Petrolul Ploiesti hosts Rapid in a Liga I match, with Rapid looking to capitalize on their recent unbeaten streak. The away side has been impressive, scoring 1.33 goals on average when facing weaker opponents, while conceding only 0.5 goals. Petrolul Ploiesti, on the other hand, has struggled at home, scoring 0 goals and conceding 2.5 goals on average against stronger opponents.
The model predicts an away win, with a 40% probability, making it the favourite match result. The expected total goals stand at 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.6% probability. Rapid has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 3 of those games.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals, with an 84.3% probability and an 8% edge, suggesting a lower-scoring game. Other selections include Over 3.5 cards, with a 74.7% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 70.1% probability.
Home win percentage: 27%, Draw percentage: 32%, Away win percentage: 40%. The model's suggested picks are Under 3.5 (84.3%), Over 3.5 cards (74.7%), and Over 21.5 fouls (70.1%).
Results analysis
The match saw Rapid extend their winning run, finishing 0-2 to secure the away victory. The model’s favourite, an away win with a 40 % probability, proved correct. The final score matched the predicted 0-2 outcome, confirming the model’s accuracy. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9 %; Under 6.5 hit at 99.4 %; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.6 %; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6 %; Under 5.5 hit at 98.1 %; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.6 %; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.9 %; and Under 4.5 hit at 94.0 %. The selections performed largely as expected, with the model’s predictions largely coming in.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.90
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.28
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.21
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.36
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
BetVictor
3.25
Rapid win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.95
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.10
SBO
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.97
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.43
1.07
1.43
1.00
1.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
3.00
0.00
4.00
0.75
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.04
1.25
1.00
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.17
1.20
1.07
1.00
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.43
1.00
1.17
0.78
1.78
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.56
2.00
0.67
1.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.7%
@ 1.36-6.0%
Under 1.5
37.3%
@ 2.99+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Superbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.14
Betano
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.13-9.7%
Under 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.68+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.18
10Bet
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Under
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.7%
@ 3.85-8.5%
Under 3.5
84.3%
@ 1.23+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.10
888Sport
4.00
Pinnacle
3.95
10Bet
3.85
Under
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.4%
@ 1.88-6.8%
No
57.6%
@ 1.83+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.90
1xBet
1.90
No
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
William Hil
1.85
888Sport
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.95+7.2%
0-0
13.9%@ 8.03+8.4%
0-1
13.3%@ 6.09+6.0%
1-0
10.1%@ 9.14+5.2%
0-2 ✓
8.5%@ 8.48+3.3%
1-2
7.8%@ 8.08+2.3%
2-1
6.0%@ 11.87+2.3%
2-0
5.2%@ 17.98+2.7%
Petrolul Ploiesti goals ↓
Rapid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
13%
8.5%
3.3%
1.0%
1
10%
15%
7.8%
3.0%
0.9%
2
5.2%
6.0%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
3
1.6%
1.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (down), columns = Rapid goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Petrolul Ploiesti and Rapid are level in average points per game (both 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.14 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Petrolul Ploiesti is 0.86 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Petrolul Ploiesti is 7.4 percentage points worse than Rapid in terms of average possession (42% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti
For 4.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid
For 6.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Petrolul Ploiesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
4.2
4.3
4.1
25.9
26.7
25.2
vs Stronger (11)
8.2
5.5
10.0
3.6
3.4
3.8
27.0
31.0
24.3
vs Similar (39)
9.7
10.5
8.9
4.3
4.6
4.1
25.6
25.7
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
48%
50%
62%
73%
54%
80%
81%
79%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
38%
27%
46%
20%
19%
21%
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
4.2
4.0
4.4
23.7
23.4
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
11.1
11.2
10.9
4.0
4.0
4.1
22.5
22.4
22.7
vs Weaker (17)
8.2
8.0
8.4
4.5
3.9
5.0
26.0
25.9
26.1
% over line
45%
50%
39%
50%
46%
54%
55%
50%
61%
% under line
55%
50%
61%
50%
54%
46%
45%
50%
39%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.5
Universitatea Cluj
10.1
Rapid
10.0
Uta Arad
9.7
FC Botosani
9.7
Farul Constanta
9.7
Oţelul
9.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.9
Csikszereda
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
FC Botosani
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
FC Voluntari
4.6
Rapid
4.6
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.5
Oţelul
4.5
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.9
FC Botosani
26.3
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.5
Csikszereda
24.7
FCSB
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.3
Uta Arad
24.1
Rapid
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
FC Voluntari
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
Corvinul Hunedoara
22.6
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.4
Universitatea Cluj
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.4%
@ 1.86+1.5%
Under 9.5
48.6%
@ 1.85-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Unibet
2.04
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.6%
@ 1.33+6.2%
Under 3.5
25.4%
@ 2.88-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Under
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.82
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.3%
Under 21.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Petrolul Ploiesti or Draw✗ Miss
59.6%
Avg Implied 52.2% · @ 1.79
Edge
+7.5%
27%
32%
40%
covers Petrolul Ploiesti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Petrolul Ploiesti or Rapid✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
-4.4%
27%
32%
40%
covers Petrolul Ploiesti + Rapid
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Draw or Rapid✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.1%
27%
32%
40%
covers Draw + Rapid
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.7%
@ 1.51-1.8%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.42+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Superbet
1.55
888Sport
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.45
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.1%
@ 3.53-3.2%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.26+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.91
BetVictor
3.80
888Sport
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Superbet
3.65
Under
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 10.28-2.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
12.00
Marathonbet
11.25
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 25.88-2.4%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Bet365
29.00
888Sport
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Rapid over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.8%
@ 1.22-7.1%
Under
31.2%
@ 3.87+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.22
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Rapid over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.5%
@ 2.13-11.2%
Under
67.5%
@ 1.65+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Rapid over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 4.67-8.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.16+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.85
BetVictor
4.75
888Sport
4.75
Under
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Rapid over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 11.15-5.4%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
888Sport
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Petrolul Ploiesti, so a minus line means Petrolul Ploiesti give that many goals of a start and Rapid receive them. At -1, Petrolul Ploiesti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Petrolul Ploiesti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Petrolul Ploiesti)Actual: Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti -2
2.6%
@ 25.25-1.1%
Draw -2
7.3%
@ 11.88-0.5%
Rapid +2
90.2%
@ 1.04+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
36.00
Superbet
24.00
Bet365
23.00
Unibet
18.00
Draw
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Away
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.02
Handicap -1 (Petrolul Ploiesti)Actual: Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti -1
9.8%
@ 8.49-0.6%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 4.84-0.9%
Rapid +1
72.9%
@ 1.24+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.90
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
3.80
Away
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Handicap +1 (Petrolul Ploiesti)Actual: Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti +1
59.6%
@ 1.79+9.3%
Draw +1
22.6%
@ 3.54-2.8%
Rapid -1
17.8%
@ 3.72-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.75
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Unibet
3.40
Away
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Unibet
3.60
Handicap +2 (Petrolul Ploiesti)Actual: Draw
Petrolul Ploiesti +2
82.2%
@ 1.24+9.5%
Draw +2
12.0%
@ 5.58-4.1%
Rapid -2
5.8%
@ 8.08-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
8.10
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
7.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.43
0.71
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.42
0.50
0.50
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.48
0.58
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.22
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.6%
@ 1.43+2.7%
Under 0.5
32.4%
@ 2.65-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
William Hil
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.6%
@ 3.04-1.0%
Under 1.5
70.4%
@ 1.34+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 7.82-2.1%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Unibet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.62+5.6%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.44-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 9.74-0.0%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.04+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.70
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 40.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.0%
@ 1.92-5.3%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.79+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Unibet
1.77
Rapid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.82-4.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.11+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Rapid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 16.92-3.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Petrolul Ploiesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.64
0.71
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.95
0.42
0.83
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.33
1.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.07
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Unibet
1.03
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.02
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.7%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.11
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.3%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
82.2%
1.24
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
76.9%
1.26
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.6%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
-
-
-
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
72.9%
1.23
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
72.9%
1.24
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
1.30
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.34
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Petrolul Ploiesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Bran40%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Breston Malula25%
Robert Jerdea20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Papp50%
Adam Zaian40%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Mario Ioniță33%
Mark Țuțu33%
Breston Malula25%
Alejandro Bran20%
Robert Jerdea20%
Lukáš Zima17%
Andres Dumitrescu17%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Lucho Vega0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Martins17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Alejandro Bran0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Papp33%
Alejandro Bran20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Dan N'Lundulu17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Rapid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Dobre33%
Claudiu Petrila33%
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cătălin Vulturar50%
Alexandru Paşcanu50%
Robert Sălceanu40%
Alex Dobre33%
Lars Kramer33%
Vladan Bubanja33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Mohammed Kamara25%
Denis Ciobotariu25%
Marian Aioani17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Timotej Jambor33%
Omar El Sawy25%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Alex Dobre0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Filip Stojilković0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Claudiu Petrila33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Rareș Pop33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Alex Dobre17%
Olimpiu Moruțan17%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Jason Kodor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Petrolul Ploiesti's squad is €23m less valuable than Rapid's (€6m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's attack is €13m less valuable than Rapid's (€1m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Petrolul Ploiesti's midfield is €1m less valuable than Rapid's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Petrolul Ploiesti's defence is €10m less valuable than Rapid's (€3m vs €12m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda