Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Result & Analysis

The contest between Panathinaikos and Olympiakos Piraeus is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35% and 36% respectively, while a draw is 29%. The average goal output is 2.5, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 14.1% chance. Panathinaikos, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.5 conceded; Olympiakos, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.33 scored and 0.89 conceded. The model’s selections include a 96.4% chance of over 19.5 fouls, 93.5% for over 2.5 cards, 91.6% for over 21.5 fouls, 84.2% for over 3.5 cards, 83.5% for over 23.5 fouls, 82.7% for under 11.5 corners, 75.3% for under 3.5, and 73.6% for under 10.5 corners. All figures are presented as percentages, reflecting the model’s assessment of each outcome.

The pre-match favourite, Olympiakos Piraeus, fell short as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Panathinaikos, unbeaten in their last five, kept the scoreline at 0-0, extending their streak of avoiding defeat. The model had given Olympiakos a 36% chance of victory, but the game ended in a stalemate. Every suggested pick was settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.4%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 93.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 91.6%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 84.2%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 83.5%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 82.7%, Under 3.5 hit at 75.3%, and Under 10.5 corners missed at 73.6%. The model’s selection for the final score was not correct.