Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Peterhead and Kelty Hearts face a razor-thin contest, with the model favouring a home win. The probability split is 41% for Peterhead, 27% for a draw, and 32% for Kelty Hearts. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% probability. Peterhead’s home form shows they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Kelty Hearts, on the road, average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.9%, and Under 10.5 corners at 71.3%. The model also lists Over 2.5 cards at 85.1% and Under 10.5 corners at 71.3%. The match is poised for a tight battle, with neither side clearly dominant.

Peterhead’s run of two wins and a loss before the match was interrupted by a 0-3 defeat to Cove Rangers, while Kelty Hearts had a win and two losses in their last five outings, fresh from a 3-1 victory over Dumbarton. The pre-match favourite, a home win, was assigned a 41% probability, but the result was an away win, so the model’s call was wrong. The final score was 0-2. The model’s selections were: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 89.5%; Over 2.5 cards missed at 85.1%; Under 11.5 corners missed at 80.9%; Over 21.5 fouls hit at 79.7%; Over 1.5 hit at 79.4%; Under 10.5 corners missed at 71.3%.