Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ourense CF or Drawâ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Ourense CF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF or Valenciaâ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Ourense CF + Valencia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Valenciaâ Hit
87.1%
Avg Implied -
13%
22%
65%
covers Draw + Valencia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
đ„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ourense CF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.2%
Under
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.4%
Under
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.3%
Under
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.3%
Under
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïž 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ourense CF, so a minus line means Ourense CF give that many goals of a start and Valencia receive them. At -1, Ourense CF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ourense CF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ourense CF)Actual: Valencia
Ourense CF -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.2%
Valencia +2
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ourense CF)Actual: Valencia
Ourense CF -1
4.2%
Draw -1
8.8%
Valencia +1
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ourense CF)Actual: Valencia
Ourense CF +1
34.7%
Draw +1
23.5%
Valencia -1
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ourense CF)Actual: Draw
Ourense CF +2
58.1%
Draw +2
20.2%
Valencia -2
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
â±ïž 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ourense CF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valencia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.38
0.62
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.65
0.27
0.64
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ourense CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ourense CF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
â±ïž 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ourense CF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valencia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.77
0.85
0.35
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.70
0.91
0.73
0.25
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
-
-
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ourense CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ourense CF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense CF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Draw or Away
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +1 handicap
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →