This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
1.12
0.94
0.71
1.14
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.17
1.25
1.12
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.72-8.9%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 2.09+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
Peterboro goals ↓
Cambridge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
6.2%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.4%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.5%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.6%
5.1%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.2%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterboro goals (down), columns = Cambridge goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Portsmouth
2.11
Derby
2.00
Bolton
1.89
Peterboro
1.83
Oxford
1.67
Barnsley
1.65
Lincoln
1.61
Blackpool
1.59
Stevenage
1.54
Wigan
1.52
Leyton Orient
1.41
Wycombe
1.41
Exeter
1.33
Northampton
1.30
Reading
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.24
Charlton
1.15
Cambridge
1.04
Shrewsbury
1.04
Burton
1.00
Cheltenham
0.96
Fleetwood Town
0.93
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.65
Peterboro is 0.78 points better than Cambridge in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.04).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterboro
1.93
Bolton
1.87
Barnsley
1.78
Oxford
1.72
Derby
1.70
Portsmouth
1.70
Reading
1.48
Lincoln
1.41
Blackpool
1.41
Charlton
1.39
Wigan
1.37
Wycombe
1.30
Northampton
1.24
Stevenage
1.24
Leyton Orient
1.15
Bristol Rvs
1.13
Fleetwood Town
1.07
Exeter
1.00
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.89
Cheltenham
0.89
Cambridge
0.85
Burton
0.85
Shrewsbury
0.76
Peterboro is 1.09 goals better than Cambridge in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 0.85).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derby
0.80
Lincoln
0.87
Portsmouth
0.89
Stevenage
1.00
Blackpool
1.04
Bolton
1.11
Leyton Orient
1.20
Wycombe
1.20
Oxford
1.22
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Peterboro
1.33
Barnsley
1.39
Charlton
1.41
Cheltenham
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Shrewsbury
1.46
Burton
1.46
Bristol Rvs
1.48
Reading
1.52
Fleetwood Town
1.57
Port Vale
1.61
Carlisle
1.76
Peterboro and Cambridge are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Peterboro
62%
Bolton
60%
Portsmouth
59%
Exeter
54%
Barnsley
54%
Wigan
53%
Blackpool
53%
Reading
53%
Oxford
52%
Leyton Orient
52%
Charlton
52%
Derby
51%
Port Vale
49%
Northampton
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Wycombe
46%
Carlisle
46%
Stevenage
45%
Cambridge
44%
Cheltenham
44%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
41%
Burton
41%
Peterboro is 18.3 percentage points better than Cambridge in terms of average possession (62% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Peterboro
For 8.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambridge
For 4.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 12.1 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Peterboro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.2
9.9
3.9
4.1
3.7
22.1
21.2
22.9
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
10.5
10.0
3.3
3.5
3.0
19.7
20.5
18.0
vs Similar (39)
10.7
11.3
10.2
3.9
4.1
3.8
21.6
20.6
22.5
vs Weaker (8)
9.8
11.3
8.8
3.9
4.7
3.4
25.6
25.7
25.6
% over line
58%
71%
46%
52%
58%
46%
60%
54%
65%
% under line
42%
29%
54%
48%
42%
54%
40%
46%
35%
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.8
9.2
4.1
4.0
4.1
22.1
22.2
22.0
vs Stronger (17)
10.8
12.2
8.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
21.0
21.3
20.6
vs Similar (29)
9.5
9.7
9.3
4.3
4.5
4.2
23.1
23.6
22.6
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
10.7
11.0
3.2
2.7
5.0
19.8
18.7
23.0
% over line
58%
69%
46%
70%
65%
75%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
42%
31%
54%
30%
35%
25%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Charlton
11.1
Portsmouth
11.1
Oxford
11.0
Exeter
11.0
Derby
10.8
Wycombe
10.8
Bristol Rvs
10.6
Peterboro
10.5
Port Vale
10.5
Bolton
10.4
Reading
10.4
Fleetwood Town
10.4
Cambridge
10.0
Carlisle
10.0
Barnsley
10.0
Burton
10.0
Shrewsbury
9.9
Blackpool
9.6
Northampton
9.2
Leyton Orient
9.2
Lincoln
9.1
Cheltenham
9.1
Stevenage
9.1
Wigan
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fleetwood Town
4.8
Shrewsbury
4.5
Portsmouth
4.5
Oxford
4.4
Bristol Rvs
4.4
Wigan
4.3
Port Vale
4.2
Cambridge
4.1
Bolton
4.1
Stevenage
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Reading
4.0
Peterboro
3.9
Barnsley
3.9
Blackpool
3.9
Derby
3.9
Northampton
3.8
Charlton
3.7
Exeter
3.7
Carlisle
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Burton
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.3
Stevenage
24.3
Oxford
23.9
Bristol Rvs
23.4
Fleetwood Town
23.0
Bolton
22.9
Wigan
22.9
Port Vale
22.5
Peterboro
22.1
Cambridge
22.1
Blackpool
22.0
Northampton
21.8
Leyton Orient
21.7
Wycombe
21.6
Charlton
21.5
Barnsley
21.5
Shrewsbury
21.2
Lincoln
21.0
Reading
20.9
Derby
20.7
Carlisle
20.4
Cheltenham
20.3
Exeter
20.3
Burton
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
68.1%
Under 9.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
14.7%
Under 21.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Peterboro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.64
0.71
0.81
0.38
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.67
0.67
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.44
0.56
0.21
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.40
0.80
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.61
0.25
0.50
0.20
0.70
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Peterboro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
0.79
0.36
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.48
0.83
0.25
0.92
0.69
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.69
0.38
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.44
0.40
0.20
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.56
1.00
0.62
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterboro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterboro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Peterboro · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Leonard75%
Benjamin Woods25%
Harrison Jones25%
Bolu Shofowoke25%
Liam Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
David Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brandon Khela33%
James Dornelly33%
Carl Johnston25%
Harry Leonard25%
Harrison Jones25%
Liam Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
David Okagbue0%
Benjamin Woods0%
Ethan Williams0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benjamin Woods25%
Liam Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
Harry Leonard0%
David Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Harrison Jones0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Leonard50%
Brandon Khela33%
Harrison Jones25%
Liam Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
David Okagbue0%
Benjamin Woods0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Cambridge · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben Knight67%
Isaac Heath25%
Zak Bradshaw25%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
Shayne Lavery0%
Kell Watts0%
Jake Eastwood0%
Liam Bennett0%
Glenn McConnell0%
Callum Perry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Glenn McConnell33%
Dominic Ball25%
Shayne Lavery25%
Kell Watts25%
Jake Eastwood25%
Liam Bennett25%
Zak Bradshaw25%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Louis Appéré0%
Ben Knight0%
Isaac Heath0%
Callum Perry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Glenn McConnell33%
Sullay Kaikai25%
Louis Appéré25%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Shayne Lavery0%
Kell Watts0%
Jake Eastwood0%
Ben Knight0%
Liam Bennett0%
Isaac Heath0%
Zak Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben Knight67%
Isaac Heath25%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
Shayne Lavery0%
Kell Watts0%
Jake Eastwood0%
Liam Bennett0%
Glenn McConnell0%
Zak Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
CAR (1)
€0m
Peterboro's squad is €2m more valuable than Cambridge's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
OXF (8)
€6m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Peterboro and Cambridge have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (6)
€14m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Peterboro and Cambridge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
Peterboro and Cambridge have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →