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Osipovichy vs Dinamo Minsk II Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Vs
34%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This highly anticipated match in the Belarus 1. Division is finely balanced, with recent form pointing to an intriguing storyline. Dinamo Minsk II, coming off two straight defeats, will look to bounce back against Osipovichy, who suffered a 0-2 loss in their last outing. The model predicts an Away win, with a 38% probability, making it the favourite match result. The expected total goals is 2.7, indicating a relatively low-scoring game. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability.

Osipovichy's home form has seen them average 0.92 goals scored and 2.46 conceded against stronger opponents. Dinamo Minsk II, on the other hand, have averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away against weaker opponents. The model suggests two selections: Over 1.5 with 77.2% probability, and Under 3.5 with 70.4% probability. Home win percentage stands at 34%, draw percentage at 28%, and away win percentage at 38%.

Results analysis

The upset of the day came when Osipovichy secured a 2-1 win at home, extending their recent form streak. The pre-match favourite, Dinamo Minsk II, failed to come through, with the model's selection of an Away win being incorrect. Dinamo Minsk II had a 38% chance of winning pre-match. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was a Home win. The model did correctly suggest taking Over 1.5, which hit, with a 77.2% probability, and Under 3.5, which also hit, with a 70.4% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osipovichy win✓ Hit
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II win✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L23L32W03L30W31W04L31W20W02LH·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07A·SLO01/08A·OST05/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.231.072.271.202.20
vs Stronger (25)0.962.400.922.461.002.33
vs Similar (5)2.001.402.001.002.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W03L22D00D11D01L40W00D12L12LA·OST22/10A·BUM26/10A·BAT10/11H·FC 13/11H·NIV17/11H·LOK20/11H·OSI26/11A·FC 24/07H·NIV31/07H·LID05/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.301.001.140.881.44
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.651.520.451.360.831.67
vs Weaker (5)2.600.604.500.001.331.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1 ✓
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
Osipovichy goals ↓
Dinamo Minsk II goals →
01234
07.6%7.9%6.4%3.0%1.1%
17.3%13%8.5%4.0%1.4%
25.7%8.1%5.7%2.7%0.9%
32.5%3.6%2.5%1.2%0.4%
40.8%1.2%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osipovichy goals (down), columns = Dinamo Minsk II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.75
Niva
2.62
Lida
2.14
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Minsk II
1.62
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
BATE II
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Osipovichy is 0.98 points better than Dinamo Minsk II in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.25
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.50
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.88
Volna
1.75
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
BATE II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Osipovichy is 0.23 goals worse than Dinamo Minsk II in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.38
Uni Minsk
0.57
FC Slutsk
1.00
Smorgon
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Niva
1.38
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.12
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Osipovichy is 0.45 goals better than Dinamo Minsk II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D21W01L10W10W02L21W00D01LH·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07A·SLO01/08A·OST05/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.530.930.470.87
vs Stronger (25)0.481.000.541.000.421.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.500.500.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W00D10W01L20W00D01L02LA·OST22/10A·BUM26/10A·BAT10/11H·FC 13/11H·NIV17/11H·LOK20/11H·OSI26/11A·FC 24/07H·NIV31/07H·LID05/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.500.570.440.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.350.610.270.640.420.58
vs Weaker (5)1.200.202.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11D02L20W21W02L10W20W01LH·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07A·SLO01/08A·OST05/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.330.531.330.731.33
vs Stronger (25)0.481.400.381.460.581.33
vs Similar (5)1.401.001.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L00D01L00D20W00D11D10WA·OST22/10A·BUM26/10A·BAT10/11H·FC 13/11H·NIV17/11H·LOK20/11H·OSI26/11A·FC 24/07H·NIV31/07H·LID05/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.500.570.440.94
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.300.910.180.730.421.08
vs Weaker (5)1.400.402.500.000.670.67
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Osipovichy and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Osipovichy and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Osipovichy and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Osipovichy and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
OSI wins
0
Draws
2
DMI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Osipovichy vs Dinamo Minsk II · H/A from OSI
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs OSI4-0
26/07/25HOSI Vs Dinamo Minsk II1-2

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26AOstrovets FC Vs OSI2-0
01/08/26ASlonim Vs OSI0-2
24/07/26HOSI Vs BATE II3-1
26/11/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs OSI4-0
15/11/25ABelshina Vs OSI1-3
07/11/25HOSI Vs Slonim3-0
01/11/25ALokomotiv Gomel Vs OSI3-0
25/10/25HOSI Vs Lida3-2
17/10/25AMinsk II Vs OSI3-2
11/10/25HOSI Vs Ostrovets FC0-2

Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26HDMI Vs Lida1-2
31/07/26HDMI Vs Niva1-2
24/07/26AFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Vs DMI0-0
26/11/25HDMI Vs Osipovichy4-0
20/11/25HDMI Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-1
17/11/25HDMI Vs Niva1-1
13/11/25HDMI Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev0-0
10/11/25ABATE II Vs DMI2-2
26/10/25ABumprom Vs DMI3-0
22/10/25AOstrovets FC Vs DMI0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL0.56
HomeLLWWW0.72
AwayLWLWL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%20%8%
AVG goals3.163.083.24
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored0.960.921.00
Conceded2.202.162.24
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet6%8%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Minsk II
Dinamo Minsk II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.20
HomeDLWLL1.04
AwayWWLDD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%24%36%
AVG goals2.282.162.40
Over 1.5 %66%56%76%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.161.121.20
Conceded1.121.041.20
BTTS38%28%48%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4822
88%
2.8
203+17
2.9
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.4
-
2NivaNiva821
88%
2.6
2611+15
4.6
100%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.21.4
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II813
50%
1.6
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.4
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
15FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16BATE IIBATE II87
25%
0.9
1117-6
3.5
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.1
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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