This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.33
2.80
1.20
1.53
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.43
1.14
3.00
1.25
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
2.14
1.23
2.90
0.80
1.50
1.58
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
PEC Zwolle goals ↓
AZ Alkmaar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
8.5%
6.4%
2.8%
0.9%
1
8.3%
14%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.2%
8.1%
5.3%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.7%
3.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PEC Zwolle goals (down), columns = AZ Alkmaar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
PEC Zwolle is 1.20 points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
PEC Zwolle is 0.20 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
PEC Zwolle is 1.00 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PEC Zwolle
For 2.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AZ Alkmaar
For 6.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PEC Zwolle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.6
3.5
3.7
3.3
22.4
23.0
21.8
vs Stronger (17)
8.5
9.0
7.9
3.1
3.4
2.8
22.6
22.4
22.9
vs Similar (32)
9.4
10.0
8.9
3.8
3.9
3.6
22.5
23.3
21.8
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
2.0
-
2.0
14.0
-
14.0
% over line
47%
50%
44%
52%
54%
50%
61%
71%
52%
% under line
53%
50%
56%
48%
46%
50%
39%
29%
48%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
9.9
4.4
4.3
4.5
22.3
22.6
22.0
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
19.0
19.0
-
vs Similar (15)
9.0
9.5
8.4
4.7
5.4
4.0
24.5
23.8
25.4
vs Weaker (34)
10.2
10.0
10.5
4.2
3.8
4.6
21.3
22.2
20.4
% over line
52%
56%
48%
66%
65%
67%
48%
52%
43%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
34%
35%
33%
52%
48%
57%
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Excelsior Maassluis
15.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
Quick Boys
12.0
GVVV Veenendaal
12.0
Den Bosch
11.7
Dordrecht
11.6
VVV Venlo
11.5
Waalwijk
11.3
De Graafschap
11.2
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
Almere City FC
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Willem II
10.7
FC OSS
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.5
Helmond Sport
10.5
Vitesse
10.5
MVV
10.4
Heracles
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
NEC Nijmegen
10.2
Telstar
10.1
De Treffers
10.0
Emmen
9.9
AZ Alkmaar
9.9
Excelsior
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
Roda
9.8
FC Eindhoven
9.7
Utrecht
9.6
Heerenveen
9.6
ADO Den Haag
9.6
NAC Breda
9.4
Ajax
9.4
Cambuur
9.2
PEC Zwolle
9.2
Twente
9.1
Groningen
9.1
HHC
8.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
6.0
Katwijk
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
De Treffers
8.0
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
Excelsior Maassluis
5.0
GVVV Veenendaal
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.5
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Twente
4.2
Dordrecht
4.1
Vitesse
4.1
Ajax
4.0
Gemert
4.0
HHC
4.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
4.0
FC OSS
4.0
Cambuur
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Groningen
3.9
Emmen
3.8
NAC Breda
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
Den Bosch
3.6
Sparta Rotterdam
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Excelsior
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
Heracles
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
VVV Venlo
3.5
Roda
3.4
FC Eindhoven
3.4
MVV
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Heerenveen
3.3
Telstar
3.3
Almere City FC
3.2
Willem II
3.1
Katwijk
3.0
Quick Boys
3.0
Waalwijk
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rijnsburgse Boys
32.0
Excelsior Maassluis
31.0
GVVV Veenendaal
31.0
FC OSS
28.9
Vitesse
27.0
Cambuur
27.0
Helmond Sport
26.8
ADO Den Haag
26.6
Dordrecht
26.5
Emmen
25.9
Telstar
24.7
Ajax
24.1
VVV Venlo
24.1
MVV
24.1
Roda
24.0
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
FC Volendam
23.7
Heracles
23.5
Fortuna Sittard
23.3
De Graafschap
23.3
Den Bosch
23.3
NEC Nijmegen
23.1
Gemert
23.0
De Treffers
23.0
Excelsior
23.0
Utrecht
22.5
PEC Zwolle
22.3
FC Eindhoven
22.2
AZ Alkmaar
22.2
Twente
22.0
Heerenveen
21.8
NAC Breda
21.7
Groningen
21.0
Quick Boys
21.0
Feyenoord
20.9
Almere City FC
20.6
Willem II
20.5
Waalwijk
20.3
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
18.4
Sparta Rotterdam
18.3
Katwijk
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PEC Zwolle or Draw✗ Miss
64.0%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
36%
covers PEC Zwolle + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle or AZ Alkmaar✓ Hit
71.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
36%
covers PEC Zwolle + AZ Alkmaar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AZ Alkmaar✓ Hit
64.9%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
36%
covers Draw + AZ Alkmaar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PEC Zwolle, so a minus line means PEC Zwolle give that many goals of a start and AZ Alkmaar receive them. At -1, PEC Zwolle must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PEC Zwolle win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PEC Zwolle)Actual: AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle -2
5.5%
Draw -2
10.5%
AZ Alkmaar +2
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PEC Zwolle)Actual: AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle -1
16.0%
Draw -1
19.1%
AZ Alkmaar +1
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PEC Zwolle)Actual: AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle +1
64.0%
Draw +1
19.4%
AZ Alkmaar -1
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PEC Zwolle)Actual: Draw
PEC Zwolle +2
83.4%
Draw +2
10.8%
AZ Alkmaar -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PEC Zwolle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.64
0.43
0.94
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.50
0.67
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.63
0.75
0.25
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.70
1.73
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.43
1.75
0.25
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.14
0.68
1.80
0.50
0.58
0.83
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PEC Zwolle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.50
0.86
0.94
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.17
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.00
0.62
0.62
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.07
0.60
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.71
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.00
0.55
1.10
0.30
0.92
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PEC Zwolle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Koen Kostons25%
Thijs Oosting19%
Shola Shoretire19%
Kaj de Rooij18%
Younes Namli15%
Odysseus Velanas15%
Tristan Gooijer12%
Jamiro Monteiro9%
Zico Buurmeester9%
Gabriel Reiziger8%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty6%
Ryan Thomas4%
Sherel Floranus3%
Dylan Mbayo0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Thomas Buitink0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Samir Lagsir0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Jan Faberski0%
David Voute0%
Nick Fichtinger0%
Jadiel Pereira da Gama0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Damian van der Haar33%
Jadiel Pereira da Gama27%
Ryan Thomas25%
Nick Fichtinger23%
Shola Shoretire15%
Simon Graves Jensen15%
Sherel Floranus15%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty15%
Tristan Gooijer12%
Thomas Buitink10%
Kaj de Rooij9%
Thijs Oosting8%
Younes Namli8%
Olivier Aertssen7%
Dylan Mbayo6%
Koen Kostons6%
Jan Faberski5%
Zico Buurmeester4%
Odysseus Velanas0%
Jamiro Monteiro0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Samir Lagsir0%
Tom de Graaff0%
David Voute0%
Gabriel Reiziger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samir Lagsir33%
Younes Namli23%
Koen Kostons17%
Jamiro Monteiro13%
Dylan Mbayo12%
Kaj de Rooij12%
Sherel Floranus12%
Thijs Oosting11%
Jan Faberski11%
Odysseus Velanas8%
Simon Graves Jensen6%
Nick Fichtinger5%
Shola Shoretire4%
Ryan Thomas4%
Olivier Aertssen3%
Thomas Buitink0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Tristan Gooijer0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Damian van der Haar0%
David Voute0%
Gabriel Reiziger0%
Jadiel Pereira da Gama0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Koen Kostons25%
Thijs Oosting14%
Kaj de Rooij9%
Younes Namli8%
Shola Shoretire8%
Jamiro Monteiro4%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty3%
Ryan Thomas0%
Dylan Mbayo0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Sherel Floranus0%
Thomas Buitink0%
Odysseus Velanas0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Samir Lagsir0%
Tristan Gooijer0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Jan Faberski0%
David Voute0%
Nick Fichtinger0%
Gabriel Reiziger0%
Jadiel Pereira da Gama0%
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott50%
Sven Mijnans36%
Ernest Poku25%
Mexx Meerdink25%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Isak Steiner Jensen13%
Mees De Wit12%
Matěj Šín11%
Kees Smit11%
Denso Kasius10%
Peer Koopmeiners8%
Billy van Duijl8%
Lequincio Zeefuik7%
Ro-Zangelo Daal7%
Jordy Clasie6%
Weslley Patati5%
Alexandre Penetra4%
Mateo Chávez3%
Wouter Goes2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zico Buurmeester33%
Rio Robbemond33%
Mateo Chávez31%
Wouter Goes30%
Jordy Clasie29%
Mees De Wit25%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Kasper Boogaard18%
Kees Smit17%
Denso Kasius17%
Troy Parrott17%
Peer Koopmeiners12%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ro-Zangelo Daal10%
Mexx Meerdink9%
Dave Kwakman8%
Elijah Dijkstra8%
Ayoub Oufkir8%
Billy van Duijl8%
Weslley Patati8%
Isak Steiner Jensen7%
Lequincio Zeefuik7%
Sven Mijnans6%
Matěj Šín4%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ernest Poku0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ernest Poku50%
Bendegúz Kovács25%
Mees De Wit23%
Wassim Bouziane20%
Troy Parrott19%
Kees Smit17%
Denso Kasius17%
Sven Mijnans16%
Isak Steiner Jensen13%
Kasper Boogaard12%
Jizz Hornkamp11%
Mexx Meerdink9%
Mateo Chávez6%
Jordy Clasie6%
Jeroen Zoet5%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro5%
Weslley Patati5%
Ro-Zangelo Daal5%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Matěj Šín4%
Elijah Dijkstra3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Ibrahim Sadiq0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Billy van Duijl0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Troy Parrott46%
Sven Mijnans34%
Ernest Poku25%
Mexx Meerdink19%
Denso Kasius14%
Weslley Patati12%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Ro-Zangelo Daal7%
Kees Smit7%
Isak Steiner Jensen4%
Peer Koopmeiners2%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees De Wit0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Matěj Šín0%
Billy van Duijl0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Mateo Chávez0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
PEC Zwolle's squad is €115m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€21m vs €136m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
PEC Zwolle's attack is €53m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€8m vs €61m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
PEC Zwolle's midfield is €17m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€4m vs €21m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
PEC Zwolle's defence is €44m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€10m vs €54m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Telstar
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Heracles