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Peterhead vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
32%
30%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.98
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.69
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.10
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W23L10W01L12L21W10W11D01LH·COV24/10A·CLY31/10A·MON07/11H·DUM21/11H·FOR28/11A·FAL05/12H·EAS12/12A·PAR19/12H·MON22/12A·COV02/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.071.000.931.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.851.850.891.440.822.18
vs Weaker (10)1.300.601.330.331.251.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W12L02L50W31W11D02L01L10W42WH·PET17/10A·PAR24/10H·DUM31/10H·CLY07/11A·FOR21/11H·COV28/11A·EAS05/12H·MON12/12A·FAL20/12A·CLY26/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.931.530.731.601.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.221.001.330.891.111.11
vs Weaker (12)2.080.831.830.502.331.17
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 1.73-9.0%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 2.02+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.7%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
Peterhead goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
09.7%9.8%7.2%3.2%1.0%
18.5%14%8.4%3.7%1.2%
25.7%7.5%4.9%2.1%0.7%
32.2%2.9%1.9%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
Peterhead is 0.41 points worse than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
Peterhead is 0.50 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.59).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
Peterhead is 0.14 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

150282426154513247355667106869151181113A·COVH·MONA·PARH·EASA·FALH·FORH·DUMA·MONA·CLYH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

804323162124324232227518345654A·COVH·MONA·PARH·EASA·FALH·FORH·DUMA·MONA·CLYH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401321131075111014149141414138121224834231221282328212432A·COVH·MONA·PARH·EASA·FALH·FORH·DUMA·MONA·CLYH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 5.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

17010734754357535481764117712712899135A·CLYA·FALH·MONA·EASH·COVA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·PARH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

4032211312111122133402422244A·CLYA·FALH·MONA·EASH·COVA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·PARH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

34010101416147121318161585691265171420302125342311211131A·CLYA·FALH·MONA·EASH·COVA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·PARH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.44.03.94.222.822.922.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)9.18.79.44.24.14.323.524.622.7
vs Weaker (18)9.810.19.33.73.63.921.520.622.9
% over line42%40%44%60%56%64%60%60%60%
% under line58%60%56%40%44%36%40%40%40%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.010.43.23.13.221.021.320.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)11.011.810.23.73.34.022.522.522.5
vs Weaker (24)10.410.210.62.62.92.319.320.218.3
% over line62%69%54%46%42%50%44%46%42%
% under line38%31%46%54%58%50%56%54%58%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Partick
10.8
Airdrie United
10.7
Falkirk
10.6
East Fife
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Clyde
9.9
Dumbarton
9.8
Montrose
9.7
Peterhead
9.3
Forfar
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.0
Montrose
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Falkirk
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
Partick
3.0
Forfar
2.9
Dumbarton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.0
Montrose
23.2
Cove Rangers
23.2
Peterhead
22.8
East Fife
22.1
Forfar
21.3
Airdrie United
21.0
Dumbarton
20.5
Clyde
20.5
Partick
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.7%
Under 9.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.7%
Under 3.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.2%
Under 21.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D10W01L02L11D10W10W01LH·COV24/10A·CLY31/10A·MON07/11H·DUM21/11H·FOR28/11A·FAL05/12H·EAS12/12A·PAR19/12H·MON22/12A·COV02/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.530.470.471.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.501.150.560.670.451.55
vs Weaker (10)0.500.200.500.170.500.25
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L30W31W01L01L00D00D31WH·PET17/10A·PAR24/10H·DUM31/10H·CLY07/11A·FOR21/11H·COV28/11A·EAS05/12H·MON12/12A·FAL20/12A·CLY26/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.130.530.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.671.000.670.560.67
vs Weaker (12)1.250.581.330.331.170.83
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W12L00D00D10W10W00D01L00DH·COV24/10A·CLY31/10A·MON07/11H·DUM21/11H·FOR28/11A·FAL05/12H·EAS12/12A·PAR19/12H·MON22/12A·COV02/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.530.530.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.350.700.330.780.360.64
vs Weaker (10)0.800.400.830.170.750.75
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L20W00D10W01L01L10W11DH·PET17/10A·PAR24/10H·DUM31/10H·CLY07/11A·FOR21/11H·COV28/11A·EAS05/12H·MON12/12A·FAL20/12A·CLY26/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.300.400.200.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.440.330.330.220.560.44
vs Weaker (12)0.830.250.500.171.170.33
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
PET wins
1
Draws
6
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Airdrie United · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/20AAirdrie United Vs PET2-0
22/02/20HPET Vs Airdrie United0-2
14/12/19AAirdrie United Vs PET2-1
05/10/19HPET Vs Airdrie United1-2
01/04/17HPET Vs Airdrie United1-1
04/02/17AAirdrie United Vs PET4-1
03/12/16HPET Vs Airdrie United2-4
15/10/16AAirdrie United Vs PET1-3

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/21ACove Rangers Vs PET1-0
22/12/20HPET Vs Montrose1-1
19/12/20APartick Vs PET0-1
12/12/20HPET Vs East Fife2-1
05/12/20AFalkirk Vs PET2-1
28/11/20HPET Vs Forfar0-1
21/11/20HPET Vs Dumbarton1-0
07/11/20AMontrose Vs PET3-2
31/10/20AClyde Vs PET0-2
24/10/20HPET Vs Cove Rangers0-2

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/20AClyde Vs AU2-4
20/12/20AFalkirk Vs AU0-1
12/12/20HAU Vs Montrose0-1
05/12/20AEast Fife Vs AU2-0
28/11/20HAU Vs Cove Rangers1-1
21/11/20AForfar Vs AU1-3
07/11/20HAU Vs Clyde5-0
31/10/20HAU Vs Dumbarton0-2
24/10/20APartick Vs AU2-1
17/10/20HAU Vs Peterhead2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.28
HomeLWLWD1.60
AwayWLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.522.043.00
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %46%32%60%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored1.161.121.20
Conceded1.360.921.80
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners9.349.329.36
Cards4.023.884.16
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.62
HomeWLWDL1.62
AwayLWLWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.462.002.96
Over 1.5 %62%54%71%
Over 2.5 %44%31%58%
Over 3.5 %30%23%38%
Scored1.461.271.67
Conceded1.000.731.29
BTTS40%27%54%
Clean Sheet38%46%29%
Corners10.7211.0410.38
Cards3.163.123.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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