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Oviedo vs Leganes Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Oviedo
Oviedo
Vs
41%
37%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leganes
Leganes
Spain: Segunda División
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Oviedo's recent form note is coming off a draw, having played out a 0-0 result against Granada CF. However, their defensive numbers at home are impressive, conceding an average of 0.27 goals per game against similar opponents.

The Pythia prediction model is favouring a home win for Oviedo, with a 41% chance of success, closely followed by a 37% probability of a draw. Meanwhile, Leganes has a 21% chance of taking the three points. The expected total goals in this match is a low 1.6, with the most likely score being a 0-0 draw, occurring 30% of the time.

Oviedo's home scoring has been limited, averaging 0.36 goals per game, while they have a strong defensive record at home. Leganes, on the other hand, has struggled to score away from home, averaging just 1.0 goal per game against similar opponents, but their away form is marred by conceding an average of 1.77 goals per game.

The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals (92.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (79.8%), Under 2.5 goals (78.8%), Home or Draw (78.7%), Over 3.5 cards (74.2%), and BTTS No (70.4%).

Oviedo has a 41% chance of winning, a 37% chance of drawing, and a 21% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Leganes snatched a 1-0 win, overturning Oviedo’s recent string of defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 41 % chance, but the model’s call proved wrong. The model’s selections were all correct: Under 7.5 (100 %) hit, Under 6.5 (99.9 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (99.6 %) hit, Under 5.5 (99.4 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (98.3 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3 %) hit, and Under 4.5 (97.7 %) hit. The final score of 0-1 confirms the away victory, a result that surprised the model’s expectations.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo win✗ Miss
41.5%
Avg Implied 51.4% · @ 1.81
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.88
10Bet
1.87
888Sport
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Unibet
1.84
Draw✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.22
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.31
Betano
3.30
Leganes win✓ Hit
21.3%
Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.75
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.43
1xBet
5.09
Betano
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OviedoOviedo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W11D12L03L00D02L01L03L00DH·SEV05/04A·CEL12/04H·VIL23/04H·ELC26/04A·REA03/05H·GET10/05A·REA14/05H·ALA17/05A·MAL23/05H·GRA15/08← La LigaSegunda División →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.430.470.530.932.33
vs Stronger (10)0.601.900.751.250.502.33
vs Similar (20)0.751.200.360.271.222.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeganesLeganes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W02L04L12L12L00D03L10W11DA·ALM05/04H·ALB11/04A·LAS17/04H·FC 26/04A·DEP01/05H·RAC10/05H·HUE18/05A·CAD24/05H·MIR31/05A·GIR16/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.401.121.120.931.71
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.041.431.131.130.921.77
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%15%23%30%22%030%127%214%35%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.42-17.6%
Under 1.5
51.9%
@ 2.72+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Betano
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.79
Superbet
2.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 2.31-19.5%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.59+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
Superbet
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Under
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.58
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
7.6%
@ 4.32-14.1%
Under 3.5
92.4%
@ 1.20+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.60
Pinnacle
4.59
Superbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.40
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
29.6%
@ 2.06-15.5%
No
70.4%
@ 1.69+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.17
Bet365
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.05
No
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.73
888Sport
1.73

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.8%@ 7.03+15.6%
1-0
18.7%@ 5.23+10.3%
1-1
13.4%@ 5.90+6.0%
0-1 ✓
11.4%@ 9.46+6.8%
2-0
9.6%@ 7.28+3.6%
2-1
5.9%@ 7.91+0.3%
0-2
3.9%@ 21.92+1.9%
1-2
3.7%@ 14.12+0.6%
Oviedo goals ↓
Leganes goals →
01234
022%11%3.9%0.8%0.1%
119%13%3.7%0.8%0.1%
29.6%5.9%1.8%0.4%0.1%
33.1%1.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%
40.7%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oviedo goals (down), columns = Leganes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Oviedo is 0.48 points better than Leganes in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Oviedo is 0.48 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals scored per game (1.51 vs 1.02).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Oviedo is 0.07 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

OviedoOviedo

For 4.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

14032555254194561714595107910977514H·GRAA·MALH·ALAA·REAH·GETA·REAH·ELCH·VILA·CELH·SEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

90231231432111215432325347323955H·GRAA·MALH·ALAH·GETH·ELCH·VILA·CELH·SEVA·LEVH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

35017138101318147916492114911139111230183121251335202223H·GRAA·MALH·ALAA·REAH·GETA·REAH·ELCH·VILA·CELH·SEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeganesLeganes

For 4.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

140953643753299555104159810108111410146A·GIRH·MIRA·CADH·HUEH·RACA·DEPH·FC A·LASH·ALBA·ALM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.9

🟨 Cards

9032354522622451323235894866355A·GIRH·MIRA·CADH·HUEH·RACA·DEPH·FC A·LASH·ALBA·ALM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

410166201410141591922111212139171613111322342424412325262924A·GIRH·MIRA·CADH·HUEH·RACA·DEPH·FC A·LASH·ALBA·ALM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

OviedoOviedo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.19.34.13.94.225.123.726.4
vs Stronger (14)9.99.410.42.53.11.920.620.720.4
vs Similar (35)8.89.08.64.74.25.226.824.928.9
vs Weaker (1)12.0-12.04.0-4.026.0-26.0
% over line46%44%48%60%60%60%66%60%72%
% under line54%56%52%40%40%40%34%40%28%
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeganesLeganes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.09.15.15.15.126.227.325.2
vs Stronger (3)9.3-9.35.3-5.322.3-22.3
vs Similar (44)9.510.19.05.25.15.426.627.625.6
vs Weaker (3)9.57.012.03.06.01.523.521.026.0
% over line48%52%44%78%79%77%86%83%88%
% under line52%48%56%22%21%23%14%17%12%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Eldense
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Real Sociedad II
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Girona
9.3
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Andorra
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.4
Celta de Vigo II
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Leganes
5.3
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.7
Eldense
4.6
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Girona
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
35.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.9
Valladolid
28.5
Castellón
28.1
Sabadell
27.8
FC Andorra
27.7
AD Ceuta FC
27.7
Granada CF
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Las Palmas
27.0
Burgos
26.6
Almeria
26.5
Leganes
26.4
Cadiz
25.8
Eibar
25.7
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.8
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.2
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.7%
@ 2.00-3.8%
Under 9.5
57.3%
@ 1.73+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.3%
Under 3.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Oviedo or Draw✗ Miss
78.7%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.17
Edge
-1.2%
41%
37%
21%
covers Oviedo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Oviedo or Leganes✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.31
Edge
-8.8%
41%
37%
21%
covers Oviedo + Leganes
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Draw or Leganes✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.93
Edge
+9.9%
41%
37%
21%
covers Draw + Leganes
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Oviedo over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
62.0%
@ 1.22-14.2%
Under
38.0%
@ 3.90+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.19
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.85
888Sport
3.80
Oviedo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.2%
@ 2.14-18.6%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.66+18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
888Sport
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Superbet
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Oviedo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 4.59-12.8%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.17+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Under
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Oviedo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 10.67-7.1%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.60
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Leganes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 1.68-9.6%
Under
54.1%
@ 2.09+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.71
BetVictor
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
10Bet
2.20
888Sport
2.15
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Leganes over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 4.39-8.6%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.18+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
BetVictor
4.60
Pinnacle
4.58
Superbet
4.55
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Leganes over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.53-5.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Leganes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
@ 43.00-99.6%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Bet365
41.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Oviedo, so a minus line means Oviedo give that many goals of a start and Leganes receive them. At -1, Oviedo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Oviedo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Oviedo)Actual: Leganes
Oviedo -2
4.6%
@ 7.25-7.7%
Draw -2
11.7%
@ 5.20-5.5%
Leganes +2
83.7%
@ 1.27+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Superbet
4.90
Away
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Handicap -1 (Oviedo)Actual: Leganes
Oviedo -1
16.3%
@ 3.38-10.3%
Draw -1
25.2%
@ 3.36-1.5%
Leganes +1
58.5%
@ 1.92+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betfair
3.20
Away
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Oviedo)Actual: Draw
Oviedo +1
78.7%
@ 1.18+4.1%
Draw +1
15.6%
@ 5.38-0.8%
Leganes -1
5.8%
@ 9.66-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.25
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.80
Handicap +2 (Oviedo)Actual: Oviedo
Oviedo +2
94.2%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Draw +2
4.7%
@ 15.00-1.6%
Leganes -2
1.1%
@ 29.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OviedoOviedo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L02L02L00D01L01L01L00DH·SEV05/04A·CEL12/04H·VIL23/04H·ELC26/04A·REA03/05H·GET10/05A·REA14/05H·ALA17/05A·MAL23/05H·GRA15/08← La LigaSegunda División →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.200.270.470.93
vs Stronger (10)0.100.700.250.250.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.550.180.270.780.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeganesLeganes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L01L01L00D01L00D01L00D00DA·ALM05/04H·ALB11/04A·LAS17/04H·FC 26/04A·DEP01/05H·RAC10/05H·HUE18/05A·CAD24/05H·MIR31/05A·GIR16/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.530.310.500.210.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.290.540.330.470.230.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.6%
@ 1.49+2.9%
Under 0.5
34.4%
@ 2.50-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.60
William Hil
