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PAOK II vs Makedonikos Neapolis Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
PAOK II
PAOK II
Vs
50%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Makedonikos Neapolis
Makedonikos Neapolis
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK II win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAOK IIPAOK II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L24L20W10W21W13L22D42W00D11DA·IRA07/04A·KAM10/04H·ANA14/04H·KAM21/04A·AIO29/04A·KOZ08/05H·IRA14/05A·ANA22/05H·IRA22/09A·NIK30/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.401.770.851.351.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.561.441.621.001.501.88
vs Weaker (14)1.501.362.000.601.221.78
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Makedonikos Neapolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D02L12L11D31W10W00D00D10WH·LAR07/04A·NIK14/04A·LEV20/04H·AEK10/05A·LAR15/05H·NIK23/05A·ORE08/09H·LAR14/09A·DIA23/09H·KAM29/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.171.271.071.131.27
vs Stronger (13)1.081.691.501.500.711.86
vs Similar (16)1.310.811.110.781.570.86
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
PAOK II goals ↓
Makedonikos Neapolis goals →
01234
010%6.8%3.6%1.1%0.3%
112%13%5.5%1.7%0.4%
210%9.3%4.2%1.3%0.3%
35.2%4.7%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.0%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK II goals (down), columns = Makedonikos Neapolis goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larisa
2.54
Kifisia
2.50
Kalamata
2.38
Iraklis 1908
2.08
Panionios
1.81
PAS Giannina
1.54
PAOK II
1.27
Niki Volos
1.23
Kissamikos
1.19
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.19
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.19
Panachaiki FC
1.12
Kavala
1.08
Diagoras
1.04
Egaleo
1.00
AEK Athens II
0.96
Asteras Tripolis II
0.96
Panargiakos
0.92
Ilioupoli
0.88
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.35
PAOK II is 0.08 points better than Makedonikos Neapolis in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Larisa
2.23
Iraklis 1908
1.88
Kifisia
1.88
Kalamata
1.58
Panionios
1.50
PAS Giannina
1.35
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.31
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.23
Kissamikos
1.12
PAOK II
1.08
Niki Volos
1.04
Asteras Tripolis II
1.00
AEK Athens II
0.92
Panargiakos
0.80
Kavala
0.77
Panachaiki FC
0.76
Ilioupoli
0.73
Egaleo
0.65
Diagoras
0.62
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.38
PAOK II is 0.15 goals worse than Makedonikos Neapolis in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kifisia
0.50
Kalamata
0.54
Larisa
0.58
Panionios
0.69
Iraklis 1908
0.81
Diagoras
0.96
Panachaiki FC
1.00
Kissamikos
1.08
PAOK II
1.12
Niki Volos
1.12
Kavala
1.23
AEK Athens II
1.31
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.31
Egaleo
1.35
Panargiakos
1.36
Asteras Tripolis II
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.46
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.73
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.81
PAOK II is 0.38 goals better than Makedonikos Neapolis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PAOK IIPAOK II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L10W10W01L11D00D30W00D01LA·IRA07/04A·KAM10/04H·ANA14/04H·KAM21/04A·AIO29/04A·KOZ08/05H·IRA14/05A·ANA22/05H·IRA22/09A·NIK30/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.850.230.591.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.620.620.250.621.00
vs Weaker (14)0.790.791.200.200.561.11
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Makedonikos Neapolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L12L11D21W10W00D00D10WH·LAR07/04A·NIK14/04A·LEV20/04H·AEK10/05A·LAR15/05H·NIK23/05A·ORE08/09H·LAR14/09A·DIA23/09H·KAM29/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.600.730.730.47
vs Stronger (13)0.541.000.671.170.430.86
vs Similar (16)0.750.310.560.441.000.14
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PAOK IIPAOK II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W10W00D20W02L22D12L00D10WA·IRA07/04A·KAM10/04H·ANA14/04H·KAM21/04A·AIO29/04A·KOZ08/05H·IRA14/05A·ANA22/05H·IRA22/09A·NIK30/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.920.620.760.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.940.811.000.750.880.88
vs Weaker (14)0.710.570.800.400.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Makedonikos Neapolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D01L00D00D10W00D00D00D00DH·LAR07/04A·NIK14/04A·LEV20/04H·AEK10/05A·LAR15/05H·NIK23/05A·ORE08/09H·LAR14/09A·DIA23/09H·KAM29/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.670.330.400.80
vs Stronger (13)0.540.690.830.330.291.00
vs Similar (16)0.560.500.560.330.570.71
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (28)
€11m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
PAOK II's squad is €3m more valuable than Makedonikos Neapolis's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
PAOK II's attack is €1m more valuable than Makedonikos Neapolis's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
PAOK II and Makedonikos Neapolis have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
ATI (10)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
PAOK II and Makedonikos Neapolis have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
PI wins
1
Draws
2
MN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

PAOK II vs Makedonikos Neapolis · H/A from PI
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/24HPI Vs Makedonikos Neapolis2-0
29/10/23AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs PI3-2
17/06/23AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs PI3-1
18/03/23HPI Vs Makedonikos Neapolis3-3

PAOK IIPAOK II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/24ANiki Volos Vs PI1-1
22/09/24HPI Vs Iraklis 19080-0
22/05/24AAnagennisi Karditsas Vs PI2-4
14/05/24HPI Vs Iraklis 19082-2
08/05/24AKozani Vs PI3-1
29/04/24AAiolikos Vs PI1-2
21/04/24HPI Vs Kampaniakos Chalastra1-0
14/04/24HPI Vs Anagennisi Karditsas2-0
10/04/24AKampaniakos Chalastra Vs PI4-2
07/04/24AIraklis 1908 Vs PI2-1

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24HMN Vs Kampaniakos Chalastra1-0
23/09/24ADiagoras Vs MN0-0
14/09/24HMN Vs Larisa0-0
08/09/24AOrestis Orestiadas Vs MN0-1
23/05/24HMN Vs Niki Volos3-1
15/05/24ALarisa Vs MN1-1
10/05/24HMN Vs AEK Athens II1-2
20/04/24ALevadiakos Vs MN2-0
14/04/24ANiki Volos Vs MN1-1
07/04/24HMN Vs Larisa3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

PAOK II
PAOK II
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.50
HomeWWWDD1.81
AwayLWLWD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%33%
AVG goals3.022.883.17
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %42%38%46%
Scored1.641.771.50
Conceded1.381.121.67
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Makedonikos Neapolis
Makedonikos Neapolis
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.26
HomeWLWDW1.38
AwayDLDWD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals2.202.122.27
Over 1.5 %62%50%73%
Over 2.5 %38%42%35%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.061.121.00
Conceded1.141.001.27
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarisaLarisa2666
77%
2.5
5815+43
2.8
85%
62%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.20.6
-
2KifisiaKifisia2665
77%
2.5
4913+36
2.4
65%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.90.5
-
3KalamataKalamata2662
73%
2.4
4114+27
2.1
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.60.5
-
4Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082654
62%
2.1
4921+28
2.7
77%
62%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.90.8
-
5PanioniosPanionios2647
50%
1.8
3918+21
2.2
77%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.50.7
-
6PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2640
38%
1.5
3538-3
2.8
77%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.5
-
7PAOK IIPAOK II2633
35%
1.3
2829-1
2.2
62%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8Niki VolosNiki Volos2632
23%
1.2
2729-2
2.2
73%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.1
-
9KissamikosKissamikos2631
31%
1.2
2928+1
2.2
62%
46%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
81%
62%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.5
-
11Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2631
31%
1.2
3447-13
3.1
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
12Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC2528
28%
1.1
1925-6
1.8
48%
28%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
13KavalaKavala2628
23%
1.1
2032-12
2.0
58%
31%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.81.2
-
14DiagorasDiagoras2627
23%
1.0
1625-9
1.6
38%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.0
-
15EgaleoEgaleo2626
27%
1.0
1735-18
2.0
54%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.71.3
-
16AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II2625
19%
1.0
2434-10
2.2
58%
38%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
17Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2625
23%
1.0
2637-11
2.4
69%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.4
-
18PanargiakosPanargiakos2523
24%
0.9
2034-14
2.2
60%
36%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
19IlioupoliIlioupoli2623
23%
0.9
1945-26
2.5
73%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.71.7
-
20Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou269
4%
0.3
1034-24
1.7
42%
27%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.3
-
Greece: Super League 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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