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Ourense CF vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 0-2
Ourense CF
Ourense CF
Vs
13%
22%
65%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valencia
Valencia
Spain: Copa del Rey
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense CF win✗ Miss
12.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valencia win✓ Hit
65.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚜ 2. Goal Analysis

Ourense CFOurense CF

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W32WA·GUI29/10H·DEP04/12H·VAL05/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.002.001.002.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaValencia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L31W01L01L11D22D12L20W11DA·PAR26/11A·MAL29/11A·EJE04/12H·RAY07/12A·VAL13/12A·ESP18/12H·ALA22/12H·REA03/01A·ELD07/01A·SEV11/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.431.151.460.941.41
vs Stronger (4)1.002.751.002.001.003.50
vs Similar (23)0.911.351.181.360.671.33
vs Weaker (3)2.000.33--2.000.33
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ourense CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
11.8%
0-1
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
0-4
4.2%
Ourense CF goals ↓
Valencia goals →
01234
06.5%10%12%8.2%4.2%
13.6%10%9.8%6.8%3.5%
21.9%3.9%4.0%2.8%1.4%
30.5%1.1%1.1%0.8%0.4%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ourense CF goals (down), columns = Valencia goals (across).

đŸ’Ș 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Valencia
2.40
Osasuna
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Pontevedra
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Almeria
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Zamora
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Eldense
2.00
CastellĂłn
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Sevilla
2.00
Zaragoza
2.00
Marbella
2.00
Girona
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Sant Andreu
1.50
Manises
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Villamuriel
1.50
Conquense
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Gimnastic
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Yeclano
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Astur
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
Vic
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Salamanca UDS
1.50
Parla Escuela
1.50
Villarreal
1.50
Burgos
1.50
UD San Pedro
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Chiclana
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Deportiva Minera
1.33
Valladolid
1.33
Tenerife
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Escobedo
1.00
GimnĂĄstica Segoviana
1.00
Selaya
1.00
BaztĂĄn
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Ponferradina
0.67
San Tirso
0.50
Olot
0.50
Cacereño
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Gévora
0.50
Athletic Club
0.50
AurrerĂĄ Vitoria
0.00
Bergantiños
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Lanzarote
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Sporting MahĂłn
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
MĂłstoles
0.00
Don Benito
0.00
Cuarte
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Cortes
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Dolorense
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Poblense
0.00
SS Reyes
0.00
Guijuelo
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
L'Hospitalet
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Lleida Esportiu
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Levante
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Ourense CF is 0.15 points worse than Valencia in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.40).

⚔ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Zaragoza
3.50
Barcelona
3.50
Lanzarote
3.00
Unionistas de Salamanca
3.00
Las Palmas
3.00
Yeclano
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Valladolid
2.67
Real Madrid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Almeria
2.50
Burgos
2.50
UD San Pedro
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Racing Santander
2.33
Sevilla
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Barbastro
2.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Barakaldo
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Pontevedra
2.00
Elche
2.00
MĂłstoles
2.00
Vic
2.00
Girona
2.00
Chiclana
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Sant Andreu
1.50
Manises
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Astur
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Zamora
1.00
Malaga
1.00
Bergantiños
1.00
Huesca
1.00
GimnĂĄstica Segoviana
1.00
Selaya
1.00
BaztĂĄn
1.00
CastellĂłn
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.00
Albacete
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Don Benito
1.00
Cuarte
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Olot
1.00
Dolorense
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Poblense
1.00
SS Reyes
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Guijuelo
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Ejea
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
L'Hospitalet
1.00
Marbella
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
Lleida Esportiu
1.00
Gévora
1.00
Levante
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
Eldense
0.67
Villamuriel
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Salamanca UDS
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
AurrerĂĄ Vitoria
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Sporting MahĂłn
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Cortes
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Numancia
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Ourense CF is 0.10 goals worse than Valencia in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.60).

