Patro Eisden are the clear favourites, with the model picking a home win and a 44% chance of victory, a 26% draw probability and a 30% chance for Club Brugge II to win. The expected total is 3.0 goals, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 24% chance of that outcome. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. Patro Eisden, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Club Brugge II, on the road, average 1.08 scored and 1.92 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (96.8% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.4% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.0% with a 3% edge), Over 19.5 fouls (93.2%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.8% with a 3% edge). Patro Eisden have just returned from a defeat, while Club Brugge II are on a two-game winning streak.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite Patro Eisden failed to deliver a home win, falling 1-2 to Club Brugge II. The model had picked a home victory with a 44% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score matched the away team’s 2-goal haul, confirming the actual result of an away win. All of the model’s suggested picks hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Under 6.5 at 96.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 93.3% and Under 5.5 at 92.0%. The win extends Club Brugge II’s three-game winning run, while Patro Eisden’s streak of two straight defeats continues.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Patro Eisden win✗ Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied 49.9% · @ 1.83
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.91
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
SBO
1.84
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.44
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.67
Dafabet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
BetVictor
3.50
Club Brugge II win✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.88
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.22
BetVictor
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
1xBet
3.99
Unibet
3.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Patro Eisden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.47
1.33
1.20
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
-
-
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.46
1.25
1.50
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
2.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.73
1.00
1.80
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
1.08
1.88
1.08
1.85
1.08
1.92
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
@ 1.26+7.2%
Under 1.5
19.4%
@ 3.49-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.63
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.86+6.6%
Under 2.5
43.2%
@ 1.87-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
@ 3.13+4.8%
Under 3.5
65.6%
@ 1.32-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
10Bet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.3%
@ 1.74+7.2%
No
39.7%
@ 1.97-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
No
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.01+5.2%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.36+3.4%
1-2 ✓
7.4%@ 11.30+3.6%
1-0
7.4%@ 6.69+0.9%
2-0
6.9%@ 7.97+1.6%
0-0
6.3%@ 9.60+1.8%
2-2
6.1%@ 12.57+2.7%
0-1
5.7%@ 10.31+1.6%
Patro Eisden goals ↓
Club Brugge II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
5.7%
4.5%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.4%
12%
7.4%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.2%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.8%
5.0%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.6%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Patro Eisden goals (down), columns = Club Brugge II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Patro Eisden is 0.94 points better than Club Brugge II in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 0.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KRC Genk II
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Patro Eisden is 0.34 goals better than Club Brugge II in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
Club Brugge II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Patro Eisden is 0.47 goals better than Club Brugge II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Patro Eisden is 17.4 percentage points worse than Club Brugge II in terms of average possession (38% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Patro Eisden
For 4.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 12.1 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Club Brugge II
For 3.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 16.3 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.8
8.3
4.1
4.5
3.7
28.9
28.4
29.5
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
8.9
9.3
8.4
4.0
4.7
3.5
29.0
28.8
29.3
vs Weaker (6)
6.8
5.0
8.0
5.0
3.7
6.3
28.4
25.0
30.7
% over line
22%
21%
24%
58%
58%
58%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
78%
79%
76%
42%
42%
42%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.9
3.5
3.5
3.4
27.0
27.5
26.4
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
9.0
5.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
22.0
20.0
24.0
vs Similar (44)
9.6
9.8
9.3
3.7
3.7
3.7
27.2
27.9
26.6
vs Weaker (2)
5.0
-
5.0
1.0
0.0
2.0
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
45%
45%
45%
50%
58%
42%
83%
86%
80%
% under line
55%
55%
55%
50%
42%
58%
17%
14%
20%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
Francs Borains
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
Dender
9.6
Club Brugge II
9.5
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
Liège
4.6
RSC Anderlecht II
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.3
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.2
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
26.9
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.8
Beerschot VA
24.3
Dender
21.2
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.6%
@ 2.02-6.3%
Under 9.5
60.4%
@ 1.71+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
Unibet
1.66
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.0%
Under 21.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Patro Eisden or Draw✗ Miss
70.2%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.21
Edge
-6.3%
44%
26%
30%
covers Patro Eisden + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Patro Eisden or Club Brugge II✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.2%
44%
26%
30%
covers Patro Eisden + Club Brugge II
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Club Brugge II✓ Hit
56.2%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.85
Edge
+6.4%
44%
26%
30%
covers Draw + Club Brugge II
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.90
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.6%
@ 1.17+1.6%
Under
19.4%
@ 4.42-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.8%
@ 1.87-0.6%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.83+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.7%
@ 3.74-2.0%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.23+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.87
10Bet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Patro Eisden over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 8.68-2.4%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.80
Betano
7.40
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Club Brugge II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.4%
@ 1.45+9.4%
Under
26.6%
@ 2.57-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
BetVictor
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Under
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.60
Club Brugge II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.1%
@ 3.21+9.3%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.30-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.26
Under
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Club Brugge II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 8.58+4.0%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.04-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.70
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Club Brugge II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 20.50-0.2%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Patro Eisden, so a minus line means Patro Eisden give that many goals of a start and Club Brugge II receive them. At -1, Patro Eisden must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Patro Eisden win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Patro Eisden)Actual: Club Brugge II
Patro Eisden -2
9.7%
@ 6.67-3.7%
Draw -2
13.5%
@ 5.28-3.4%
Club Brugge II +2
76.8%
@ 1.28+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Unibet
6.40
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Patro Eisden)Actual: Club Brugge II
Patro Eisden -1
23.2%
@ 3.24-4.2%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 3.54-4.6%
Club Brugge II +1
56.2%
@ 1.87+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.35
Away
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Patro Eisden)Actual: Draw
Patro Eisden +1
70.2%
@ 1.21-3.5%
Draw +1
16.4%
@ 5.54+0.2%
Club Brugge II -1
13.5%
@ 8.72+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
8.90
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Patro Eisden)Actual: Patro Eisden
Patro Eisden +2
86.5%
@ 1.05-2.3%
Draw +2
8.8%
@ 13.00+1.7%
Club Brugge II -2
4.7%
@ 23.00+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.63
0.33
0.67
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.35
0.73
0.38
0.77
0.31
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.36+2.6%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 2.90-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.7%
@ 2.68+2.2%
Under 1.5
63.3%
@ 1.41-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 6.61+0.2%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.08-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.2%
@ 1.77+2.8%
Under
44.8%
@ 1.94-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 5.01+2.6%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.13-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 11.38-3.5%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Club Brugge II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.9%
@ 2.46+0.3%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.48-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Marathonbet
2.48
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Club Brugge II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 8.75-2.3%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.70
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Club Brugge II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
1.07
0.93
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.96
0.92
1.00
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
1.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.10
0.67
1.13
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
1.15
0.69
1.08
0.77
1.23
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.22+2.3%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.81-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.80
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 2.06+2.0%
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.68-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.7%
@ 4.31-0.7%
Under 2.5
79.3%
@ 1.17+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.4%
@ 1.55-0.2%
Under
40.6%
@ 2.29+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.5%
