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Ostrovets FC vs Osipovichy Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Ostrovets FC hosts Osipovichy in Belarus: 1. Division on August 5. Recent form suggests a storyline of coming off a win for both teams, with Ostrovets FC beating Osipovichy 2-0 in their last encounter. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.3 goals and the most likely total being 3 goals. The single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.9%. Ostrovets FC has a strong home form, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against weaker opponents. In contrast, Osipovichy averages 1.17 goals scored and 2.33 conceded away against stronger opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a 41% probability, while the away win has a 34% chance and the draw a 25% chance. The model's selections include Over 1.5, with a 85.6% probability. The home win percentage is 41%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 34%.

Results analysis

The win extends Ostrovets FC's run of form, coming off a win against Osipovichy. In the end, it was a convincing 2-0 victory for the home side, which secured a home win. The model's selection, home win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's call was correct, as Ostrovets FC were the favourites.

The model's selection of home win hit, while the suggested pick of Over 1.5 also came in, with a probability of 85.6%. The model's selection of a home win was correct, and the final score of 2-0 was in line with the most likely outcome of 3 goals.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostrovets FC win✓ Hit
41.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W53W01L01L02L32W21W31W02L13LA·OSI11/10H·UNI18/10H·DIN22/10A·ABF27/10H·BAR02/11A·GOM08/11H·VOL15/11A·ORS22/11A·NIV25/07H·LID01/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.471.671.601.401.33
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.421.541.581.751.251.33
vs Weaker (5)2.201.002.001.002.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L23L32W03L30W31W04L31W20WA·VOL04/10H·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07A·SLO01/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.231.002.251.292.21
vs Stronger (25)0.962.400.862.431.092.36
vs Similar (5)2.001.402.001.002.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.8%
Under 2.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.7%
No
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
2-0 ✓
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
Ostrovets FC goals ↓
Osipovichy goals →
01234
04.5%4.7%4.5%2.4%0.9%
15.2%11%7.8%4.1%1.6%
25.4%8.6%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.2%5.0%4.0%2.1%0.8%
41.4%2.2%1.7%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ostrovets FC goals (down), columns = Osipovichy goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Ostrovets FC is 0.14 points worse than Osipovichy in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Ostrovets FC is 0.14 goals better than Osipovichy in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Ostrovets FC and Osipovichy are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D00D00D11D11D10W00D01LA·OSI11/10H·UNI18/10H·DIN22/10A·ABF27/10H·BAR02/11A·GOM08/11H·VOL15/11A·ORS22/11A·NIV25/07H·LID01/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.600.670.330.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.420.670.500.750.330.58
vs Weaker (5)0.800.401.000.330.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D22D21W01L10W10W02L21W00DA·VOL04/10H·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07A·SLO01/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.500.940.500.86
vs Stronger (25)0.481.000.501.000.451.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.500.500.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W33D01L01L02L21W10W21W02L12LA·OSI11/10H·UNI18/10H·DIN22/10A·ABF27/10H·BAR02/11A·GOM08/11H·VOL15/11A·ORS22/11A·NIV25/07H·LID01/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.070.931.070.73
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.000.881.081.000.920.75
vs Weaker (5)1.400.601.000.672.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L11D02L20W21W02L10W20WA·VOL04/10H·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07A·SLO01/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.330.501.310.791.36
vs Stronger (25)0.481.400.361.430.641.36
vs Similar (5)1.401.001.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Ostrovets FC and Osipovichy have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Ostrovets FC and Osipovichy have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Ostrovets FC and Osipovichy have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Ostrovets FC and Osipovichy have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
OF wins
0
Draws
1
OSI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ostrovets FC vs Osipovichy · H/A from OF
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AOsipovichy Vs OF0-2
07/06/25HOF Vs Osipovichy2-1
17/09/23AOsipovichy Vs OF1-3
13/05/23HOF Vs Osipovichy2-4
15/10/22AOsipovichy Vs OF0-1
11/06/22HOF Vs Osipovichy3-1

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HOF Vs Lida1-3
25/07/26ANiva Vs OF2-0
22/11/25AOrsha Vs OF1-3
15/11/25HOF Vs Volna2-1
08/11/25AGomel II Vs OF2-3
02/11/25HOF Vs Baranovichi0-2
27/10/25AABFF U19 Vs OF1-0
22/10/25HOF Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-1
18/10/25HOF Vs Uni Minsk5-3
11/10/25AOsipovichy Vs OF0-2

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26ASlonim Vs OSI0-2
24/07/26HOSI Vs BATE II3-1
26/11/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs OSI4-0
15/11/25ABelshina Vs OSI1-3
07/11/25HOSI Vs Slonim3-0
01/11/25ALokomotiv Gomel Vs OSI3-0
25/10/25HOSI Vs Lida3-2
17/10/25AMinsk II Vs OSI3-2
11/10/25HOSI Vs Ostrovets FC0-2
04/10/25AVolna Vs OSI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.22
HomeWLLWL1.16
AwayWLWWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals3.063.202.92
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.401.441.36
Conceded1.661.761.56
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW0.56
HomeLLWWW0.69
AwayLLWLW0.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%19%8%
AVG goals3.163.043.29
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %62%58%67%
Over 3.5 %38%35%42%
Scored0.960.881.04
Conceded2.202.152.25
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet6%8%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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