This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.23
2.00
1.13
1.20
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.62
1.27
2.08
1.23
1.15
1.31
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
Patro Eisden goals ↓
Deinze goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
6.3%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
1
8.8%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.3%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.1%
4.9%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Patro Eisden goals (down), columns = Deinze goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Patro Eisden is 0.17 points worse than Deinze in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Patro Eisden is 0.37 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Patro Eisden is 0.14 goals better than Deinze in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Patro Eisden is 8.5 percentage points worse than Deinze in terms of average possession (41% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Patro Eisden
For 6.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deinze
For 4.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
9.2
9.9
8.3
4.3
4.3
4.3
26.6
26.0
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
9.1
10.5
7.6
4.0
3.9
4.0
26.5
25.7
27.4
vs Weaker (6)
9.3
8.0
10.7
5.8
6.0
5.7
27.0
27.0
27.0
% over line
36%
46%
25%
70%
67%
73%
76%
77%
75%
% under line
64%
54%
75%
30%
33%
27%
24%
23%
25%
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.3
10.2
2.5
2.1
2.9
26.0
26.7
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
11.0
10.7
11.2
2.8
2.3
3.2
26.7
27.2
26.3
vs Weaker (9)
9.3
18.0
5.0
1.2
0.8
1.6
20.3
21.0
20.0
% over line
56%
67%
46%
38%
32%
44%
64%
75%
54%
% under line
44%
33%
54%
62%
68%
56%
36%
25%
46%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Standard Liège II
12.6
Liège
11.7
Seraing United
11.5
Beerschot VA
11.5
Deinze
10.8
KRC Genk II
10.6
SK Beveren
10.6
K. Lierse S.K.
10.6
Francs Borains
10.5
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Lommel United
9.9
Oostende
9.8
Club Brugge II
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.6
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.4
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.5
Seraing United
5.4
RSC Anderlecht II
5.3
Standard Liège II
5.2
Patro Eisden
5.2
K. Lierse S.K.
5.1
Beerschot VA
5.0
Deinze
5.0
Dender
4.9
Lommel United
4.9
Oostende
4.8
Club Brugge II
4.2
SK Beveren
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KRC Genk II
27.5
Dender
26.9
Francs Borains
26.6
Patro Eisden
26.6
Seraing United
26.4
Deinze
26.0
Standard Liège II
25.8
Beerschot VA
25.7
RSC Anderlecht II
25.6
K. Lierse S.K.
25.4
Oostende
25.1
SK Beveren
24.6
Liège
24.6
Club Brugge II
23.5
Zulte Waregem
23.3
Lommel United
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.3%
Under 9.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.9%
Under 3.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.33
0.73
0.40
0.33
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.29
0.67
0.42
0.42
0.17
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.87
0.47
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.46
1.00
0.46
0.38
0.46
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
1.13
0.80
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.62
1.00
0.83
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
1.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
1.13
0.67
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.81
1.08
0.77
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marius Noubissi27%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson22%
Kevin Kis16%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Yacine Bentayeb11%
Lukas Van Eenoo8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Simon Bammens7%
Theo Pierrot7%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Stef Peeters5%
Wouter Corstjens4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Roman Ferber0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Jordan Renson0%
Jordi Belin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stef Peeters43%
Henk Dijkhuizen33%
Tom Pietermaat30%
Wouter Corstjens26%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu25%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Yassin Gueroui23%
Iebe Swers21%
Theo Pierrot21%
Marius Noubissi18%
Mehdi Bounou18%
Kevin Kis16%
Simon Bammens14%
Jordan Renson12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Justin Heekeren8%
Bafode Dansoko8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Elisha Sam6%
Roman Ferber0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Simon Bammens14%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Stef Peeters10%
Marius Noubissi9%
Kevin Kis8%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Tom Pietermaat4%
Jordan Renson4%
Roman Ferber0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anis Hadj Moussa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Ferber33%
Stef Peeters29%
Bafode Dansoko28%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Marius Noubissi18%
Elisha Sam12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Jordan Renson8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Theo Pierrot7%
Kevin Kis4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Simon Bammens0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu0%
Jordi Belin0%
Deinze
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Laurent Lemoine33%
Jellert Van Landschoot24%
Souleymane Anne22%
Lennart Mertens22%
Emilio Kehrer21%
Teo Quintero21%
Nicolas Mercier17%
Gaetan Hendrickx16%
Mamadou Koné12%
Guillaume De Schryver5%
Kenneth Schuermans4%
Dylan de Belder0%
Jur Schryvers0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Sven Braken0%
Víctor Álvarez0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steve De Ridder45%
Laurent Lemoine33%
Teo Quintero33%
Denis Prychynenko32%
Christophe Janssens29%
Kenneth Schuermans29%
Víctor Álvarez25%
Jaime Sierra25%
Dylan de Belder20%
Gonzalo Almenara20%
Lennart Mertens17%
Nicolas Mercier17%
Guillaume De Schryver16%
Sven Braken15%
Alessio Staelens13%
Ayman Kassimi12%
Andreas Spegelaere12%
Jellert Van Landschoot8%
Nacho Miras8%
Souleymane Anne6%
Emilio Kehrer5%
Gaetan Hendrickx4%
Jur Schryvers0%
Mamadou Koné0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetan Hendrickx36%
Emilio Kehrer16%
Alessio Staelens13%
Christophe Janssens12%
Jellert Van Landschoot8%
Sven Braken8%
Souleymane Anne6%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Gonzalo Almenara5%
Lennart Mertens4%
Teo Quintero4%
Dylan de Belder0%
Jur Schryvers0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Mamadou Koné0%
Víctor Álvarez0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Nacho Miras0%
Nicolas Mercier0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lennart Mertens35%
Souleymane Anne28%
Emilio Kehrer21%
Teo Quintero21%
Laurent Lemoine17%
Mamadou Koné12%
Ayman Kassimi12%
Dylan de Belder10%
Jellert Van Landschoot8%
Sven Braken8%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Guillaume De Schryver5%
Alessio Staelens4%
Kenneth Schuermans4%
Gaetan Hendrickx0%
Jur Schryvers0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Víctor Álvarez0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Nicolas Mercier0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II