@ 3.58-2.2%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.24+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 9.03-1.8%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Club Brugge II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 2.04+3.1%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.70-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Club Brugge II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 6.33-1.2%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.08+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.95
1xBet
6.70
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Club Brugge II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 16.75-3.5%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
1.08
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
1.23
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.6%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.26
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.6%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.3%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.8%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.4%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
BetVictor
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.1%
1.41
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.36
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.2%
1.21
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-6.3%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
70.2%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-3.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Patro Eisden · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Léandro Rousseau41%
Radja Nainggolan21%
Raymond Asante20%
Japhet Muanza15%
Nicolas Orye14%
Kéres Masangu9%
Vancy Mabanza8%
Jordan Renson7%
Amir Rais6%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Kjetil Borry4%
Stef Peeters4%
Milan Robberechts4%
Ridwane M'Barki0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Ilyas Lefrancq0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Prychynenko42%
Vancy Mabanza42%
Muhammad Carrim33%
Milan Robberechts33%
Kéres Masangu32%
Japhet Muanza30%
Stef Peeters30%
Kjetil Borry29%
Justin Munezero25%
Radja Nainggolan21%
Aloïs Penin20%
Raymond Asante20%
Arnaud Dony16%
Léandro Rousseau15%
Jordan Renson14%
Ilyas Lefrancq11%
Amir Rais11%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Nicolas Orye9%
Julien Devriendt8%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Radja Nainggolan36%
Stef Peeters26%
Milan Robberechts11%
Ilyas Lefrancq11%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Japhet Muanza5%
Nicolas Orye5%
Kjetil Borry4%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Jordan Renson0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Raymond Asante0%
Amir Rais0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Léandro Rousseau37%
Jimmy Kaparos33%
Raymond Asante30%
Radja Nainggolan29%
Kéres Masangu18%
Vancy Mabanza17%
Nicolas Orye9%
Stef Peeters7%
Milan Robberechts7%
Amir Rais6%
Japhet Muanza5%
Jordan Renson4%
Kjetil Borry0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Ridwane M'Barki0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Ilyas Lefrancq0%
Club Brugge II · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shandre Campbell33%
Yanis Musuayi17%
Jakke Van Britsom15%
Sem Audoor14%
Alejandro Granados11%
Thibaut Van Acker11%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva8%
Vince Osuji6%
Rayan Buifrahi6%
Tian Nai Koren6%
Siebe Wylin5%
Laurens Goemaere4%
Tobias Lund Jensen4%
Lynnt Audoor0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Jano Willems0%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo0%
Axl De Corte0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Argus Vanden Driessche0%
Alexander Vandeperre0%
Samuel Gomez Van Hoogen0%
Wout Verlinden0%
Andre Garcia0%
Naïm Amengai0%
Lucas Delorge0%
Gianluca Okon-Engstler0%
Mohamed Elbay0%
Utku Kurtal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shandre Campbell67%
Lucas Delorge33%
Lynnt Audoor25%
Sem Audoor21%
Samuel Gomez Van Hoogen21%
Laurens Goemaere17%
Alejandro Granados17%
Axl De Corte14%
Wout Verlinden14%
Gianluca Okon-Engstler14%
Yanis Musuayi13%
Andre Garcia12%
Vince Osuji12%
Thibaut Van Acker11%
Naïm Amengai9%
Jesse Bisiwu8%
Alexander Vandeperre7%
Rayan Buifrahi6%
Tian Nai Koren6%
Siebe Wylin5%
Jakke Van Britsom5%
Tobias Lund Jensen4%
Renzo Tytens0%
Jano Willems0%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo0%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva0%
Argus Vanden Driessche0%
Mohamed Elbay0%
Utku Kurtal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Lund Jensen17%
Alexander Vandeperre14%
Tian Nai Koren12%
Lucas Delorge8%
Sem Audoor7%
Alejandro Granados6%
Siebe Wylin5%
Yanis Musuayi4%
Samuel Gomez Van Hoogen4%
Thibaut Van Acker0%
Lynnt Audoor0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Jano Willems0%
Laurens Goemaere0%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo0%
Axl De Corte0%
Rayan Buifrahi0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva0%
Argus Vanden Driessche0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Wout Verlinden0%
Andre Garcia0%
Vince Osuji0%
Naïm Amengai0%
Jakke Van Britsom0%
Gianluca Okon-Engstler0%
Mohamed Elbay0%
Utku Kurtal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shandre Campbell100%
Kaye Iyowuna Furo17%
Thibaut Van Acker11%
Rayan Buifrahi6%
Tian Nai Koren6%
Alejandro Granados6%
Yanis Musuayi4%
Tobias Lund Jensen4%
Sem Audoor0%
Lynnt Audoor0%
Siebe Wylin0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Jano Willems0%
Laurens Goemaere0%
Axl De Corte0%
Jesse Bisiwu0%
Jessi Pedro Da Silva0%
Argus Vanden Driessche0%
Alexander Vandeperre0%
Samuel Gomez Van Hoogen0%
Wout Verlinden0%
Andre Garcia0%
Vince Osuji0%
Naïm Amengai0%
Jakke Van Britsom0%
Lucas Delorge0%
Gianluca Okon-Engstler0%
Mohamed Elbay0%
Utku Kurtal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Dender
Lokeren-Temse
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Liège
KRC Genk II
KAA Gent II
Seraing United
RSC Anderlecht II