11/25HORS Vs Volna3-2
02/11/25ABumprom Vs ORS4-0
26/10/25HORS Vs Gomel II1-3
18/10/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs ORS2-0
11/10/25HORS Vs Baranovichi0-2
05/10/25ABelshina Vs ORS3-0

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26HGI Vs Volna1-4
25/07/26ASmorgon Vs GI2-0
12/07/26HGI Vs Bumprom1-1
26/11/25AABFF U19 Vs GI2-0
22/11/25HGI Vs Lida0-5
15/11/25AMinsk II Vs GI7-0
08/11/25HGI Vs Ostrovets FC2-3
01/11/25AVolna Vs GI5-1
26/10/25AOrsha Vs GI1-3
19/10/25HGI Vs Baranovichi0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Orsha
Orsha
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW0.92
HomeLLWLW0.88
AwayLLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals3.803.484.12
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %72%76%68%
Over 3.5 %54%48%60%
Scored1.381.321.44
Conceded2.422.162.68
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet14%8%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.78
HomeLLLDL0.89
AwayWLLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%21%22%
AVG goals3.413.373.44
Over 1.5 %81%79%83%
Over 2.5 %65%58%72%
Over 3.5 %46%53%39%
Scored0.971.110.83
Conceded2.432.262.61
BTTS54%53%56%
Clean Sheet11%21%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches