Piast Gliwice, riding a two-game winning streak, face GKS Katowice, who also enjoy a recent double win. The model sees Piast as the favourite, giving a 41% chance of a home victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 33% chance of a Katowice win. The expected goal tally is 3.1, with the most probable total being two goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability, a tidy reflection of both sides’ similar offensive output - Piast averaging 1.89 goals at home against comparable opposition and conceding 1.78, while Katowice averages 0.91 away goals and 1.09 conceded. The model’s selections lean heavily on low-scoring outcomes: Under 7.5 (98.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (96.8% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6% with an 8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.5% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.1% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.0% with a 4% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (93.2% with a 3% edge). These picks underline the model’s belief that the match will be a low-scoring affair, with Piast’s home advantage tipping the odds.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Piast Gliwice win
42.0%
Avg Implied 39.7% · @ 2.33
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.44
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.50
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.66
10Bet
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.54
GKS Katowice win
32.6%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.74
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.91
Superbet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Piast Gliwice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.53
1.47
1.60
1.53
1.47
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.40
1.00
1.20
1.20
1.60
vs Similar (19)
1.63
1.68
1.70
1.80
1.56
1.56
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.10
2.47
0.80
1.13
1.40
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
1.86
2.00
1.33
1.75
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.78
0.87
2.58
0.67
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.6%
@ 1.19+5.1%
Under 1.5
16.4%
@ 4.35-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Under
Pinnacle
5.03
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.64+4.1%
Under 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.21-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
10Bet
2.20
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.3%
@ 2.56+2.8%
Under 3.5
60.7%
@ 1.47-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Both teams to score
Yes
64.2%
@ 1.52+3.3%
No
35.8%
@ 2.36-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.53
No
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.40
10Bet
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 6.73+4.8%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.69+3.7%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.39+3.0%
2-2
6.6%@ 10.78+2.4%
1-0
6.0%@ 9.79+1.4%
2-0
6.0%@ 12.45+2.4%
0-0
5.2%@ 12.80+1.7%
0-1
5.1%@ 10.48+0.8%
Piast Gliwice goals ↓
GKS Katowice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.1%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.0%
12%
7.7%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.0%
8.9%
6.6%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.4%
5.0%
3.7%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.4%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Piast Gliwice goals (down), columns = GKS Katowice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Piast Gliwice is 0.63 points worse than GKS Katowice in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Piast Gliwice is 0.73 goals worse than GKS Katowice in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Piast Gliwice is 0.97 goals worse than GKS Katowice in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Piast Gliwice is 8.0 percentage points better than GKS Katowice in terms of average possession (56% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Piast Gliwice
For 5.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GKS Katowice
For 4.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Piast Gliwice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.4
3.9
3.0
24.4
23.0
25.8
vs Stronger (12)
9.1
8.4
9.7
3.8
5.0
2.7
23.4
22.4
24.2
vs Similar (36)
10.4
10.9
9.9
3.5
3.5
3.5
24.7
23.1
26.4
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
39%
52%
44%
54%
35%
67%
57%
78%
% under line
54%
61%
48%
56%
46%
65%
33%
43%
22%
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
11.1
8.9
3.4
3.5
3.2
24.1
24.9
23.4
vs Stronger (11)
10.6
11.4
9.5
3.2
3.5
2.8
24.2
24.8
23.5
vs Similar (39)
9.9
11.1
8.7
3.4
3.5
3.4
24.1
24.9
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
77%
36%
48%
50%
46%
64%
68%
59%
% under line
43%
23%
64%
52%
50%
54%
36%
32%
41%
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
10.7
Wieczysta Kraków
10.4
Pogon Szczecin
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Zaglebie Lubin
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Radomiak Radom
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Cracovia Krakow
10.1
Piast Gliwice
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.4
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.6
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Pogon Szczecin
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.7
GKS Katowice
3.7
Piast Gliwice
3.6
Wieczysta Kraków
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.9
Wieczysta Kraków
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.6
Widzew Łódź
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Wisla Krakow
25.7
Korona Kielce
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Motor Lublin
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.2
Lech Poznan
24.1
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
GKS Katowice
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.0%
@ 1.74-3.4%
Under 9.5
50.0%
@ 2.00+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.7%
Under 21.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Piast Gliwice or Draw
64.8%
Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.41
Edge
-1.2%
42%
25%
33%
covers Piast Gliwice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
Piast Gliwice or GKS Katowice
73.3%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.4%
42%
25%
33%
covers Piast Gliwice + GKS Katowice
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Draw or GKS Katowice
61.9%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.55
Edge
+1.6%
42%
25%
33%
covers Draw + GKS Katowice
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Piast Gliwice over/under 0.5
Over
78.1%
@ 1.20+0.5%
Under
21.9%
@ 4.13-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.32
BetVictor
4.20
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Piast Gliwice over/under 1.5
Over
44.8%
@ 1.98-2.3%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.76+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.01
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Piast Gliwice over/under 2.5
Over
19.6%
@ 4.08-3.2%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.20+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Piast Gliwice over/under 3.5
Over
6.8%
@ 9.40-3.2%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.04+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.90
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5
Over
76.6%
@ 1.24+2.1%
Under
23.4%
@ 3.65-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.13
Betano
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
@ 2.20+0.2%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.62-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Under
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
@ 4.80-1.4%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.15+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
GKS Katowice over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
@ 10.88-2.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Piast Gliwice, so a minus line means Piast Gliwice give that many goals of a start and GKS Katowice receive them. At -1, Piast Gliwice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Piast Gliwice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Piast Gliwice)
Piast Gliwice -2
7.4%
@ 9.05-2.5%
Draw -2
11.6%
@ 6.53-2.1%
GKS Katowice +2
80.9%
@ 1.18+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.40
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
6.20
Away
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Piast Gliwice)
Piast Gliwice -1
19.1%
@ 4.26-1.8%
Draw -1
19.0%
@ 4.11-2.6%
GKS Katowice +1
61.9%
@ 1.55+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Unibet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Away
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Handicap +1 (Piast Gliwice)
Piast Gliwice +1
64.8%
@ 1.41+1.7%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 4.48-1.7%
GKS Katowice -1
17.1%
@ 5.21+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Away
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Superbet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Piast Gliwice)
Piast Gliwice +2
82.9%
@ 1.12+5.0%
Draw +2
10.7%
@ 6.65-2.5%
GKS Katowice -2
6.4%
@ 9.83-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Piast Gliwice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.70
0.00
1.00
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.63
0.50
0.70
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
1.13
0.47
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.43
1.17
0.42
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.29-0.6%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 3.31+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.5%
@ 2.38-5.6%
Under 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.52+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.41
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 5.34-3.7%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.12+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Piast Gliwice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.6%
@ 1.84-3.9%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.88+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Piast Gliwice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 5.17-7.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.13+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Piast Gliwice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 13.38-5.4%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.7%
@ 1.97+3.5%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.76-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Unibet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.9%
@ 5.83-0.1%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.11+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
@ 15.75-2.7%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Piast Gliwice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.90
1.13
0.80
1.13
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.70
1.00
0.20
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.05
1.20
1.10
1.22
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
1.33
0.33
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.43
1.42
0.25
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.17+0.1%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 4.49-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.85
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.40
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.84-2.9%
Under 1.5
52.4%
@ 1.87+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Under
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 3.56-6.2%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.26+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Piast Gliwice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.9%
@ 1.58-4.8%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.24+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Piast Gliwice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.5%
@ 3.78-7.1%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.23+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Piast Gliwice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
@ 9.12-6.4%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.9%
@ 1.70+4.4%
Under
41.1%
@ 2.04-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.88
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.0%
@ 4.26-1.8%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.19+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.45
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.0%
@ 11.00-2.5%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 6.5
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+2.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+3.2%
Under 5.5
91.9%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+7.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
+3.7%
Under 5.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+0.1%
Over 1.5
83.6%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
+5.1%
Home +2 handicap
82.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+7.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
82.0%
1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
+1.4%
Under 4.5
82.0%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+2.4%
Away +2 handicap
80.9%
1.18
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+4.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.4%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+3.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.26
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+6.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+1.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.17
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+0.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+0.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
76.6%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+2.1%
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
1.36
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+6.2%
Home or Away
73.3%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-0.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.29
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
-0.6%
Under 4.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Piast Gliwice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Sanca40%
Szczepan Mucha33%
Jakub Łabojko20%
Hugo Vallejo20%
Juande Rivas20%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Jason Lokilo0%
Quentin Boisgard0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Ema Twumasi0%
Domen Gril0%
Filip Borowski0%
Ivan Lima0%
Jakub Lewicki0%
Oskar Lesniak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Quentin Boisgard40%
Ivan Lima25%
Ema Twumasi20%
Juande Rivas20%
Leandro Sanca20%
Oskar Lesniak20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Jason Lokilo0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Domen Gril0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Filip Borowski0%
Szczepan Mucha0%
Jakub Lewicki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Lima50%
Ema Twumasi20%
Jakub Lewicki20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Jason Lokilo0%
Quentin Boisgard0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Domen Gril0%
Juande Rivas0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Leandro Sanca0%
Filip Borowski0%
Szczepan Mucha0%
Oskar Lesniak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Lima50%
Jason Lokilo33%
Szczepan Mucha33%
Leandro Sanca20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Quentin Boisgard0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Ema Twumasi0%
Domen Gril0%
Juande Rivas0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Filip Borowski0%
Jakub Lewicki0%
Oskar Lesniak0%
GKS Katowice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilia Shkurin60%
Bartosz Nowak20%
Arkadiusz Jędrych20%
Eman Marković20%
Pau Resta20%
Szymon Bartlewicz20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Alan Czerwiński0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Borja Galán0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Klemenz60%
Marcin Wasielewski50%
Alan Czerwiński25%
Kacper Łukasiak25%
Arkadiusz Jędrych20%
Borja Galán20%
Pau Resta20%
Erik Jirka0%
Ilia Shkurin0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Bartosz Nowak0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Eman Marković0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bartosz Nowak60%
Alan Czerwiński25%
Ilia Shkurin20%
Borja Galán20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Arkadiusz Jędrych0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Eman Marković0%
Pau Resta0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilia Shkurin80%
Eman Marković40%
Pau Resta20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Alan Czerwiński0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Bartosz Nowak0%
Arkadiusz Jędrych0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Borja Galán0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Piast Gliwice's squad is €4m less valuable than GKS Katowice's (€9m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Piast Gliwice's attack is €1m more valuable than GKS Katowice's (€4m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Piast Gliwice's midfield is €5m less valuable than GKS Katowice's (€0m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Piast Gliwice and GKS Katowice have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa