This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alloa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.60
1.73
1.60
1.20
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.60
1.77
1.62
0.92
1.58
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
1.60
1.50
1.50
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.64-7.3%
Under 2.5
50.4%
@ 2.16+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2 â
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
Peterhead goals ↓
Alloa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
8.9%
7.3%
3.5%
1.3%
1
7.3%
14%
8.9%
4.3%
1.5%
2
5.2%
7.4%
5.4%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.1%
3.0%
2.2%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Alloa goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
Peterhead is 1.14 points worse than Alloa in terms of average points per game (0.44 vs 1.58).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
Peterhead is 1.03 goals worse than Alloa in terms of goals scored per game (0.53 vs 1.56).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
Peterhead is 1.03 goals worse than Alloa in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.31).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Peterhead
For 2.9 · Against 7.1 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Alloa
For 4.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Peterhead
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
24.7
26.5
23.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
10.0
9.6
10.4
4.3
4.7
4.0
24.4
26.6
22.4
vs Weaker (11)
10.5
10.4
10.5
3.4
2.4
4.2
25.7
26.0
25.5
% over line
56%
54%
58%
56%
54%
58%
76%
88%
65%
% under line
44%
46%
42%
44%
46%
42%
24%
12%
35%
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alloa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.5
3.2
3.3
3.0
20.2
19.9
20.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
9.8
10.2
9.3
3.1
3.3
2.8
20.0
19.8
20.3
vs Weaker (9)
9.6
8.8
10.2
3.6
3.5
3.6
20.9
20.2
21.4
% over line
50%
54%
46%
42%
46%
38%
44%
38%
50%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
58%
54%
62%
56%
62%
50%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Peterhead
10.1
Dunfermline
10.1
Falkirk
10.1
Queen of Sth
10.0
Montrose
9.9
Alloa
9.7
Airdrie United
9.6
Clyde
9.5
FC Edinburgh
9.3
Kelty Hearts
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Clyde
4.1
Peterhead
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
3.7
FC Edinburgh
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.4
Dunfermline
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Alloa
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.7
Montrose
22.7
Clyde
22.0
Falkirk
21.6
Dunfermline
21.0
Kelty Hearts
20.9
Queen of Sth
20.3
Alloa
20.2
Airdrie United
19.2
FC Edinburgh
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.9%
Under 21.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Peterhead
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.57
0.64
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.38
0.79
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alloa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.68
0.69
0.69
0.25
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Peterhead
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.93
0.29
0.93
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.25
1.04
0.17
0.83
0.33
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.50
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alloa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
1.13
1.00
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.92
1.08
0.92
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Peterhead
Dunfermline
Falkirk
Airdrie United
Montrose
Kelty Hearts
Clyde