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Patro Eisden vs Francs Borains Result & Analysis

Date: 17/04/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 4-0
Patro Eisden
Patro Eisden
Vs
43%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Francs Borains
Francs Borains
Belgium: Challenger Pro League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Patro Eisden a 43% win probability against Francs Borains in the Belgium: Challenger Pro League on 2026-04-17, with 27% for the draw and 31% for Francs Borains. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 19.5 fouls (94%), Over 21.5 fouls (87%), Over 2.5 cards (84%), Under 11.5 corners (82%).

Results analysis

Patro Eisden finished 4-0 against Francs Borains (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 43% home win, 27% draw and 31% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Patro Eisden win✓ Hit
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Patro EisdenPatro Eisden

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D44D32W14L12L00D11D21W04L02LA·LOM31/01H·KRC06/02A·CLU13/02H·SK 22/02A·KAA27/02A·RSC07/03H·LIÈ10/03A·K. 13/03H·BEE20/03A·SER05/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.301.211.501.311.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.351.471.001.621.671.33
vs Weaker (13)1.151.081.501.330.860.86
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Francs BorainsFrancs Borains

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L11D02L04L10W13L41W20W22DH·RWD08/02H·SK 15/02A·AS 21/02H·BEE28/02A·SER08/03H·LOK12/03A·LOM15/03H·KOR21/03A·K. 04/04H·KRC11/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.401.060.941.071.93
vs Stronger (16)1.061.251.220.560.862.14
vs Similar (12)1.001.751.001.501.002.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.001.003.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Patro Eisden goals ↓
Francs Borains goals →
01234
06.7%6.1%4.8%2.1%0.7%
17.6%13%7.5%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.1%6.0%2.6%0.9%
33.6%4.8%3.1%1.4%0.4%
41.4%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Patro Eisden goals (down), columns = Francs Borains goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
Patro Eisden is 0.50 points better than Francs Borains in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
Patro Eisden is 0.34 goals better than Francs Borains in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
Patro Eisden is 0.22 goals better than Francs Borains in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Patro Eisden is 7.0 percentage points worse than Francs Borains in terms of average possession (38% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Patro EisdenPatro Eisden

For 3.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.5

🚩 Corners

1004632526336425441242710579969569A·SERH·BEEA·K. H·LIÈA·RSCA·KAAH·SK A·CLUH·KRCA·LOM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

110342475541421323131721110564514A·SERH·BEEA·K. H·LIÈA·RSCA·KAAH·SK A·CLUH·KRCA·LOM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.6

⚠️ Fouls

340131913712181912211020148122410139181432203031313420342232A·SERH·BEEA·K. H·LIÈA·RSCA·KAAH·SK A·CLUH·KRCA·LOM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Francs BorainsFrancs Borains

For 4.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1903584374154246565244578121019610117812A·K. H·KORA·LOMH·LOKA·SERH·BEEA·AS H·SK H·RWDA·OLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7025212123242212124127323563363A·K. H·KORA·LOMH·LOKA·SERH·BEEA·AS H·SK H·RWDA·OLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

3601319121314121681310227181811111218131232252624232936223025A·K. H·KORA·LOMH·LOKA·SERH·BEEA·AS H·SK H·RWDA·OLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Patro EisdenPatro Eisden

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.08.64.44.84.029.028.629.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)9.49.88.84.25.03.429.028.729.5
vs Weaker (18)7.97.68.24.74.45.028.928.329.5
% over line28%24%32%62%62%62%85%81%89%
% under line72%76%68%38%38%38%15%19%11%
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Francs BorainsFrancs Borains

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.59.44.64.54.826.326.126.5
vs Stronger (28)9.59.59.44.14.14.025.225.524.9
vs Similar (20)10.411.79.15.54.86.227.626.628.7
vs Weaker (2)12.513.012.04.05.03.027.029.025.0
% over line50%50%50%66%69%62%82%82%82%
% under line50%50%50%34%31%38%18%18%18%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.6
Kortrijk
10.2
KRC Genk II
10.2
Beerschot VA
10.2
SK Beveren
9.9
RSC Anderlecht II
9.8
Francs Borains
9.7
RWDM
9.7
Olympic Charleroi
9.7
Club Brugge II
9.5
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Lommel United
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Patro Eisden
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
Liège
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
SK Beveren
4.6
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Kortrijk
4.5
RWDM
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
Olympic Charleroi
4.0
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.3
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.5
Club Brugge II
26.9
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
25.2
RWDM
24.8
Lommel United
24.8
Olympic Charleroi
24.4
SK Beveren
24.0
Beerschot VA
23.7
Kortrijk
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.1%
Under 9.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.9%
Under 21.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Patro EisdenPatro Eisden

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W10W11D10W00D00D01L02L01LA·LOM31/01H·KRC06/02A·CLU13/02H·SK 22/02A·KAA27/02A·RSC07/03H·LIÈ10/03A·K. 13/03H·BEE20/03A·SER05/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.360.430.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.250.500.780.44
vs Weaker (13)0.540.460.500.330.570.57
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Francs BorainsFrancs Borains

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L03L00D13L10W00D11DH·RWD08/02H·SK 15/02A·AS 21/02H·BEE28/02A·SER08/03H·LOK12/03A·LOM15/03H·KOR21/03A·K. 04/04H·KRC11/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.870.380.560.291.21
vs Stronger (16)0.440.690.560.110.291.43
vs Similar (12)0.251.170.171.170.331.17
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.8%--------
Over 21.5 fouls86.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards84.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners81.9%--------
Over 1.579.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls76.2%--------
Under 10.5 corners72.5%--------