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 3.25+1.4%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.31-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.36
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.1%
@ 8.71-0.6%
Under 2.5
89.9%
@ 1.04+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
10.00
William Hil
9.50
Superbet
8.90
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 1.91-1.7%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.81+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Unibet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 5.48-1.5%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.11+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 15.00-3.1%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Leganes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.4%
@ 2.98+2.2%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.35-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.33
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Superbet
3.00
Betano
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Leganes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 10.89-3.0%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Leganes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 55.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OviedoOviedo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W01L00D01L00D02L00DH·SEV05/04A·CEL12/04H·VIL23/04H·ELC26/04A·REA03/05H·GET10/05A·REA14/05H·ALA17/05A·MAL23/05H·GRA15/08← La LigaSegunda División →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.830.270.270.471.40
vs Stronger (10)0.501.200.501.000.501.33
vs Similar (20)0.300.650.180.000.441.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeganesLeganes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W01L03L12L11D00D02L10W11DA·ALM05/04H·ALB11/04A·LAS17/04H·FC 26/04A·DEP01/05H·RAC10/05H·HUE18/05A·CAD24/05H·MIR31/05A·GIR16/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.810.620.711.14
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.890.800.670.691.15
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.5%
Under 0.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.0%
Under 1.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
Under 2.5
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.3%
Under
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.3%
Under
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.5100.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.9%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+2.2%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.599.4%1.01
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
+4.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.3%1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+7.1%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.597.7%1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
+8.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals97.5%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+5.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
--+3.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.3%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
--+3.0%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap94.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals92.6%1.17
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+12.8%✓ Hit
Under 3.592.4%1.20
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+14.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals91.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.9%1.04
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+0.6%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls89.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals87.4%1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
+8.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals85.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.6%1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+1.5%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap83.7%1.27
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+13.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls79.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.2%1.25
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
+6.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.578.8%1.59
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.58
+19.5%✓ Hit
Home or Draw78.7%1.17
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-1.2%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap78.7%1.18
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.1%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals76.5%-------✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals74.8%1.66
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.67
+18.6%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards74.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS No70.4%1.69
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.73
888Sport
1.73
+15.5%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Oviedo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Leganes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Atienza33%
Ismael Gharbi33%
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ignasi Miquel33%
Álex Millán33%
Marvel33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naim García33%
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Soko0%
Dani Rodríguez0%
Ignasi Miquel0%
Rubén Peña0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Miguel Atienza0%
Álex Millán0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Ismael Gharbi0%
Naim García0%
Marvel0%
Lalo Aguilar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Oviedo and Leganes have a similar squad value (both €30m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Oviedo and Leganes have a similar attack value (both €15m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Oviedo's midfield is €2m less valuable than Leganes's (€6m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Oviedo's defence is €1m more valuable than Leganes's (€10m vs €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
OVI wins
2
Draws
2
LEG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Oviedo vs Leganes · H/A from OVI
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24HOVI Vs Leganes1-0
07/10/23ALeganes Vs OVI0-0
18/03/23ALeganes Vs OVI0-1
21/08/22HOVI Vs Leganes1-0
10/04/22HOVI Vs Leganes1-0
14/11/21ALeganes Vs OVI0-0
14/03/21HOVI Vs Leganes1-3
25/10/20ALeganes Vs OVI2-1

OviedoOviedo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HOVI Vs Granada CF0-0
23/05/26AMallorca Vs OVI3-0
17/05/26HOVI Vs Alaves0-1
14/05/26AReal Madrid Vs OVI2-0
10/05/26HOVI Vs Getafe0-0
03/05/26AReal Betis Vs OVI3-0
26/04/26HOVI Vs Elche1-2
23/04/26HOVI Vs Villarreal1-1
12/04/26ACelta Vigo Vs OVI0-3
05/04/26HOVI Vs Sevilla1-0

LeganesLeganes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AGirona Vs LEG1-1
31/05/26HLEG Vs Mirandes1-0
24/05/26ACadiz Vs LEG3-0
18/05/26HLEG Vs Huesca0-0
10/05/26HLEG Vs Racing Santander1-2
01/05/26ADeportivo La Coruna Vs LEG2-1
26/04/26HLEG Vs FC Andorra0-4
17/04/26ALas Palmas Vs LEG2-0
11/04/26HLEG Vs Albacete2-1
05/04/26AAlmeria Vs LEG2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Oviedo
Oviedo
Spain: Segunda División
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.08
HomeDLDLD1.32
AwayLWLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals2.201.482.92
Over 1.5 %64%44%84%
Over 2.5 %40%24%56%
Over 3.5 %14%4%24%
Scored0.820.641.00
Conceded1.380.841.92
BTTS38%32%44%
Clean Sheet28%48%8%
Corners9.209.129.28
Cards4.233.884.61
Leganes
Leganes
Spain: Segunda División
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.20
HomeWLLDW1.38
AwayLLLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.402.382.42
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.161.251.08
Conceded1.241.121.35
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners9.529.969.12
Cards5.225.125.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Granada CFGranada CF37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
33%
7.3
0%
3.7
67%
30.3
100%
17
6391.70.3
50%
2CastellónCastellón37
67%
2.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
5.7
100%
28.7
67%
21
11381.00.3
55%
3LeganesLeganes37
67%
2.3
31+2
1.3
33%
0%
0%
9.3
33%
3.3
67%
22.7
100%
30
14881.00.3
51%
4Sporting GijonSporting Gijon37
67%
2.3
20+2
0.7
0%
0%
0%
7.3
0%
4.0
67%
27.0
100%
28
14590.70.0
46%
5MallorcaMallorca36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
100%
33%
0%
6.7
0%
4.3
100%
22.7
67%
48
239161.70.7
-
6TenerifeTenerife36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
9.0
67%
3.0
33%
25.0
100%
12
5431.30.7
-
7Las PalmasLas Palmas36
67%
2.0
66+0
4.0
100%
67%
33%
8.0
33%
3.3
33%
28.3
100%
30
143132.02.0
56%
8EibarEibar36
67%
2.0
33+0
2.0
33%
33%
33%
9.3
67%
3.3
33%
21.0
33%
15
7351.01.0
49%
9SabadellSabadell35
33%
1.7
10+1
0.3
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
6.0
100%
24.7
100%
8
3230.30.0
-
10GironaGirona34
33%
1.3
75+2
4.0
100%
67%
33%
6.3
0%
6.3
100%
28.3
100%
114
6428222.31.7
-
11Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
7.0
0%
5.7
100%
28.3
67%
8
4121.71.3
-
12BurgosBurgos34
33%
1.3
55+0
3.3
67%
67%
67%
8.3
0%
3.0
33%
27.7
100%
17
8461.71.7
46%
13Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
33%
11.0
67%
4.0
33%
30.7
67%
23
15441.31.3
44%
14OviedoOviedo34
33%
1.3
11+0
0.7
0%
0%
0%
9.7
67%
5.0
100%
25.7
100%
30
156100.30.3
-
15FC AndorraFC Andorra33
33%
1.0
76+1
4.3
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
4.0
67%
25.0
67%
15
6372.32.0
61%
16AlmeriaAlmeria33
33%
1.0
32+1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
11.3
67%
4.3
67%
22.0
67%
54
384111.00.7
52%
17CadizCadiz33
0%
1.0
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
33%
7.3
0%
5.3
67%
25.0
67%
27
113121.01.0
46%
18CordobaCordoba33
33%
1.0
57-2
4.0
100%
100%
67%
7.3
0%
5.0
67%
32.3
100%
16
4471.72.3
58%
19ValladolidValladolid31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
8.3
33%
6.3
100%
24.7
67%
26
106100.31.3
50%
20EldenseEldense31
0%
0.3
26-4
2.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
2.0
33%
18.0
33%
7
3130.72.0
-
21AlbaceteAlbacete30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
11.0
67%
4.0
33%
21.3
67%
18
8450.71.7
42%
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC30
0%
0.0
110-9
3.7
100%
67%
33%
6.7
33%
3.7
67%
28.0
67%
10
5130.33.3
51%
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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