đŸ›Ąïž Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Escobedo
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Eibar
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Girona
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Zamora
0.50
CastellĂłn
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Pontevedra
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Yeclano
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Alaves
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Marbella
0.67
Tenerife
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Malaga
1.00
AurrerĂĄ Vitoria
1.00
GimnĂĄstica Segoviana
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Sonseca
1.00
BaztĂĄn
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Atlético Paso
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Elche
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Compostela
1.00
Xerez
1.00
Beasain
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Vic
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Águilas
1.00
Hércules
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Celta Vigo
1.25
Ourense CF
1.25
Barbastro
1.33
Osasuna
1.40
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Almeria
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
Las Palmas
1.67
Sevilla
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Bergantiños
2.00
Promesas EDF
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Manises
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2.00
Valladolid
2.00
Llanera
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Don Benito
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Alfaro
2.00
Badalona
2.00
Astur
2.00
Olot
2.00
Cortes
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
SS Reyes
2.00
Guijuelo
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Villamuriel
2.50
San Tirso
2.50
Chiclana
2.50
Cuarte
3.00
Mallorca
3.00
Dolorense
3.00
Las Rozas
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Lleida Esportiu
3.00
CD Coria
3.00
Salamanca UDS
3.50
UD San Pedro
3.50
Gévora
3.50
Ceuta 6 de Junio
4.00
Lanzarote
4.00
Sporting MahĂłn
4.00
Melilla CD
4.00
Amorebieta
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Ontiñena
4.00
Levante
4.00
Tudelano
5.00
Jove Español
5.00
MĂłstoles
5.00
L'Hospitalet
5.00
Laredo
6.00
Poblense
6.00
Ourense CF is 0.05 goals worse than Valencia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.20).

⏱ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

đŸŽČ 4. Props Analysis

Ourense CFOurense CF

đŸš© Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟹 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ValenciaValencia

For 5.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.7

đŸš© Corners

1301102554747194632428112117911813961013A·SEVH·REAH·ALAA·ESPA·VALH·RAYA·MALH·REAA·GETH·LAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6

🟹 Cards

1302124211352211427349363184261013A·SEVH·REAH·ALAA·ESPA·VALH·RAYA·MALH·REAA·GETH·LAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.8

⚠ Fouls

40081616920151113101051214910162020121224253524201723264024A·SEVH·REAH·ALAA·ESPA·VALH·RAYA·MALH·REAA·GETH·LAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ourense CFOurense CF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (2)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaValencia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.48.24.35.23.524.825.024.6
vs Stronger (8)9.48.010.83.95.02.823.124.821.5
vs Similar (36)9.010.17.94.65.14.124.524.524.4
vs Weaker (6)5.74.06.53.08.02.033.335.032.5
% over line38%43%33%56%70%44%64%70%58%
% under line62%57%67%44%30%56%36%30%42%
This opponent (Ourense CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đŸš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Barcelona
10.4
Oviedo
10.3
Deportivo La Coruna
10.2
Racing Santander
10.2
Real Madrid
10.1
Real Sociedad
10.0
Burgos
9.7
Numancia
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Levante
9.7
Eibar
9.7
Rayo Vallecano
9.6
Alaves
9.6
Espanyol
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Real Betis
9.5
Cordoba
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Huesca
9.5
Sevilla
9.5
Tenerife
9.5
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Las Palmas
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Albacete
9.4
CastellĂłn
9.4
Valladolid
9.4
Ponferradina
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Athletic Club
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Mirandes
9.2
Osasuna
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.0
Gimnastic
9.0
Alcorcon
9.0
Malaga
8.9
Celta Vigo
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.8
Valencia
8.8
FC Andorra
8.8
Elche
8.8
Atletico Madrid
8.8
Amorebieta
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Cadiz
8.7
Leganes
8.7
Mallorca
8.7
Girona
8.4
Getafe
8.1

🟹 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Racing Santander
6.1
Gimnastic
5.9
Villarreal
5.9
Cadiz
5.8
Zaragoza
5.7
Cultural Leonesa
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Elche
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Tenerife
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Alaves
5.3
Real Sociedad
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Espanyol
5.2
Cordoba
5.1
Sevilla
5.1
Real Betis
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Almeria
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Girona
5.0
Celta Vigo
4.9
Alcorcon
4.9
Ponferradina
4.8
FC Andorra
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Barcelona
4.8
Leganes
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Burgos
4.6
FC Cartagena
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Levante
4.5
Athletic Club
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Atletico Madrid
4.3
CastellĂłn
4.2
Real Madrid
4.2
Ibiza
4.2

