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Peterhead vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 03/02/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 0-1
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-723L30W10W32W62W70W41W43W01L32WH·STE11/11H·EDI02/12A·STI05/12H·COW23/12A·MON30/12H·ELG02/01A·STE06/01H·STI13/01A·CLY27/01A·BER30/01
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.332.131.472.201.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)2.401.272.571.142.251.38
vs Weaker (15)1.931.401.751.752.141.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D30W30W10W26L11D10W20W13L21WA·CLY02/12H·BER09/12H·ELG16/12A·STI23/12H·PET30/12H·COW02/01A·ANN06/01A·EDI13/01H·CLY20/01H·STI27/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.031.671.271.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.551.182.001.401.171.00
vs Weaker (19)1.370.951.501.201.220.67
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-1 ✓
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Peterhead goals ↓
Montrose goals →
01234
06.7%6.3%5.0%2.2%0.7%
17.5%13%7.7%3.4%1.2%
26.7%8.9%6.0%2.7%0.9%
33.5%4.6%3.1%1.4%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Montrose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Montrose
2.14
Peterhead
2.11
Stirling
1.53
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Clyde
1.42
Elgin
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.31
Berwick
1.03
Edinburgh City
0.83
Cowdenbeath
0.61
Peterhead is 0.03 points worse than Montrose in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 2.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
2.19
Stirling
1.69
Montrose
1.67
Stenhousemuir
1.56
Elgin
1.50
Clyde
1.44
Annan Athletic
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.03
Berwick
0.86
Cowdenbeath
0.64
Peterhead is 0.53 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montrose
0.97
Peterhead
1.08
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Clyde
1.39
Stirling
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.56
Berwick
1.64
Elgin
1.69
Edinburgh City
1.72
Peterhead is 0.11 goals worse than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.97).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 5.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

15043214545521123112326737399713415810A·BERA·CLYH·STIA·STEH·ELGA·MONH·COWA·STIH·EDIH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80121221241135224321343428445A·BERA·CLYH·STIA·STEH·ELGA·MONH·COWA·STIH·EDIH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

340141717131215117121615915152113141815931302718282430343224A·BERA·CLYH·STIA·STEH·ELGA·MONH·COWA·STIH·EDIH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

For 6.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

150931144374921176561324512157713131311159H·STIH·CLYA·EDIA·ANNH·COWH·PETA·STIH·ELGH·BERA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60333312112213216333022351H·STIH·CLYA·EDIA·ANNH·COWH·PETA·STIH·ELGH·BERA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901014159813121771491514775101010824242129212421122018H·STIH·CLYA·EDIA·ANNH·COWH·PETA·STIH·ELGH·BERA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.69.51.61.81.427.227.626.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)8.97.610.51.21.70.727.426.628.5
vs Weaker (21)9.29.69.02.11.82.527.128.626.0
% over line43%30%55%26%32%20%86%90%82%
% under line57%70%45%74%68%80%14%10%18%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.310.77.91.31.51.021.520.822.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)8.911.45.81.41.91.021.920.823.2
vs Weaker (32)9.610.19.11.21.31.121.320.721.9
% over line48%67%27%10%16%4%52%50%55%
% under line52%33%73%90%84%96%48%50%45%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Clyde
11.4
Stirling
10.2
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Berwick
9.7
Elgin
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Montrose
9.3
Peterhead
9.1
Annan Athletic
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.3
Annan Athletic
4.0
Clyde
3.9
Peterhead
3.8
Cowdenbeath
3.3
Stirling
3.2
Berwick
3.2
Edinburgh City
3.1
Stenhousemuir
2.8
Montrose
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.2
Annan Athletic
24.9
Edinburgh City
23.8
Stirling
23.6
Clyde
23.1
Cowdenbeath
22.9
Elgin
22.4
Berwick
22.2
Montrose
21.5
Stenhousemuir
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.9%
Under 9.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W01L21W10W11D22D00D21WH·STE11/11H·EDI02/12A·STI05/12H·COW23/12A·MON30/12H·ELG02/01A·STE06/01H·STI13/01A·CLY27/01A·BER30/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.800.600.870.930.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.870.670.570.431.120.88
vs Weaker (15)0.670.930.621.250.710.57
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W00D12L00D10W20W01L01LA·CLY02/12H·BER09/12H·ELG16/12A·STI23/12H·PET30/12H·COW02/01A·ANN06/01A·EDI13/01H·CLY20/01H·STI27/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.800.470.730.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.361.200.400.670.33
vs Weaker (19)0.680.470.600.500.780.44
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D30W00D31W41W60W30W21W01L11DH·STE11/11H·EDI02/12A·STI05/12H·COW23/12A·MON30/12H·ELG02/01A·STE06/01H·STI13/01A·CLY27/01A·BER30/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.531.530.601.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.530.602.000.711.120.50
vs Weaker (15)1.270.471.120.501.430.43
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D20W10W14L11D00D00D12L20WA·CLY02/12H·BER09/12H·ELG16/12A·STI23/12H·PET30/12H·COW02/01A·ANN06/01A·EDI13/01H·CLY20/01H·STI27/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.870.800.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.820.801.000.500.67
vs Weaker (19)0.680.470.900.700.440.22
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners83.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners74.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PET wins
1
Draws
0
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Montrose · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/17AMontrose Vs PET2-6
09/09/17HPET Vs Montrose1-1

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/18ABerwick Vs PET2-3
27/01/18AClyde Vs PET1-0
13/01/18HPET Vs Stirling4-3
06/01/18AStenhousemuir Vs PET1-4
02/01/18HPET Vs Elgin7-0
30/12/17AMontrose Vs PET2-6
23/12/17HPET Vs Cowdenbeath3-2
05/12/17AStirling Vs PET0-1
02/12/17HPET Vs Edinburgh City3-0
11/11/17HPET Vs Stenhousemuir2-3

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/18HMON Vs Stirling2-1
20/01/18HMON Vs Clyde1-3
13/01/18AEdinburgh City Vs MON0-2
06/01/18AAnnan Athletic Vs MON0-1
02/01/18HMON Vs Cowdenbeath1-1
30/12/17HMON Vs Peterhead2-6
23/12/17AStirling Vs MON0-1
16/12/17HMON Vs Elgin3-0
09/12/17HMON Vs Berwick3-0
02/12/17AClyde Vs MON0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.62
HomeLWWWW1.32
AwayWWWLW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%36%60%
AVG goals3.283.443.12
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.861.881.84
Conceded1.421.561.28
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners9.108.609.55
Cards3.764.403.18
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.80
HomeWLDLW1.56
AwayWDWWW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%44%60%
AVG goals2.623.042.20
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %50%64%36%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.381.521.24
Conceded1.241.520.96
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet36%24%48%
Corners9.3510.677.91
Cards2.743.082.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MontroseMontrose3677
64%
2.1
6035+25
2.6
69%
50%
28%
9.2
42%
3.1
36%
22.4
56%
0
0001.71.0
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3676
67%
2.1
7939+40
3.3
75%
61%
39%
9.4
42%
3.7
56%
26.9
86%
0
0002.21.1
-
3StirlingStirling3655
44%
1.5
6152+9
3.1
83%
67%
39%
9.7
50%
3.4
33%
23.4
67%
0
0001.71.4
-
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3654
42%
1.5
5647+9
2.9
86%
53%
31%
10.2
47%
3.0
36%
20.3
39%
0
0001.61.3
-
5ClydeClyde3651
39%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.3
50%
4.0
58%
22.4
58%
0
0001.41.4
-
6ElginElgin3649
39%
1.4
5461-7
3.2
89%
61%
39%
10.1
64%
3.8
50%
22.0
50%
0
0001.51.7
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3647
33%
1.3
4941+8
2.5
69%
42%
25%
8.9
33%
3.8
47%
23.9
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
8
B
Berwick
3637
25%
1.0
3159-28
2.5
64%
47%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
22.0
50%
0
0000.91.6
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3630
19%
0.8
3762-25
2.8
81%
58%
28%
9.8
47%
3.2
47%
23.6
58%
0
0001.01.7
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3622
11%
0.6
2356-33
2.2
67%
33%
19%
8.7
36%
3.9
56%
23.6
61%
0
0000.61.6
-
Scotland: League Two 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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