Partick vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Partick’s recent form, a draw followed by two wins, suggests a sharp attacking edge, while Queen’s Park’s defensive frailty - conceding over two goals per game - raises the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. The model projects a 45% chance of a home win, 24% for a draw, and 30% for an away win, with the home side favoured as the most probable outcome. The expected total goals sit at 3.3, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.7% chance. Partick will average 2.14 goals scored and 1.64 conceded at home against a similarly-matched opponent, whereas Queen’s Park will average 1.23 goals scored and 2.08 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls (90.1%), Over 1.5 goals (85.7% hit), Under 5.5 cards (85.2%), Under 23.5 fouls (80.8%), and Under 4.5 cards (71.7%).

The model’s forecast proved spot on, with Partick securing a 3-2 win to extend their run of victories. The pre-match favourite was a home win at 45 percent, and the prediction was correct. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, at 85.7 percent, hit as well, with five goals scored. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 fell short, but the 2-1 outcome, at 9 percent probability, also missed. The match saw Partick’s home form improve after a draw, while Queen’s Park returned from a draw on the road. Overall, the favoured result and the key selection both came through.