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Panevėžys II vs Šilas Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Vs
24%
24%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panevėžys II win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šilas win✓ Hit
51.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L21W12L33D03L41W22D12L11D25LH·TRA30/04A·TRA14/05H·MIN22/05A·FA 29/05H·GAR04/06A·KAU08/06H·ŽAL23/06H·EKR01/07H·BFA31/07A·BAB04/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.871.331.931.731.80
vs Stronger (8)1.382.501.332.171.503.50
vs Similar (8)1.621.252.001.671.401.00
vs Weaker (14)1.571.861.001.832.001.88
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L20W21W10W00D20W13L23L05L13LH·BAB23/04H·KAU30/04A·BE113/05H·NEV19/05A·NEP26/05A·JON04/06A·TRA10/06A·MIN01/07H·FA 29/07H·GAR05/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.571.311.501.501.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.621.001.001.252.25
vs Weaker (22)1.501.551.421.671.601.40
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
0-1 ✓
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
4.8%
Panevėžys II goals ↓
Šilas goals →
01234
04.8%6.6%7.4%4.8%2.3%
14.0%11%9.6%6.2%3.1%
23.3%6.4%6.2%4.1%2.0%
31.4%2.8%2.7%1.8%0.9%
40.5%0.9%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panevėžys II goals (down), columns = Šilas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Panevėžys II is 0.49 points worse than Šilas in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Panevėžys II is 0.33 goals better than Šilas in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Panevėžys II is 0.10 goals worse than Šilas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L22D01L01L10W01L10W02LH·TRA30/04A·TRA14/05H·MIN22/05A·FA 29/05H·GAR04/06A·KAU08/06H·ŽAL23/06H·EKR01/07H·BFA31/07A·BAB04/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.600.870.600.73
vs Stronger (8)0.381.000.500.830.001.50
vs Similar (8)0.880.381.001.000.800.00
vs Weaker (14)0.570.930.500.830.621.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W10W00D00D01L11D02L02LH·BAB23/04H·KAU30/04A·BE113/05H·NEV19/05A·NEP26/05A·JON04/06A·TRA10/06A·MIN01/07H·FA 29/07H·GAR05/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.620.500.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.500.500.250.250.75
vs Weaker (22)0.640.550.670.580.600.50
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D00D11D02L40W12L11D01L23LH·TRA30/04A·TRA14/05H·MIN22/05A·FA 29/05H·GAR04/06A·KAU08/06H·ŽAL23/06H·EKR01/07H·BFA31/07A·BAB04/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.070.731.071.131.07
vs Stronger (8)1.001.500.831.331.502.00
vs Similar (8)0.750.881.000.670.601.00
vs Weaker (14)1.000.930.501.001.380.88
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W11D00D00D20W12L12L03L11DH·BAB23/04H·KAU30/04A·BE113/05H·NEV19/05A·NEP26/05A·JON04/06A·TRA10/06A·MIN01/07H·FA 29/07H·GAR05/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.030.691.001.001.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.751.120.500.751.001.50
vs Weaker (22)0.861.000.751.081.000.90
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
PI wins
0
Draws
2
ŠIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Panevėžys II vs Šilas · H/A from PI
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/23AŠilas Vs PI2-1
08/10/22HPI Vs Šilas3-0
03/06/22AŠilas Vs PI6-0

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/23ABabrungas Vs PI5-2
31/07/23HPI Vs BFA1-1
01/07/23HPI Vs Ekranas1-2
23/06/23HPI Vs Žalgiris II2-2
08/06/23AKauno Žalgiris II Vs PI1-4
04/06/23HPI Vs Garliava0-3
29/05/23AFA Šiauliai II Vs PI3-3
22/05/23HPI Vs Minija1-2
14/05/23ATrakai II Vs PI1-2
30/04/23HPI Vs TransINVEST Vilnius0-3

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23HŠIL Vs Garliava1-3
29/07/23HŠIL Vs FA Šiauliai II0-5
01/07/23AMinija Vs ŠIL3-2
10/06/23ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs ŠIL3-1
04/06/23AJonava Vs ŠIL0-2
26/05/23ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs ŠIL0-0
19/05/23HŠIL Vs Nevėžis1-0
13/05/23ABe1 NFA Vs ŠIL1-2
30/04/23HŠIL Vs Kauno Žalgiris II2-0
23/04/23HŠIL Vs Babrungas0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.11
HomeLLDLD0.96
AwayWWDWL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%25%35%
AVG goals3.573.543.61
Over 1.5 %94%92%96%
Over 2.5 %79%71%87%
Over 3.5 %45%46%43%
Scored1.491.381.61
Conceded2.092.172.00
BTTS70%58%83%
Clean Sheet11%12%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.76
HomeLWWLL1.91
AwayWDWLL1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%61%48%
AVG goals3.022.873.17
Over 1.5 %83%83%83%
Over 2.5 %57%52%61%
Over 3.5 %37%30%43%
Scored1.611.651.57
Conceded1.411.221.61
BTTS50%39%61%
Clean Sheet37%43%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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