⚠ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Numancia
30.6
Gimnastic
30.1
Getafe
30.1
Cordoba
29.9
Cultural Leonesa
29.8
Cadiz
29.5
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.6
Elche
28.1
Espanyol
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Rayo Vallecano
27.3
Oviedo
27.2
Almeria
26.8
Zaragoza
26.7
Granada CF
26.7
Alaves
26.6
Tenerife
26.5
Real Sociedad
26.4
Leganes
26.3
CastellĂłn
26.2
Eldense
26.0
Deportivo La Coruna
25.8
Valladolid
25.8
Racing Ferrol
25.6
Real Betis
25.6
Levante
25.4
Mallorca
25.4
Villarreal
25.2
Celta Vigo
25.1
Athletic Club
25.1
Mirandes
25.1
FC Andorra
25.0
Valencia
24.9
Las Palmas
24.7
Osasuna
24.6
Alcorcon
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Amorebieta
24.3
Albacete
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Huesca
23.8
Sevilla
23.8
FC Cartagena
23.8
Eibar
23.2
Real Madrid
23.1
Atletico Madrid
23.0
Girona
23.0
Burgos
22.8
Barcelona
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ourense CF or Draw✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Ourense CF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF or Valencia✓ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Ourense CF + Valencia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Valencia✓ Hit
87.1%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Draw + Valencia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ourense CF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.2%
Under
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.4%
Under
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.3%
Under
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.3%
Under
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ourense CF, so a minus line means Ourense CF give that many goals of a start and Valencia receive them. At -1, Ourense CF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ourense CF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ourense CF)Actual: Valencia
Ourense CF -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.2%
Valencia +2
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ourense CF)Actual: Valencia
Ourense CF -1
4.2%
Draw -1
8.8%
Valencia +1
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ourense CF)Actual: Valencia
Ourense CF +1
34.7%
Draw +1
23.5%
Valencia -1
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ourense CF)Actual: Draw
Ourense CF +2
58.1%
Draw +2
20.2%
Valencia -2
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ourense CFOurense CF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D22DA·GUI29/10H·DEP04/12H·VAL05/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaValencia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D01L01L01L01L10W20W00DA·PAR26/11A·MAL29/11A·EJE04/12H·RAY07/12A·VAL13/12A·ESP18/12H·ALA22/12H·REA03/01A·ELD07/01A·SEV11/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.380.620.590.59
vs Stronger (4)1.000.751.000.501.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.350.650.270.640.420.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ourense CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ourense CF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ourense CFOurense CF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10WA·GUI29/10H·DEP04/12H·VAL05/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.331.000.002.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaValencia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L31W00D00D10W21W02L00D11DA·PAR26/11A·MAL29/11A·EJE04/12H·RAY07/12A·VAL13/12A·ESP18/12H·ALA22/12H·REA03/01A·ELD07/01A·SEV11/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.770.850.350.82
vs Stronger (4)0.002.000.001.500.002.50
vs Similar (23)0.570.700.910.730.250.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.33--1.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ourense CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ourense CF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap95.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals87.4%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away87.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap87.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals84.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.583.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals80.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away78.3%-------✓ Hit

đŸŽœ 13. Player market rates

Ourense CF · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jerin Ramos33%
Aymane Jelbat33%
Aitor Aranzabe0%
Fran Carmona0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Alberto SĂĄnchez0%
Adriån Pérez0%
Hugo Sanz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jerin Ramos33%
Fran Carmona33%
Adriån Pérez33%
Aymane Jelbat33%
Aitor Aranzabe0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Alberto SĂĄnchez0%
Hugo Sanz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aitor Aranzabe33%
Nacho Castillo33%
Jerin Ramos0%
Fran Carmona0%
Alberto SĂĄnchez0%
Adriån Pérez0%
Hugo Sanz0%
Aymane Jelbat0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jerin Ramos0%
Aitor Aranzabe0%
Fran Carmona0%
Nacho Castillo0%
Alberto SĂĄnchez0%
Adriån Pérez0%
Hugo Sanz0%
Aymane Jelbat0%
Valencia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Duro28%
Umar Sadiq26%
Diego LĂłpez22%
Mouctar Diakhaby14%
Dani GĂłmez14%
Luis Rioja14%
Javier Guerra8%
Pepelu5%
César Tårrega5%
Sergi CanĂłs5%
Rafa Mir5%
Enzo Barrenechea3%
Cristhian Mosquera2%
José Luis Gayà0%
Hugo GuillamĂłn0%
Thierry Correia0%
Max Aarons0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
André Almeida0%
IvĂĄn Jaime0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
GermĂĄn Valera0%
JesĂșs VĂĄzquez0%
Fran Pérez0%
MartĂ­n TejĂłn0%
Yarek Gasiorowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Max Aarons40%
Umar Sadiq32%
José Luis Gayà30%
Stole Dimitrievski29%
Hugo GuillamĂłn20%
Rafa Mir19%
Pepelu19%
César Tårrega19%
Enzo Barrenechea19%
Dimitri Foulquier18%
Luis Rioja16%
Hugo Duro16%
Sergi CanĂłs15%
Cristhian Mosquera15%
JesĂșs VĂĄzquez14%
Javier Guerra14%
Diego LĂłpez10%
Thierry Correia9%
Fran Pérez7%
Giorgi Mamardashvili6%
Yarek Gasiorowski6%
André Almeida6%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
IvĂĄn Jaime0%
Dani GĂłmez0%
GermĂĄn Valera0%
MartĂ­n TejĂłn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergi CanĂłs15%
Diego LĂłpez15%
André Almeida11%
Rafa Mir10%
Luis Rioja8%
Javier Guerra8%
Hugo Duro6%
Enzo Barrenechea6%
José Luis Gayà4%
Dimitri Foulquier3%
Pepelu3%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Hugo GuillamĂłn0%
Thierry Correia0%
Max Aarons0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Umar Sadiq0%
IvĂĄn Jaime0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Dani GĂłmez0%
GermĂĄn Valera0%
JesĂșs VĂĄzquez0%
Fran Pérez0%
César Tårrega0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
MartĂ­n TejĂłn0%
Yarek Gasiorowski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hugo Duro19%
Umar Sadiq16%
Sergi CanĂłs10%
Mouctar Diakhaby7%
Dani GĂłmez7%
Diego LĂłpez5%
Rafa Mir5%
José Luis Gayà0%
Hugo GuillamĂłn0%
Thierry Correia0%
Max Aarons0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
André Almeida0%
IvĂĄn Jaime0%
Luis Rioja0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Pepelu0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
GermĂĄn Valera0%
JesĂșs VĂĄzquez0%
Fran Pérez0%
Javier Guerra0%
César Tårrega0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
MartĂ­n TejĂłn0%
Yarek Gasiorowski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
ZAR (20)
€9m
ELD (20)
€7m
MIR (21)
€6m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
ELD (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đŸ›Ąïž Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đŸ€ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OC wins
0
Draws
0
VAL wins

Head-to-head

Ourense CF vs Valencia · H/A from OC
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ourense CFOurense CF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/25HOC Vs Valladolid3-2
04/12/24HOC Vs Deportivo La Coruna1-0
29/10/24AGuijuelo Vs OC1-2

ValenciaValencia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/25ASevilla Vs VAL1-1
07/01/25AEldense Vs VAL0-2
03/01/25HVAL Vs Real Madrid1-2
22/12/24HVAL Vs Alaves2-2
18/12/24AEspanyol Vs VAL1-1
13/12/24AValladolid Vs VAL1-0
07/12/24HVAL Vs Rayo Vallecano0-1
04/12/24AEjea Vs VAL1-3
29/11/24AMallorca Vs VAL2-1
26/11/24AParla Escuela Vs VAL0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ourense CF
Ourense CF
Spain: Copa del Rey
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWW3.00
HomeWW3.00
AwayW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %100%100%100%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %67%50%100%
Over 3.5 %33%50%0%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS67%50%100%
Clean Sheet33%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Valencia
Valencia
Spain: Copa del Rey
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWD1.14
HomeLWLDL1.30
AwayWLDWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%26%
AVG goals2.322.172.44
Over 1.5 %60%57%63%
Over 2.5 %42%43%41%
Over 3.5 %26%26%26%
Scored1.041.130.96
Conceded1.281.041.48
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet30%39%22%
Corners8.839.438.25
Cards4.765.224.27

🏆 17. League Table

Valencia plays in Spain - La Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3888
74%
2.3
10239+63
3.7
82%
71%
47%
10.9
74%
4.2
57%
22.3
47%
1282
5903243682.71.0
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3884
68%
2.2
7838+40
3.1
89%
58%
26%
10.6
55%
4.2
54%
22.8
63%
1456
8422383772.11.0
60%
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3876
58%
2.0
6830+38
2.6
71%
45%
24%
8.8
39%
4.1
64%
22.7
63%
653
2901552081.80.8
53%
4Athletic ClubAthletic Club3870
50%
1.8
5429+25
2.2
63%
37%
16%
9.2
42%
4.2
62%
23.4
66%
241
10657771.40.8
48%
5VillarrealVillarreal3870
53%
1.8
7151+20
3.2
84%
66%
34%
9.6
50%
5.4
79%
24.7
76%
325
124521481.91.3
48%
6Real BetisReal Betis3860
42%
1.6
5750+7
2.8
82%
55%
29%
9.4
61%
5.1
73%
25.9
71%
235
13133701.51.3
53%
7Celta VigoCelta Vigo3855
42%
1.4
5957+2
3.1
82%
63%
34%
8.1
24%
5.0
65%
24.1
74%
163
5735711.61.5
54%
8OsasunaOsasuna3852
32%
1.4
4852-4
2.6
79%
45%
26%
9.6
39%
4.7
65%
24.0
66%
71
2512331.31.4
46%
9Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3852
34%
1.4
4145-4
2.3
66%
45%
18%
10.3
58%
4.9
84%
24.8
82%
76
309361.11.2
52%
10MallorcaMallorca3848
34%
1.3
3544-9
2.1
61%
39%
11%
10.2
45%
4.2
61%
24.1
66%
48
239160.91.2
47%
11ValenciaValencia3846
29%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
74%
45%
18%
9.9
50%
4.7
65%
24.1
68%
125
4046391.21.4
48%
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
34%
1.2
3546-11
2.1
63%
42%
16%
10.4
63%
4.8
69%
24.9
71%
247
11058790.91.2
54%
13GetafeGetafe3842
29%
1.1
3439-5
1.9
61%
34%
5%
7.7
29%
5.9
82%
29.8
92%
90
3628260.91.0
41%
14AlavesAlaves3842
26%
1.1
3848-10
2.3
61%
37%
21%
9.4
39%
5.9
87%
29.7
89%
68
2422221.01.3
45%
15EspanyolEspanyol3842
29%
1.1
4051-11
2.4
71%
39%
21%
9.8
53%
4.1
63%
25.1
76%
119
3931481.11.3
40%
16SevillaSevilla3841
26%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
68%
39%
24%
9.2
45%
5.3
68%
24.4
68%
134
4523651.11.4
51%
17GironaGirona3841
29%
1.1
4460-16
2.7
76%
55%
26%
9.3
37%
4.8
74%
23.6
66%
114
6428221.21.6
56%
18LeganesLeganes3840
24%
1.1
3956-17
2.5
68%
42%
21%
9.3
53%
4.3
63%
26.2
76%
30
14881.01.5
42%
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3832
21%
0.8
4061-21
2.7
74%
50%
32%
9.4
42%
5.6
73%
24.7
76%
30
143131.11.6
51%
20ValladolidValladolid3816
11%
0.4
2690-64
3.1
74%
66%
29%
9.2
39%
5.0
73%
25.3
74%
26
106100.72.4
43%
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

đŸ‘„ 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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