PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Peterhead vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 07/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
20%
28%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied 17.8% · @ 5.18
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.77
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✓ Hit
52.0%
Avg Implied 57.8% · @ 1.59
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L02L11D03L11D02L03L04L00DH·FAL08/10A·QUE15/10H·ALL22/10H·FC 29/10A·MON05/11A·AIR12/11H·DUN19/11A·KEL03/12A·FC 24/12H·MON02/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.000.861.640.882.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.622.080.621.540.622.62
vs Weaker (4)2.501.504.003.002.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D02L13L40W10W11D10W11D42W35LH·QUE08/10A·ALL15/10A·FC 22/10H·MON29/10A·CLY05/11H·PET12/11H·KEL19/11A·FAL03/12A·MON23/12H·FC 02/01
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.272.211.431.811.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.801.402.001.551.641.29
vs Weaker (5)3.000.603.001.003.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.0%
@ 1.80-7.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.95+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.4%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-3 ✓
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
Peterhead goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
09.6%12%10%5.5%2.2%
16.4%13%9.4%4.9%1.9%
23.4%5.4%4.2%2.2%0.9%
31.0%1.6%1.3%0.7%0.3%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
Peterhead is 1.22 points worse than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (0.44 vs 1.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
Peterhead is 1.75 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (0.53 vs 2.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
Peterhead is 0.92 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 3.4 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

17017352848710256446210358810121771010128H·MONA·FC A·KELH·DUNA·AIRA·MONH·FC H·ALLA·QUEH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8035123435113422338157617226H·MONA·FC A·KELH·DUNA·AIRA·MONH·FC H·ALLA·QUEH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801513781214751841112121097101114928152612222322162123H·MONA·FC A·KELH·DUNA·AIRA·MONH·FC H·ALLA·QUEH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 6.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

170481045593107367466543312141012179111296H·FC A·MONA·FALH·KELH·PETA·CLYH·MONA·FC A·ALLH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802613431151131213128444623343H·FC A·MONA·FALH·KELH·PETA·CLYH·MONA·FC A·ALLH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 10.2 · Total 18.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

2401012910131111941891246288691022192420222110101419H·FC A·MONA·FALH·KELH·PETA·CLYH·MONA·FC A·ALLH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.44.34.64.123.824.922.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.09.710.24.55.14.023.525.021.9
vs Weaker (9)11.010.811.23.42.04.625.124.825.4
% over line58%60%56%60%60%60%72%80%64%
% under line42%40%44%40%40%40%28%20%36%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.410.83.54.22.918.818.219.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.09.210.83.33.92.818.718.219.1
vs Weaker (9)10.410.011.04.45.23.519.318.220.8
% over line56%44%68%44%56%32%32%32%32%
% under line44%56%32%56%44%68%68%68%68%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Falkirk
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.2
Peterhead
10.1
Airdrie United
10.1
Dunfermline
10.1
Alloa
10.0
Montrose
9.9
FC Edinburgh
9.8
Clyde
9.5
Kelty Hearts
9.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.3
Falkirk
4.2
Clyde
4.1
Dunfermline
3.7
Montrose
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
FC Edinburgh
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Alloa
3.0
Queen of Sth
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.8
Montrose
22.7
Clyde
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Kelty Hearts
21.3
Dunfermline
21.1
Queen of Sth
20.3
Alloa
19.6
FC Edinburgh
18.9
Airdrie United
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.4%
Under 3.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.1%
Under 21.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D00D10W02L00D01L00DH·FAL08/10A·QUE15/10H·ALL22/10H·FC 29/10A·MON05/11A·AIR12/11H·DUN19/11A·KEL03/12A·FC 24/12H·MON02/01
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.570.570.500.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.350.690.380.620.310.77
vs Weaker (4)1.750.753.000.001.331.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D01L30W00D01L00D01L11D22DH·QUE08/10A·ALL15/10A·FC 22/10H·MON29/10A·CLY05/11H·PET12/11H·KEL19/11A·FAL03/12A·MON23/12H·FC 02/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.070.710.620.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.840.561.090.730.640.43
vs Weaker (5)0.800.401.000.670.500.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L02L11D03L01L00D03L03L00DH·FAL08/10A·QUE15/10H·ALL22/10H·FC 29/10A·MON05/11A·AIR12/11H·DUN19/11A·KEL03/12A·FC 24/12H·MON02/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.300.291.070.381.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.271.380.230.920.311.85
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.003.000.670.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L12L10W10W10W10W10W31W13LH·QUE08/10A·ALL15/10A·FC 22/10H·MON29/10A·CLY05/11H·PET12/11H·KEL19/11A·FAL03/12A·MON23/12H·FC 02/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.731.140.711.190.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.960.840.910.821.000.86
vs Weaker (5)2.200.202.000.332.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
KH (4)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
KH (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
PET wins
2
Draws
5
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Airdrie United · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22AAirdrie United Vs PET1-1
30/07/22HPET Vs Airdrie United0-2
30/04/22AAirdrie United Vs PET1-1
19/02/22HPET Vs Airdrie United0-1
06/11/21AAirdrie United Vs PET3-1
21/08/21HPET Vs Airdrie United2-3
20/03/21HPET Vs Airdrie United1-0
17/10/20AAirdrie United Vs PET2-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/23HPET Vs Montrose0-0
24/12/22AFC Edinburgh Vs PET4-0
03/12/22AKelty Hearts Vs PET3-0
19/11/22HPET Vs Dunfermline0-2
12/11/22AAirdrie United Vs PET1-1
05/11/22AMontrose Vs PET3-0
29/10/22HPET Vs FC Edinburgh1-1
22/10/22HPET Vs Alloa0-2
15/10/22AQueen of Sth Vs PET2-0
08/10/22HPET Vs Falkirk0-4

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/23HAU Vs FC Edinburgh3-5
23/12/22AMontrose Vs AU2-4
03/12/22AFalkirk Vs AU1-1
19/11/22HAU Vs Kelty Hearts1-0
12/11/22HAU Vs Peterhead1-1
05/11/22AClyde Vs AU0-1
29/10/22HAU Vs Montrose4-0
22/10/22AFC Edinburgh Vs AU3-1
15/10/22AAlloa Vs AU2-0
08/10/22HAU Vs Queen of Sth3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD0.94
HomeLLDLD1.20
AwayLLDLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%32%12%
AVG goals2.762.243.28
Over 1.5 %76%60%92%
Over 2.5 %48%32%64%
Over 3.5 %32%20%44%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded1.741.282.20
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners10.149.8410.44
Cards4.344.604.08
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.92
HomeDWDWL2.24
AwayLLWDW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%68%44%
AVG goals3.123.562.68
Over 1.5 %84%92%76%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.962.321.60
Conceded1.161.241.08
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners10.109.4010.80
Cards3.544.162.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3681
64%
2.2
6321+42
2.3
78%
33%
19%
10.6
47%
3.8
44%
19.6
36%
4
2021.80.6
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3667
53%
1.9
7039+31
3.0
83%
61%
44%
10.1
61%
3.9
64%
21.9
56%
6
2131.91.1
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3660
47%
1.7
8251+31
3.7
86%
58%
53%
10.4
56%
3.2
36%
18.0
19%
0
0002.31.4
-
4
A
Alloa
3657
47%
1.6
5647+9
2.9
78%
50%
33%
9.7
53%
2.8
39%
18.0
22%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
QO
Queen of Sth
3654
44%
1.5
5959+0
3.3
83%
64%
44%
9.9
53%
3.7
50%
20.0
39%
0
0001.61.6
-
6
FE
FC Edinburgh
3651
42%
1.4
6055+5
3.2
86%
61%
33%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.2
31%
0
0001.71.5
-
7MontroseMontrose3648
36%
1.3
5055-5
2.9
81%
64%
33%
10.3
56%
4.1
64%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3640
28%
1.1
3954-15
2.6
75%
58%
19%
10.7
67%
3.6
44%
22.6
53%
1
1001.11.5
-
9ClydeClyde3624
14%
0.7
3568-33
2.9
81%
58%
31%
10.5
53%
3.7
44%
21.2
47%
0
0001.01.9
-
10PeterheadPeterhead3616
8%
0.4
1984-65
2.9
86%
53%
33%
9.9
56%
4.1
58%
22.1
61%
0
0000.52.3
-
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches