This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.07
1.33
1.00
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (16)
1.25
1.25
1.67
0.89
0.71
1.71
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.86
0.83
1.17
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.65+5.2%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.45-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
Oviedo goals ↓
Ponferradina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.3%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.0%
8.7%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.1%
3.9%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oviedo goals (down), columns = Ponferradina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Oviedo is 0.12 points worse than Ponferradina in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Oviedo and Ponferradina are level in goals scored per game (both 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Oviedo is 0.10 goals better than Ponferradina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oviedo
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ponferradina
For 4.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.5
8.0
5.8
5.3
6.2
30.9
31.1
30.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
8.1
8.6
7.6
5.5
4.9
6.0
29.9
29.6
30.1
vs Weaker (18)
8.4
8.3
8.6
6.3
6.0
6.6
32.6
33.8
31.4
% over line
38%
44%
32%
80%
80%
80%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
62%
56%
68%
20%
20%
20%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
8.3
7.7
5.5
5.9
5.2
30.5
30.5
30.5
vs Stronger (27)
8.1
8.4
7.7
5.4
5.5
5.3
30.7
30.8
30.6
vs Similar (23)
7.9
8.1
7.7
5.7
6.4
5.1
30.3
30.2
30.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
38%
23%
84%
83%
85%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
70%
62%
77%
16%
17%
15%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Almeria
9.4
Castellón
9.2
Mallorca
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Zaragoza
8.9
Mirandes
8.8
Espanyol
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Logrones
8.6
Albacete
8.5
Rayo Vallecano
8.4
Alcorcon
8.4
Fuenlabrada
8.3
Girona
8.3
Tenerife
8.3
Oviedo
8.2
Sporting Gijon
8.2
Las Palmas
8.2
FC Cartagena
8.1
Ponferradina
8.0
Malaga
7.9
Leganes
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.6
Albacete
6.0
FC Cartagena
6.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Oviedo
5.8
Las Palmas
5.7
Leganes
5.7
Girona
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Ponferradina
5.5
Mallorca
5.4
Lugo
5.3
Tenerife
5.3
Malaga
5.3
Espanyol
5.0
Alcorcon
5.0
Zaragoza
4.9
Mirandes
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Castellón
4.7
Logrones
4.4
Sporting Gijon
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rayo Vallecano
33.8
Fuenlabrada
33.7
FC Cartagena
33.4
Girona
32.8
Las Palmas
31.6
Logrones
31.4
Leganes
31.4
Malaga
31.1
Albacete
30.9
Oviedo
30.9
Tenerife
30.7
Ponferradina
30.5
Alcorcon
30.2
Almeria
30.0
Sabadell
28.8
Mirandes
28.8
Mallorca
28.7
Zaragoza
28.5
Lugo
28.0
Espanyol
27.8
Castellón
27.6
Sporting Gijon
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
29.7%
Under 9.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.5%
Under 3.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.3%
Under 21.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.53
0.40
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.42
0.50
0.50
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.27
0.60
0.20
0.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.60
0.53
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
0.81
0.67
0.67
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.21
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.87
0.80
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.68
0.90
0.70
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.73
0.80
1.00
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
0.44
1.00
0.22
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.64
0.33
0.83
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oviedo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Ponferradina · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri19%
Eduardo Espiau12%
Daniel Ojeda11%
Hugo Vallejo10%
José Naranjo8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Naim García6%
Adrián Castellano6%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
José Amo6%
Alexandru Paşcanu6%
Agus Medina3%
Kelechi Nwakali3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Erik Morán0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Kelechi Nwakali31%
Agus Medina30%
Adrián Diéguez30%
Adrián Castellano29%
Jordan Lukaku29%
Paris Barandiaran28%
Alexandru Paşcanu28%
Erik Morán24%
Daniel Ojeda22%
Heriberto Tavares21%
Derik Lacerda21%
Sabit Abdulai21%
José Naranjo19%
Naim García19%
Eduardo Espiau18%
Amir Abedzadeh17%
Moises Delgado15%
Giorgi Makaridze14%
Hugo Vallejo14%
Aldair12%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
Yuri3%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ojeda14%
Naim García12%
Kelechi Nwakali8%
Alexandru Paşcanu8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Moises Delgado6%
José Naranjo6%
Paris Barandiaran6%
Heriberto Tavares5%
Sabit Abdulai5%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Adrián Diéguez3%
Agus Medina3%
Yuri3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
José Amo0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Aldair0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naim García19%
José Naranjo14%
Daniel Ojeda14%
Kelechi Nwakali6%
Yuri5%
Derik Lacerda5%
Eduardo Espiau5%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
José Amo0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Agus Medina0%
Miguel San Román0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →