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Peterhead vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 02/01/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 7-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
49%
23%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W02L41W10W20W23L30W10W32W62WA·EDI23/09H·BER30/09A·CLY21/10H·ANN28/10A·ELG04/11H·STE11/11H·EDI02/12A·STI05/12H·COW23/12A·MON30/12
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.501.531.402.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.811.441.621.252.001.62
vs Weaker (14)1.791.571.431.572.141.57
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D20W42W02L31W51W02L11D03L14LA·STI30/09H·STE21/10A·CLY28/10H·PET04/11A·COW11/11H·BER25/11A·ANN02/12H·EDI09/12A·MON16/12A·STE23/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.531.501.001.312.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.401.401.500.881.292.00
vs Weaker (15)1.401.671.501.171.332.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.9%
Under 2.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.6%
No
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
Peterhead goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
03.6%3.3%3.2%1.7%0.7%
14.7%9.5%6.7%3.5%1.3%
25.7%8.9%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.9%6.1%4.7%2.4%0.9%
42.0%3.1%2.4%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Montrose
2.14
Peterhead
2.11
Stirling
1.53
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Clyde
1.42
Elgin
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.31
Berwick
1.03
Edinburgh City
0.83
Cowdenbeath
0.61
Peterhead is 0.75 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.36).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
2.19
Stirling
1.69
Montrose
1.67
Stenhousemuir
1.56
Elgin
1.50
Clyde
1.44
Annan Athletic
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.03
Berwick
0.86
Cowdenbeath
0.64
Peterhead is 0.69 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montrose
0.97
Peterhead
1.08
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Clyde
1.39
Stirling
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.56
Berwick
1.64
Elgin
1.69
Edinburgh City
1.72
Peterhead is 0.61 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.69).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 7.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1501123112326738284851022313415810101213125A·MONH·COWA·STIH·EDIH·STEA·ELGH·ANNA·CLYH·BERA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011352243242111412132844562534A·MONH·COWA·STIH·EDIH·STEA·ELGH·ANNA·CLYH·BERA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401591515211314181591816101315151310111324303432243423302324A·MONH·COWA·STIH·EDIH·STEA·ELGH·ANNA·CLYH·BERA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 5.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

130211657346846228226473131110101281041010A·STEA·MONH·EDIA·ANNH·BERA·COWH·PETA·CLYH·STEA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011122162127243423422338376756A·STEA·MONH·EDIA·ANNH·BERA·COWH·PETA·CLYH·STEA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

34091557813111311810131618615914121724122124192334212329A·STEA·MONH·EDIA·ANNH·BERA·COWH·PETA·CLYH·STEA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.810.81.31.41.127.427.627.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)9.47.811.71.01.30.626.926.227.7
vs Weaker (21)10.09.810.21.71.61.727.829.026.8
% over line56%38%75%22%24%20%88%88%88%
% under line44%62%25%78%76%80%12%12%12%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.19.71.51.11.822.822.223.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)10.010.59.51.41.11.621.423.819.0
vs Weaker (28)9.89.89.81.61.21.924.020.826.6
% over line71%75%67%18%12%23%53%50%56%
% under line29%25%33%82%88%77%47%50%44%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Clyde
11.1
Stirling
10.0
Elgin
9.9
Berwick
9.9
Peterhead
9.8
Cowdenbeath
9.7
Stenhousemuir
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.4
Montrose
8.9
Annan Athletic
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.4
Peterhead
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.8
Clyde
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Berwick
3.4
Stirling
3.1
Edinburgh City
3.1
Montrose
2.7
Stenhousemuir
2.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
Annan Athletic
25.6
Edinburgh City
24.6
Stirling
24.0
Cowdenbeath
23.6
Clyde
23.3
Elgin
22.8
Berwick
21.9
Montrose
20.9
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.7%
Under 9.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.5%
Under 3.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.0%
Under 21.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D10W10W01L00D10W01L21WA·EDI23/09H·BER30/09A·CLY21/10H·ANN28/10A·ELG04/11H·STE11/11H·EDI02/12A·STI05/12H·COW23/12A·MON30/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.470.730.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.560.500.381.000.75
vs Weaker (14)0.571.070.431.140.711.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D01L20W10W01L00D01L02LA·STI30/09H·STE21/10A·CLY28/10H·PET04/11A·COW11/11H·BER25/11A·ANN02/12H·EDI09/12A·MON16/12A·STE23/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.430.500.620.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.620.500.710.57
vs Weaker (15)0.400.730.170.500.560.89
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W02L30W00D10W22D30W00D31W41WA·EDI23/09H·BER30/09A·CLY21/10H·ANN28/10A·ELG04/11H·STE11/11H·EDI02/12A·STI05/12H·COW23/12A·MON30/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.701.070.671.200.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.060.881.120.881.000.88
vs Weaker (14)1.210.501.000.431.430.57
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W31W01L11D41W01L11D02L12LA·STI30/09H·STE21/10A·CLY28/10H·PET04/11A·COW11/11H·BER25/11A·ANN02/12H·EDI09/12A·MON16/12A·STE23/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.901.070.500.691.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.730.870.880.380.571.43
vs Weaker (15)1.000.931.330.670.781.11
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
PET wins
0
Draws
0
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Elgin · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/17AElgin Vs PET0-2
12/08/17HPET Vs Elgin3-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/17AMontrose Vs PET2-6
23/12/17HPET Vs Cowdenbeath3-2
05/12/17AStirling Vs PET0-1
02/12/17HPET Vs Edinburgh City3-0
11/11/17HPET Vs Stenhousemuir2-3
04/11/17AElgin Vs PET0-2
28/10/17HPET Vs Annan Athletic1-0
21/10/17AClyde Vs PET1-4
30/09/17HPET Vs Berwick0-2
23/09/17AEdinburgh City Vs PET0-3

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/17AStenhousemuir Vs ELG4-1
16/12/17AMontrose Vs ELG3-0
09/12/17HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-1
02/12/17AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG2-0
25/11/17HELG Vs Berwick5-1
11/11/17ACowdenbeath Vs ELG1-3
04/11/17HELG Vs Peterhead0-2
28/10/17AClyde Vs ELG2-4
21/10/17HELG Vs Stenhousemuir2-0
30/09/17AStirling Vs ELG2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.48
HomeLWLWW1.24
AwayWWWWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%32%52%
AVG goals3.063.123.00
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.641.601.68
Conceded1.421.521.32
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners9.758.7510.75
Cards4.004.503.50
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.38
HomeWWLWD1.62
AwayWWLLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals3.343.213.46
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %64%54%73%
Over 3.5 %48%50%46%
Scored1.862.001.73
Conceded1.481.211.73
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.8810.129.67
Cards4.353.385.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MontroseMontrose3677
64%
2.1
6035+25
2.6
69%
50%
28%
9.2
42%
3.1
36%
22.4
56%
0
0001.71.0
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3676
67%
2.1
7939+40
3.3
75%
61%
39%
9.4
42%
3.7
56%
26.9
86%
0
0002.21.1
-
3StirlingStirling3655
44%
1.5
6152+9
3.1
83%
67%
39%
9.7
50%
3.4
33%
23.4
67%
0
0001.71.4
-
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3654
42%
1.5
5647+9
2.9
86%
53%
31%
10.2
47%
3.0
36%
20.3
39%
0
0001.61.3
-
5ClydeClyde3651
39%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.3
50%
4.0
58%
22.4
58%
0
0001.41.4
-
6ElginElgin3649
39%
1.4
5461-7
3.2
89%
61%
39%
10.1
64%
3.8
50%
22.0
50%
0
0001.51.7
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3647
33%
1.3
4941+8
2.5
69%
42%
25%
8.9
33%
3.8
47%
23.9
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
8
B
Berwick		3637
25%
1.0
3159-28
2.5
64%
47%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
22.0
50%
0
0000.91.6
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3630
19%
0.8
3762-25
2.8
81%
58%
28%
9.8
47%
3.2
47%
23.6
58%
0
0001.01.7
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3622
11%
0.6
2356-33
2.2
67%
33%
19%
8.7
36%
3.9
56%
23.6
61%
0
0000.61.6
-
Scotland: League Two 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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