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Otrant-Olympic vs Lovćen Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 2-1
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
64%
22%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic win✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lovćen win✗ Miss
13.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W24L50W30W22D12L12L20W40W20WH·BER04/03A·LOV08/03H·IGA14/03A·MLA18/03H·ISK22/03A·GRB28/03H·KOM04/04A·INT08/04H·RUD12/04A·BER18/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.270.872.930.801.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.920.693.860.861.830.50
vs Weaker (17)1.761.002.120.751.441.22
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L42W22D10W11D00D00D12L01L02LA·GRB04/03H·OTR08/03A·INT14/03H·RUD18/03A·BER22/03A·KOM28/03H·IGA04/04H·MLA08/04A·ISK12/04H·GRB18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.330.801.470.871.20
vs Stronger (17)1.241.001.111.331.380.62
vs Similar (13)0.311.770.331.670.291.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Lovćen goals →
01234
06.8%3.9%2.0%0.5%0.1%
111%11%4.0%1.1%0.2%
212%9.8%4.0%1.1%0.2%
38.0%6.6%2.7%0.7%0.2%
44.0%3.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Lovćen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Otrant-Olympic is 0.72 points better than Lovćen in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Brskovo
0.50
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic is 1.31 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Otrant-Olympic is 0.39 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D30W10W10W01L01L10W20W10WH·BER04/03A·LOV08/03H·IGA14/03A·MLA18/03H·ISK22/03A·GRB28/03H·KOM04/04A·INT08/04H·RUD12/04A·BER18/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.301.400.130.800.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.380.231.860.140.830.33
vs Weaker (17)0.880.351.000.120.780.56
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D12L00D00D00D00D01L00D01LA·GRB04/03H·OTR08/03A·INT14/03H·RUD18/03A·BER22/03A·KOM28/03H·IGA04/04H·MLA08/04A·ISK12/04H·GRB18/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.630.330.670.200.60
vs Stronger (17)0.410.590.440.670.380.50
vs Similar (13)0.080.690.170.670.000.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L20W20W12L11D11D10W20W10WH·BER04/03A·LOV08/03H·IGA14/03A·MLA18/03H·ISK22/03A·GRB28/03H·KOM04/04A·INT08/04H·RUD12/04A·BER18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.571.530.670.800.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.540.462.000.711.000.17
vs Weaker (17)0.880.651.120.620.670.67
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W10W10W11D00D00D11D01L01LA·GRB04/03H·OTR08/03A·INT14/03H·RUD18/03A·BER22/03A·KOM28/03H·IGA04/04H·MLA08/04A·ISK12/04H·GRB18/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.470.800.670.60
vs Stronger (17)0.820.410.670.671.000.12
vs Similar (13)0.231.080.171.000.291.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic's squad is €1m more valuable than Lovćen's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Lovćen have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (1)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Lovćen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (5)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Lovćen have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
OTR wins
3
Draws
2
LOV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Lovćen · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26ALovćen Vs OTR4-2
26/10/25HOTR Vs Lovćen1-2
06/09/25ALovćen Vs OTR0-3
24/04/24HOTR Vs Lovćen4-1
10/03/24ALovćen Vs OTR0-0
22/10/23HOTR Vs Lovćen0-0
02/09/23ALovćen Vs OTR0-0

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26ABerane Vs OTR0-2
12/04/26HOTR Vs Rudar (Montenegro)4-0
08/04/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs OTR0-2
04/04/26HOTR Vs Kom1-2
28/03/26AGrbalj Vs OTR2-1
22/03/26HOTR Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-2
18/03/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs OTR0-3
14/03/26HOTR Vs Igalo5-0
08/03/26ALovćen Vs OTR4-2
04/03/26HOTR Vs Berane1-0

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HLOV Vs Grbalj0-2
12/04/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs LOV1-0
08/04/26HLOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-2
04/04/26HLOV Vs Igalo0-0
28/03/26AKom Vs LOV0-0
22/03/26ABerane Vs LOV1-1
18/03/26HLOV Vs Rudar (Montenegro)1-0
14/03/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs LOV2-2
08/03/26HLOV Vs Otrant-Olympic4-2
04/03/26AGrbalj Vs LOV1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.58
HomeWWDLW1.92
AwayLWLWW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals3.103.402.80
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.942.441.44
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.34
HomeWWDLL1.28
AwayLDDDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.402.642.16
Over 1.5 %66%76%56%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.101.201.00
Conceded1.301.441.16
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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