This opponent (Dinamo Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.87
1.41
0.47
1.00
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.19
0.93
1.27
0.47
1.08
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
Petrolul Ploiesti goals ↓
Dinamo Bucuresti goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.5%
7.2%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (down), columns = Dinamo Bucuresti goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.29 points worse than Dinamo Bucuresti in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Petrolul Ploiesti is 1.00 goals worse than Dinamo Bucuresti in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.71 goals worse than Dinamo Bucuresti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Petrolul Ploiesti is 13.9 percentage points worse than Dinamo Bucuresti in terms of average possession (42% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Bucuresti
For 4.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Petrolul Ploiesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
4.0
4.2
3.7
25.3
26.0
24.5
vs Stronger (10)
8.4
5.5
10.8
3.7
3.4
4.0
27.3
31.0
24.4
vs Similar (40)
9.9
10.6
9.1
4.0
4.5
3.7
24.8
24.9
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
52%
55%
62%
71%
54%
73%
74%
73%
% under line
47%
48%
45%
38%
29%
46%
27%
26%
27%
This opponent (Dinamo Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.6
4.0
4.2
3.9
24.0
23.3
24.7
vs Stronger (4)
6.2
5.5
7.0
6.8
8.5
5.0
31.2
34.0
28.5
vs Similar (43)
9.7
9.7
9.6
4.0
3.9
4.2
23.9
22.9
25.1
vs Weaker (3)
13.5
12.0
15.0
0.7
1.0
0.5
10.5
11.0
10.0
% over line
40%
43%
36%
60%
58%
62%
60%
52%
68%
% under line
60%
57%
64%
40%
42%
38%
40%
48%
32%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.3
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Rapid
9.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.8
Farul Constanta
9.8
Oţelul
9.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.6
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.6
Uta Arad
9.6
FC Botosani
9.5
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.2
Csikszereda
9.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
FC Voluntari
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Arges Pitesti
4.9
FC Botosani
4.8
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.8
Uta Arad
4.6
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.5
Csikszereda
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Farul Constanta
4.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.7
FC Botosani
26.4
Arges Pitesti
25.4
Universitatea Craiova
24.8
Petrolul Ploiesti
24.7
FCSB
24.5
Csikszereda
24.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.2
Rapid
24.1
Uta Arad
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
Farul Constanta
23.5
FC Voluntari
23.5
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.5
Universitatea Cluj
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.3%
Under 21.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.57
0.27
0.67
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.30
0.43
0.33
0.50
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.43
0.41
0.12
0.23
0.85
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.33
0.44
0.40
0.07
0.25
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.00
0.35
0.77
0.54
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.48
0.87
0.40
0.83
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Petrolul Ploiesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Bran40%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Breston Malula25%
Robert Jerdea20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Papp50%
Adam Zaian40%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Mario Ioniță33%
Mark Țuțu33%
Breston Malula25%
Alejandro Bran20%
Robert Jerdea20%
Lukáš Zima17%
Andres Dumitrescu17%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Lucho Vega0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Martins17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Alejandro Bran0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Papp33%
Alejandro Bran20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Dan N'Lundulu17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Dinamo Bucuresti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandru Musi40%
Mamoudou Karamoko33%
Danny Armstrong33%
Alberto Soro33%
Adrian Mazilu33%
Oliver Hintsa20%
Martín Pascual17%
Alexandru Pop17%
Cătălin Cîrjan17%
Raul Opruț0%
Andrei Mărginean0%
Alaa Bellaarouch0%
Darío Benavides0%
David Irimia0%
Nikita Stoinov0%
Ianis Tarbă0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alberto Soro50%
Alexandru Musi40%
David Irimia40%
Danny Armstrong33%
Martín Pascual33%
Adrian Mazilu33%
Raul Opruț17%
Andrei Mărginean17%
Cătălin Cîrjan17%
Alaa Bellaarouch17%
Mamoudou Karamoko0%
Alexandru Pop0%
Oliver Hintsa0%
Darío Benavides0%
Nikita Stoinov0%
Ianis Tarbă0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong50%
Mamoudou Karamoko33%
Alberto Soro33%
Cătălin Cîrjan33%
Ianis Tarbă25%
Alexandru Pop17%
Martín Pascual0%
Raul Opruț0%
Oliver Hintsa0%
Andrei Mărginean0%
Alaa Bellaarouch0%
Alexandru Musi0%
Darío Benavides0%
Adrian Mazilu0%
David Irimia0%
Nikita Stoinov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Musi40%
Mamoudou Karamoko33%
Danny Armstrong33%
Cătălin Cîrjan33%
Martín Pascual17%
Andrei Mărginean17%
Alberto Soro0%
Raul Opruț0%
Alexandru Pop0%
Oliver Hintsa0%
Alaa Bellaarouch0%
Darío Benavides0%
Adrian Mazilu0%
David Irimia0%
Nikita Stoinov0%
Ianis Tarbă0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Petrolul Ploiesti's squad is €14m less valuable than Dinamo Bucuresti's (€6m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's attack is €6m less valuable than Dinamo Bucuresti's (€1m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's midfield is €3m less valuable than Dinamo Bucuresti's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Petrolul Ploiesti's defence is €4m less valuable than Dinamo Bucuresti's (€3m vs €7m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →