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Orsha vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Orsha
Orsha
Vs
25%
28%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Orsha faces off against Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, with the away side favoured to win according to the model's pick. Recent form suggests Orsha is on a 2-game winning run, having defeated Gomel II 2-1, but Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 comes into this match having drawn against Volna.

The model predicts a 47% chance of an away win, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 25% chance of a home win. The expected total goals are 2.6. The most likely total goals are 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.4% probability.

Orsha's home form shows they average 1 goal scored and 2 conceded against similar opponents. Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's away form indicates they average 0.9 goals scored and 2 conceded against similar opponents.

The model suggests selecting Under 3.5 with a 74.2% probability, and Over 1.5 with a 74% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends Orsha's losing streak to five matches, following a 0-3 defeat to Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in their previous encounter. The final score was 0-3, with the actual result being an away win for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, given the pre-match probability of 47%. The model's call was also in line with the pre-match favourite, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 74.2%, while the selection of Over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 74.0%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orsha win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L13L04L32W20W13L13L31W21WH·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11A·VOL25/07H·SHA31/07H·GOM06/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.631.292.181.153.23
vs Stronger (15)1.202.531.382.001.003.14
vs Similar (15)1.272.731.222.331.333.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L22D01L01L01L01L12L10W30W22DH·DIN04/10A·FC 19/10H·ARS26/10A·DIN31/10H·ML 07/11A·SMO23/11H·TOR30/11A·BUM26/07H·SMO01/08H·VOL06/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.900.811.690.792.14
vs Stronger (7)1.142.141.252.001.002.33
vs Similar (23)0.701.830.671.580.732.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
Orsha goals ↓
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals →
01234
08.8%10%8.8%4.5%1.7%
16.8%13%9.3%4.7%1.8%
24.2%6.4%4.9%2.5%0.9%
31.5%2.3%1.7%0.9%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orsha goals (down), columns = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Orsha is 1.46 points worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 2.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Orsha is 1.18 goals worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 2.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Orsha is 1.45 goals worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 0.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrshaOrsha

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L12L01L11D10W01L12L20W11DH·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11A·VOL25/07H·SHA31/07H·GOM06/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.130.530.880.691.46
vs Stronger (15)0.730.870.750.620.711.14
vs Similar (15)0.471.400.331.110.671.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D01L00D01L01L00D20W12LH·DIN04/10A·FC 19/10H·ARS26/10A·DIN31/10H·ML 07/11A·SMO23/11H·TOR30/11A·BUM26/07H·SMO01/08H·VOL06/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.900.310.810.361.00
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.250.750.671.00
vs Similar (23)0.300.910.330.830.271.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orsha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrshaOrsha

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L03L21W10W12L01L11D10WH·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11A·VOL25/07H·SHA31/07H·GOM06/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.500.761.290.461.77
vs Stronger (15)0.471.670.621.380.292.00
vs Similar (15)0.801.330.891.220.671.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L01L00D01L00D11D10W10W10WH·DIN04/10A·FC 19/10H·ARS26/10A·DIN31/10H·ML 07/11A·SMO23/11H·TOR30/11A·BUM26/07H·SMO01/08H·VOL06/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.500.880.431.14
vs Stronger (7)0.711.291.001.250.331.33
vs Similar (23)0.390.910.330.750.451.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orsha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Orsha and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Orsha and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Orsha and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Orsha and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
ORS wins
0
Draws
5
M4 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Orsha vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · H/A from ORS
DateH/AGameScore
08/09/24HORS Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-1
10/05/24AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs ORS2-0
30/09/23HORS Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 41-2
28/05/23AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs ORS1-3
29/10/22HORS Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 41-2
10/07/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs ORS2-1

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26HORS Vs Gomel II2-1
31/07/26HORS Vs Shakhter Soligorsk3-1
25/07/26AVolna Vs ORS3-1
22/11/25HORS Vs Ostrovets FC1-3
17/11/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs ORS0-2
09/11/25HORS Vs Volna3-2
02/11/25ABumprom Vs ORS4-0
26/10/25HORS Vs Gomel II1-3
18/10/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs ORS2-0
11/10/25HORS Vs Baranovichi0-2

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26HM4 Vs Volna2-2
01/08/26HM4 Vs Smorgon3-0
26/07/26ABumprom Vs M40-1
30/11/25HM4 Vs Torpedo Zhodino1-2
23/11/25ASmorgon Vs M41-0
07/11/25HM4 Vs ML Vitebsk0-1
31/10/25ADinamo Brest Vs M41-0
26/10/25HM4 Vs Arsenal (Belarus)0-1
19/10/25AFC Slutsk Vs M42-2
04/10/25HM4 Vs Dinamo Minsk1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Orsha
Orsha
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW0.98
HomeLWLWW1.00
AwayLLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals3.843.564.12
Over 1.5 %94%96%92%
Over 2.5 %74%80%68%
Over 3.5 %54%48%60%
Scored1.421.401.44
Conceded2.422.162.68
BTTS62%72%52%
Clean Sheet14%8%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.08
HomeLLLWD1.20
AwayLDLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.582.282.88
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.561.201.92
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards3.193.183.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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