This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.29
1.75
0.75
1.33
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.67
1.17
1.75
0.75
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
14% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
Patro Eisden goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
5.4%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
1
6.7%
12%
7.6%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.5%
9.1%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
3
3.6%
5.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.1%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Patro Eisden goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Patro Eisden is 0.04 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Patro Eisden is 0.35 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Patro Eisden is 0.30 goals better than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Patro Eisden is 4.1 percentage points worse than Liège in terms of average possession (41% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Patro Eisden
For 4.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 6.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 14.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
10.0
9.0
11.0
1.6
1.7
1.5
26.0
29.0
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
9.0
9.0
-
0.8
1.7
0.0
29.0
29.0
-
vs Weaker (1)
11.0
-
11.0
6.0
-
6.0
23.0
-
23.0
% over line
50%
0%
100%
29%
33%
25%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
100%
0%
71%
67%
75%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
14.0
13.0
15.0
1.6
1.5
1.7
20.0
19.0
21.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
14.0
13.0
15.0
1.8
1.5
2.5
20.0
19.0
21.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
29%
25%
33%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
71%
75%
67%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
14.0
K. Lierse S.K.
13.5
Deinze
13.5
RSC Anderlecht II
13.5
Club Brugge II
13.0
Standard Liège II
12.7
Beerschot VA
11.1
KRC Genk II
11.0
Lommel United
10.3
Oostende
10.3
SK Beveren
10.1
Seraing United
10.0
Dender
10.0
Patro Eisden
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
Francs Borains
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
9.5
Seraing United
7.7
RSC Anderlecht II
7.5
Dender
7.3
Francs Borains
7.0
KRC Genk II
6.5
Liège
5.5
Patro Eisden
5.5
Beerschot VA
4.7
Oostende
4.3
SK Beveren
4.1
Zulte Waregem
4.1
Lommel United
4.0
Standard Liège II
4.0
Deinze
4.0
Club Brugge II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
K. Lierse S.K.
31.5
Seraing United
30.7
Deinze
30.0
Dender
30.0
KRC Genk II
28.5
Francs Borains
26.0
Patro Eisden
26.0
SK Beveren
25.9
RSC Anderlecht II
25.0
Beerschot VA
24.5
Oostende
23.2
Zulte Waregem
22.3
Standard Liège II
21.3
Club Brugge II
20.0
Liège
20.0
Lommel United
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
78.6%
Under 9.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.2%
Under 3.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.4%
Under 21.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.67
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.29
0.71
1.33
0.67
1.25
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.83
1.33
0.67
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.25
0.67
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marius Noubissi27%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson22%
Kevin Kis16%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Yacine Bentayeb11%
Lukas Van Eenoo8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Simon Bammens7%
Theo Pierrot7%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Stef Peeters5%
Wouter Corstjens4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Roman Ferber0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Jordan Renson0%
Jordi Belin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stef Peeters43%
Henk Dijkhuizen33%
Tom Pietermaat30%
Wouter Corstjens26%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu25%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Yassin Gueroui23%
Iebe Swers21%
Theo Pierrot21%
Marius Noubissi18%
Mehdi Bounou18%
Kevin Kis16%
Simon Bammens14%
Jordan Renson12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Justin Heekeren8%
Bafode Dansoko8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Elisha Sam6%
Roman Ferber0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Simon Bammens14%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Stef Peeters10%
Marius Noubissi9%
Kevin Kis8%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Tom Pietermaat4%
Jordan Renson4%
Roman Ferber0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anis Hadj Moussa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Ferber33%
Stef Peeters29%
Bafode Dansoko28%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Marius Noubissi18%
Elisha Sam12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Jordan Renson8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Theo Pierrot7%
Kevin Kis4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Simon Bammens0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu0%
Jordi Belin0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II