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (26)
€15m
BV (31)
€13m
KOR (24)
€13m
LU (28)
€13m
PE (22)
€6m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€8m
LU (11)
€7m
KOR (10)
€6m
BV (12)
€4m
PE (7)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (4)
€2m
KOR (4)
€2m
BV (6)
€2m
LU (5)
€2m
PE (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (13)
€7m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€4m
LU (12)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
PE wins
1
Draws
1
FB wins

Head-to-head

Patro Eisden vs Francs Borains · H/A from PE
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/25AFrancs Borains Vs PE2-0
02/02/25AFrancs Borains Vs PE1-3
21/09/24HPE Vs Francs Borains4-1
04/02/24HPE Vs Francs Borains3-1
22/10/23AFrancs Borains Vs PE0-0

Patro EisdenPatro Eisden

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/26ASeraing United Vs PE2-0
20/03/26HPE Vs Beerschot VA0-4
13/03/26AK. Lierse S.K. Vs PE1-2
10/03/26HPE Vs Liège1-1
07/03/26ARSC Anderlecht II Vs PE0-0
27/02/26AKAA Gent II Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs SK Beveren1-4
13/02/26AClub Brugge II Vs PE2-3
06/02/26HPE Vs KRC Genk II4-4
31/01/26ALommel United Vs PE1-1

Francs BorainsFrancs Borains

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HFB Vs KRC Genk II2-2
04/04/26AK. Lierse S.K. Vs FB0-2
21/03/26HFB Vs Kortrijk4-1
15/03/26ALommel United Vs FB3-1
12/03/26HFB Vs Lokeren-Temse1-0
08/03/26ASeraing United Vs FB4-0
28/02/26HFB Vs Beerschot VA0-2
21/02/26AAS Eupen Vs FB1-1
15/02/26HFB Vs SK Beveren0-2
08/02/26HFB Vs RWDM0-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Patro Eisden
Patro Eisden
Belgium: Challenger Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLL1.60
HomeWDLDL1.67
AwayWLDWL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals2.702.832.58
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.381.381.38
Conceded1.321.461.19
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners8.909.058.75
Cards5.515.485.55
Francs Borains
Francs Borains
Belgium: Challenger Pro League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.18
HomeLLWWD1.36
AwayWDLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.582.442.72
Over 1.5 %72%64%80%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded1.461.241.68
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners10.0010.559.48
Cards5.305.525.09

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SK BeverenSK Beveren3288
88%
2.8
7423+51
3.0
84%
62%
31%
10.0
55%
3.8
55%
22.4
45%
15
8242.30.7
56%
2KortrijkKortrijk3164
65%
2.1
5633+23
2.9
74%
48%
39%
11.1
67%
4.0
57%
26.7
81%
13
6251.81.1
53%
3Beerschot VABeerschot VA3264
59%
2.0
5231+21
2.6
75%
50%
19%
9.6
52%
5.1
88%
27.2
76%
13
4271.61.0
53%
4Lommel UnitedLommel United3253
47%
1.7
5946+13
3.3
84%
59%
41%
9.9
43%
3.9
57%
24.7
70%
13
7241.81.4
55%
5LiègeLiège3253
50%
1.7
4439+5
2.6
81%
44%
22%
9.5
39%
4.0
65%
24.7
70%
0
0001.41.2
44%
6Patro EisdenPatro Eisden3251
44%
1.6
4440+4
2.6
75%
47%
25%
8.3
27%
6.0
85%
29.4
85%
6
2131.41.2
38%
7AS EupenAS Eupen3247
38%
1.5
4436+8
2.5
66%
47%
25%
10.0
52%
4.0
50%
25.7
74%
0
0001.41.1
51%
8Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse3242
31%
1.3
4845+3
2.9
78%
53%
38%
11.4
62%
5.4
75%
29.2
92%
0
0001.51.4
54%
9KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II3241
38%
1.3
4251-9
2.9
84%
56%
38%
9.5
48%
4.0
61%
26.3
79%
0
0001.31.6
57%
10K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.3238
31%
1.2
3542-7
2.4
62%
41%
19%
9.0
50%
5.2
79%
27.6
83%
0
0001.11.3
47%
11RWDMRWDM3236
28%
1.1
5054-4
3.2
84%
59%
47%
8.2
24%
4.3
62%
25.6
71%
0
0001.61.7
47%
12Seraing UnitedSeraing United3135
26%
1.1
3741-4
2.5
68%
48%
35%
8.1
36%
5.0
73%
26.1
86%
0
0001.21.3
41%
13Francs BorainsFrancs Borains3235
28%
1.1
3347-14
2.5
72%
41%
34%
10.3
58%
4.7
65%
25.8
77%
0
0001.01.5
45%
14RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II3231
22%
1.0
4655-9
3.2
78%
62%
44%
10.3
50%
4.2
50%
29.0
92%
0
0001.41.7
52%
15KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II3231
22%
1.0
4259-17
3.2
84%
62%
41%
9.9
76%
3.6
62%
25.4
76%
0
0001.31.8
52%
16Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II3221
16%
0.7
3355-22
2.8
75%
56%
31%
8.8
33%
4.1
60%
28.2
96%
0
0001.01.7
56%
17Olympic CharleroiOlympic Charleroi3216
9%
0.5
2668-42
2.9
78%
59%
31%
9.7
59%
4.0
55%
24.4
64%
0
0000.82.1
48%
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →

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