This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.40
1.73
1.07
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.33
1.25
1.25
0.50
4.50
vs Similar (18)
1.39
1.22
1.75
1.00
1.10
1.40
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.7%
Under 1.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.31-0.7%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.58+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
Oviedo goals ↓
Eibar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.9%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.8%
8.8%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.1%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oviedo goals (down), columns = Eibar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Oviedo is 0.29 points worse than Eibar in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.90).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Oviedo is 0.10 goals worse than Eibar in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Oviedo is 0.10 goals better than Eibar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.98 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oviedo
For 3.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
For 4.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.4
8.2
5.2
5.1
5.3
27.2
26.2
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
8.5
8.8
8.1
5.0
5.1
4.8
25.6
25.4
25.9
vs Weaker (20)
8.0
7.7
8.2
5.5
5.0
6.0
29.5
27.6
31.1
% over line
30%
40%
20%
66%
68%
64%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
70%
60%
80%
34%
32%
36%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.1
3.7
4.2
3.3
23.5
24.2
22.9
vs Stronger (17)
9.0
7.7
10.5
3.8
4.4
3.0
23.1
25.2
20.6
vs Similar (27)
8.7
9.1
8.5
3.7
4.3
3.3
23.7
23.5
23.8
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
10.7
8.3
3.5
3.0
4.0
24.2
23.7
24.7
% over line
34%
29%
38%
52%
71%
35%
64%
67%
62%
% under line
66%
71%
62%
48%
29%
65%
36%
33%
38%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amorebieta
9.6
Ibiza
9.6
Huesca
9.2
Fuenlabrada
9.2
Valladolid
9.2
Lugo
9.2
Zaragoza
9.0
Malaga
9.0
Mirandes
8.9
Eibar
8.9
Almeria
8.8
Ponferradina
8.7
Girona
8.7
Real Sociedad II
8.7
FC Cartagena
8.7
Burgos
8.6
Sporting Gijon
8.5
Tenerife
8.4
Alcorcon
8.3
Oviedo
8.3
Leganes
8.1
Las Palmas
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.3
Girona
5.6
Tenerife
5.5
FC Cartagena
5.4
Las Palmas
5.4
Malaga
5.4
Oviedo
5.2
Almeria
5.2
Valladolid
5.2
Lugo
5.0
Zaragoza
4.9
Alcorcon
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.6
Ponferradina
4.6
Leganes
4.5
Mirandes
4.5
Huesca
4.4
Burgos
3.8
Amorebieta
3.7
Eibar
3.7
Real Sociedad II
3.7
Ibiza
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.5
Fuenlabrada
31.2
FC Cartagena
30.5
Tenerife
29.6
Leganes
29.3
Malaga
28.8
Alcorcon
27.9
Girona
27.9
Zaragoza
27.6
Ibiza
27.6
Huesca
27.6
Almeria
27.4
Lugo
27.2
Oviedo
27.2
Mirandes
26.7
Valladolid
26.6
Ponferradina
26.1
Amorebieta
25.4
Sporting Gijon
24.9
Burgos
24.7
Eibar
23.5
Real Sociedad II
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.5%
Under 9.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.73
0.13
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.53
0.44
0.11
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.18
1.17
0.17
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.00
0.53
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
0.50
0.75
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.39
1.00
0.38
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.83
1.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.63
0.33
0.78
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.55
1.00
0.50
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.83
0.75
0.62
0.70
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oviedo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Eibar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Oviedo's squad is €15m more valuable than Eibar's (€30m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Oviedo's attack is €8m more valuable than Eibar's (€15m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Oviedo's midfield is €2m more valuable than Eibar's (€6m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Oviedo's defence is €5m more valuable than Eibar's (€10m vs €5m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Almeria
Valladolid
Las Palmas
Tenerife
Girona
Ponferradina
FC Cartagena
Zaragoza
Burgos
Huesca
Leganes
Mirandes
Ibiza
Lugo
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Amorebieta
Real Sociedad II
Alcorcon