This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
1.69
1.00
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
1.33
1.50
1.67
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.39
0.89
1.80
0.60
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.6%
Under 1.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.3%
@ 2.36-7.5%
Under 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.56+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.7%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
Ponferradina goals ↓
Huesca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.8%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
7.9%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
4.5%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ponferradina goals (down), columns = Huesca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Ponferradina is 0.45 points worse than Huesca in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Ponferradina is 0.24 goals worse than Huesca in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Ponferradina is 0.19 goals worse than Huesca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ponferradina
For 3.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 16.8 · Total 32.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
For 5.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 15.8 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ponferradina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.6
9.1
2.9
2.7
3.1
32.6
31.5
33.8
vs Stronger (25)
7.6
6.3
9.2
3.1
3.1
3.2
33.7
32.4
35.2
vs Similar (25)
9.1
9.2
9.0
2.6
2.3
3.0
31.4
30.5
32.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
23%
33%
44%
38%
50%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
72%
77%
67%
56%
62%
50%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.4
5.7
5.5
5.9
29.3
28.9
29.6
vs Stronger (30)
10.5
10.7
10.4
5.6
5.3
5.9
28.6
27.5
29.6
vs Similar (20)
9.3
8.5
10.3
5.7
5.6
5.8
30.3
30.8
29.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
65%
71%
86%
81%
92%
90%
85%
96%
% under line
32%
35%
29%
14%
19%
8%
10%
15%
4%
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
11.2
Extremadura UD
10.4
Mirandes
10.2
Huesca
10.1
Numancia
9.9
Zaragoza
9.8
Elche
9.6
Rayo Vallecano
9.6
Las Palmas
9.6
Sporting Gijon
9.5
Oviedo
9.5
Cadiz
9.5
Albacete
9.4
Racing Santander
9.4
Alcorcon
9.4
Almeria
9.2
Deportivo La Coruna
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Tenerife
8.6
Fuenlabrada
8.6
Girona
8.4
Ponferradina
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.9
Fuenlabrada
6.6
Alcorcon
6.3
Tenerife
6.2
Sporting Gijon
6.2
Racing Santander
6.2
Elche
6.1
Albacete
6.0
Almeria
5.9
Malaga
5.8
Numancia
5.8
Lugo
5.8
Cadiz
5.7
Ponferradina
5.7
Oviedo
5.7
Huesca
5.7
Extremadura UD
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.6
Girona
5.6
Deportivo La Coruna
5.4
Mirandes
4.8
Zaragoza
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Sporting Gijon
33.5
Albacete
33.3
Elche
33.3
Alcorcon
33.1
Almeria
33.0
Oviedo
32.9
Ponferradina
32.6
Fuenlabrada
32.6
Las Palmas
32.5
Tenerife
31.1
Deportivo La Coruna
31.0
Numancia
30.3
Extremadura UD
30.3
Rayo Vallecano
30.0
Malaga
29.9
Lugo
29.8
Cadiz
29.6
Girona
29.6
Huesca
29.3
Mirandes
29.1
Zaragoza
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.2%
Under 9.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.7%
Under 3.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.7%
Under 21.5
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ponferradina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.43
0.44
0.12
0.21
0.79
vs Stronger (15)
0.20
0.40
0.25
0.12
0.14
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.47
0.62
0.12
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.07
0.43
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.83
0.67
1.17
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.44
0.80
0.50
0.12
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ponferradina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.88
0.62
0.86
0.86
vs Stronger (15)
0.87
0.73
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.94
0.25
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.44
1.00
0.10
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ponferradina · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri19%
Eduardo Espiau12%
Daniel Ojeda11%
Hugo Vallejo10%
José Naranjo8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Naim García6%
Adrián Castellano6%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
José Amo6%
Alexandru Paşcanu6%
Agus Medina3%
Kelechi Nwakali3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Erik Morán0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Kelechi Nwakali31%
Agus Medina30%
Adrián Diéguez30%
Adrián Castellano29%
Jordan Lukaku29%
Paris Barandiaran28%
Alexandru Paşcanu28%
Erik Morán24%
Daniel Ojeda22%
Heriberto Tavares21%
Derik Lacerda21%
Sabit Abdulai21%
José Naranjo19%
Naim García19%
Eduardo Espiau18%
Amir Abedzadeh17%
Moises Delgado15%
Giorgi Makaridze14%
Hugo Vallejo14%
Aldair12%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
Yuri3%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ojeda14%
Naim García12%
Kelechi Nwakali8%
Alexandru Paşcanu8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Moises Delgado6%
José Naranjo6%
Paris Barandiaran6%
Heriberto Tavares5%
Sabit Abdulai5%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Adrián Diéguez3%
Agus Medina3%
Yuri3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
José Amo0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Aldair0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naim García19%
José Naranjo14%
Daniel Ojeda14%
Kelechi Nwakali6%
Yuri5%
Derik Lacerda5%
Eduardo Espiau5%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
José Amo0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Agus Medina0%
Miguel San Román0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
Huesca · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Escobar25%
Oscar Sielva17%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba17%
Enol Rodríguez14%
Iker Kortajarena12%
Sergi Enrich11%
Álvaro Carrillo9%
Daniel Luna9%
Jorge Pulido8%
Javi Mier8%
Liberto Beltrán7%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Ángel Pérez5%
Francisco Portillo2%
Jaime Seoane0%
Julio Alonso0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Jordi Martín0%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana0%
Toni Abad0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Hugo Perez0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javi Mier31%
Sergio Arribas31%
Jordi Martín28%
Jorge Pulido27%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana26%
Oscar Sielva25%
Hugo Perez25%
Julio Alonso23%
Daní Martin20%
Jesús Álvarez19%
Jordi Escobar19%
Rodrigo Abajas18%
Daniel Ojeda17%
Jaime Seoane17%
Ángel Pérez16%
Álvaro Carrillo15%
Liberto Beltrán15%
Ignacio Laquintana14%
Daniel Luna12%
Sergi Enrich11%
Manu Rico11%
Toni Abad11%
Francisco Portillo10%
Michael Agbekpornu10%
Iker Kortajarena8%
Dani Jiménez5%
Enol Rodríguez3%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaime Seoane17%
Oscar Sielva14%
Iker Kortajarena12%
Ángel Pérez11%
Álvaro Carrillo9%
Sergio Arribas8%
Francisco Portillo8%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Jordi Martín6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Toni Abad4%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana3%
Enol Rodríguez3%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Sergi Enrich0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Liberto Beltrán0%
Jordi Escobar0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Hugo Perez0%
Daniel Luna0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Escobar12%
Enol Rodríguez9%
Liberto Beltrán7%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Ángel Pérez5%
Francisco Portillo5%
Iker Kortajarena4%
Daniel Luna3%
Sergi Enrich3%
Oscar Sielva3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Jaime Seoane0%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Jordi Martín0%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana0%
Toni Abad0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Álvaro Carrillo0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Hugo Perez0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →