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Panevėžys II vs Šilas Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 3-0
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Vs
36%
22%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panevėžys II win✓ Hit
35.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šilas win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L32W21W12L32W21W11D42W31W13LA·MIN09/07H·BFA05/08A·NEP12/08A·TRA22/08H·BAB28/08A·ATM03/09H·EKR06/09H·BAN12/09A·ŽAL18/09A·FA 03/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.622.251.752.331.502.17
vs Stronger (4)1.252.753.002.000.673.00
vs Similar (8)1.622.251.502.501.752.00
vs Weaker (12)1.752.081.712.291.801.80
Clean sheet %4% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W15L20W21W21W14L21W32W20WH·BE106/07H·BFA09/07H·EKR06/08H·MIN15/08H·NEP18/08H·TRA25/08A·BAB03/09H·ATM08/09A·BAN16/09H·ŽAL30/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.961.332.150.921.731.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.502.502.001.001.004.00
vs Weaker (18)2.110.942.200.902.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%05%114%219%319%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.7%
Under 1.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.5%
Under 2.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.8%
Under 3.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
77.2%
No
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
Panevėžys II goals ↓
Šilas goals →
01234
02.2%2.7%3.7%2.7%1.4%
12.4%7.4%7.3%5.3%2.9%
23.1%6.7%7.3%5.3%2.9%
32.1%4.5%4.8%3.5%1.9%
41.0%2.2%2.4%1.7%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panevėžys II goals (down), columns = Šilas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Panevėžys II is 0.57 points worse than Šilas in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Panevėžys II is 0.13 goals worse than Šilas in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Panevėžys II is 0.73 goals worse than Šilas in terms of goals conceded per game (2.10 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W20W10W11D11D01L21W11D01LA·MIN09/07H·BFA05/08A·NEP12/08A·TRA22/08H·BAB28/08A·ATM03/09H·EKR06/09H·BAN12/09A·ŽAL18/09A·FA 03/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.120.831.330.670.92
vs Stronger (4)0.501.251.001.000.331.33
vs Similar (8)1.001.251.002.001.000.50
vs Weaker (12)0.671.000.711.000.601.00
Clean sheet %21% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W12L10W20W10W01L00D20W10WH·BE106/07H·BFA09/07H·EKR06/08H·MIN15/08H·NEP18/08H·TRA25/08A·BAB03/09H·ATM08/09A·BAN16/09H·ŽAL30/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.521.090.360.600.70
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.401.201.000.500.001.67
vs Weaker (16)1.000.311.110.330.860.29
Clean sheet %62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L02L21W10W10W21W20W12LA·MIN09/07H·BFA05/08A·NEP12/08A·TRA22/08H·BAB28/08A·ATM03/09H·EKR06/09H·BAN12/09A·ŽAL18/09A·FA 03/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.120.921.000.831.25
vs Stronger (4)0.751.502.001.000.331.67
vs Similar (8)0.621.000.500.500.751.50
vs Weaker (12)1.081.081.001.291.200.80
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L10W01L11D13L21W12L10WH·BE106/07H·BFA09/07H·EKR06/08H·MIN15/08H·NEP18/08H·TRA25/08A·BAB03/09H·ATM08/09A·BAN16/09H·ŽAL30/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.140.901.180.641.101.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.600.500.501.002.33
vs Weaker (16)1.250.691.330.671.140.71
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.5%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes77.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
PI wins
0
Draws
1
ŠIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Panevėžys II vs Šilas · H/A from PI
DateH/AGameScore
03/06/22AŠilas Vs PI6-0

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs PI3-1
18/09/22AŽalgiris II Vs PI1-3
12/09/22HPI Vs Banga II4-2
06/09/22HPI Vs Ekranas1-1
03/09/22AAtmosfera Vs PI1-2
28/08/22HPI Vs Babrungas3-2
22/08/22ATrakai II Vs PI2-1
12/08/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs PI1-2
05/08/22HPI Vs BFA3-2
09/07/22AMinija Vs PI2-1

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/22HŠIL Vs Žalgiris II2-0
16/09/22ABanga II Vs ŠIL2-3
08/09/22HŠIL Vs Atmosfera2-1
03/09/22ABabrungas Vs ŠIL4-1
25/08/22HŠIL Vs Trakai II2-1
18/08/22HŠIL Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-1
15/08/22HŠIL Vs Minija2-0
06/08/22HŠIL Vs Ekranas1-5
09/07/22HŠIL Vs BFA2-0
06/07/22HŠIL Vs Be1 NFA1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.12
HomeWWWDW1.25
AwayWLWWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%33%25%
AVG goals3.884.083.67
Over 1.5 %96%92%100%
Over 2.5 %83%75%92%
Over 3.5 %58%67%50%
Scored1.621.751.50
Conceded2.252.332.17
BTTS79%67%92%
Clean Sheet4%8%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.92
HomeWWWWW2.23
AwayLLDLW1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%69%45%
AVG goals3.293.083.55
Over 1.5 %88%92%82%
Over 2.5 %62%54%73%
Over 3.5 %42%31%55%
Scored1.962.151.73
Conceded1.330.921.82
BTTS58%46%73%
Clean Sheet33%46%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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