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Primorje vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Primorje
Primorje
Vs
64%
23%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Primorje is the clear favourite to win this match, and the model rates them highly due to Dekani's weakness at home. The model predicts a 64% chance of a home win, with a 13% chance of an away win and a 23% chance of a draw. The most likely outcome is a home win, as per the model's pick, with an expected total of 2.8 goals and the most likely score being 2-0, occurring with a probability of 12.4%.

Primorje's recent form has been inconsistent, with two straight defeats, but they have a strong record at home, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 1.7. Dekani, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, scoring 0.89 goals and conceding 1.22. The model suggests two selections: Over 1.5 goals, which has a 77.2% chance of occurring, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 70% probability. The probabilities for a home win are 64%, a draw is 23%, and an away win is 13%.

Results analysis

Primorje's win extends their run, having come off a win prior to this match. The final score was 1-0, resulting in a home win. The model's selection, a home win, was correct. The favourite was indeed Primorje, with a pre-match probability of 64%. The model's call was correct.

The model's selection of an Over 1.5 goal margin missed, with a probability of 77.2%. In contrast, the selection of an Under 3.5 goal margin hit, with a probability of 70.1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Primorje win✓ Hit
64.2%
Avg Implied 39.0% · @ 2.30
Edge
+25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.37
Dafabet
2.36
Unibet
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Bet365
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.32
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
1xBet
3.38
Dekani win✗ Miss
13.1%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.64
Edge
-20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
Betano
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Unibet
2.63

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L23L03L02L00D04L00D01L12LA·BRA15/04A·MAR18/04H·RAD26/04A·OLI02/05H·MUR10/05A·ALU16/05H·CEL22/05H·NAF27/05A·NAF31/05A·KRŠ08/08← 1. SNL2. SNL →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.071.211.860.442.25
vs Stronger (13)0.542.920.672.670.433.14
vs Similar (16)1.001.381.621.250.381.50
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W03L22D02L11D02L51W22D43W30WH·BIS03/04A·NAF11/04H·BIL18/04A·BEL25/04H·BRI29/04A·TRI06/05H·SLO10/05A·RUD15/05H·KRK23/05H·SLO08/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.531.931.530.731.53
vs Stronger (8)1.121.881.502.000.751.75
vs Similar (20)1.301.452.001.500.601.40
vs Weaker (2)2.501.003.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.2%
@ 1.23+4.0%
Under 1.5
22.8%
@ 3.36-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Betano
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.76+0.4%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 1.89-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
@ 2.82-1.8%
Under 3.5
70.1%
@ 1.31+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Unibet
2.90
Betano
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
@ 1.59-8.5%
No
52.1%
@ 2.05+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.47
No
1xBet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
1.90

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.3%@ 11.20+8.6%
1-0 ✓
11.5%@ 8.30+6.5%
1-1
10.8%@ 6.35+4.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.60+4.8%
3-0
8.1%@ 19.80+6.0%
0-0
7.3%@ 9.92+3.1%
3-1
6.4%@ 15.80+3.7%
4-0
4.0%@ 50.80+3.2%
Primorje goals ↓
Dekani goals →
01234
07.3%4.0%2.0%0.5%0.1%
112%11%3.9%1.0%0.2%
212%9.7%3.8%1.0%0.2%
38.1%6.4%2.5%0.7%0.1%
44.0%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Primorje goals (down), columns = Dekani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Primorje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Brežice
1.38
Dren Vrhnika
1.38
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Jesenice
0.60
Primorje is 0.60 points better than Dekani in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Beltinci
1.83
Primorje
1.73
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Primorje is 0.40 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.83
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Primorje
1.15
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dravinja
1.47
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Ilirija
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Primorje is 0.38 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L01L01L00D04L00D00D02LA·BRA15/04A·MAR18/04H·RAD26/04A·OLI02/05H·MUR10/05A·ALU16/05H·CEL22/05H·NAF27/05A·NAF31/05A·KRŠ08/08← 1. SNL2. SNL →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.830.570.790.190.88
vs Stronger (13)0.231.230.331.330.141.14
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.750.380.250.50
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D22D01L01L01L41W11D13L20WH·BIS03/04A·NAF11/04H·BIL18/04A·BEL25/04H·BRI29/04A·TRI06/05H·SLO10/05A·RUD15/05H·KRK23/05H·SLO08/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.771.071.000.400.53
vs Stronger (8)0.620.621.001.000.250.25
vs Similar (20)0.750.901.201.100.300.70
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PrimorjePrimorje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L22D02L01L00D00D00D01L10WA·BRA15/04A·MAR18/04H·RAD26/04A·OLI02/05H·MUR10/05A·ALU16/05H·CEL22/05H·NAF27/05A·NAF31/05A·KRŠ08/08← 1. SNL2. SNL →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.230.641.070.251.38
vs Stronger (13)0.311.690.331.330.292.00
vs Similar (16)0.500.940.880.880.121.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D01L10W01L10W11D30W10WH·BIS03/04A·NAF11/04H·BIL18/04A·BEL25/04H·BRI29/04A·TRI06/05H·SLO10/05A·RUD15/05H·KRK23/05H·SLO08/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.870.530.331.00
vs Stronger (8)0.501.250.501.000.501.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.550.800.400.300.70
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Primorje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+4.0%✗ Miss
Under 3.570.1%1.31
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
+1.8%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Primorje and Dekani have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Primorje and Dekani have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Primorje and Dekani have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Primorje and Dekani have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
PRI wins
2
Draws
0
DEK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Primorje vs Dekani · H/A from PRI
DateH/AGameScore
24/03/24HPRI Vs Dekani4-1
10/09/23ADekani Vs PRI1-1
19/03/23HPRI Vs Dekani2-2
03/09/22ADekani Vs PRI0-1

PrimorjePrimorje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AKrško Vs PRI2-1
31/05/26ANafta Vs PRI1-0
27/05/26HPRI Vs Nafta0-0
22/05/26HPRI Vs Celje0-4
16/05/26AAluminij Vs PRI0-0
10/05/26HPRI Vs Mura0-2
02/05/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs PRI3-0
26/04/26HPRI Vs Radomlje2-3
18/04/26AMaribor Vs PRI2-0
15/04/26ABravo Vs PRI2-1

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HDEK Vs Slovan Ljubljana3-0
23/05/26HDEK Vs Krka4-3
15/05/26ARudar Vs DEK2-2
10/05/26HDEK Vs Slovan Ljubljana5-1
06/05/26ATriglav Vs DEK2-0
29/04/26HDEK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
25/04/26ABeltinci Vs DEK2-0
18/04/26HDEK Vs Bilje2-2
11/04/26ANafta Vs DEK3-0
03/04/26HDEK Vs Bistrica1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Primorje
Primorje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.80
HomeLLLLD1.24
AwayLLDLL0.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%36%4%
AVG goals2.943.082.80
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored0.981.280.68
Conceded1.961.802.12
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.02
HomeDDWWW1.38
AwayLLLLD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%42%12%
AVG goals3.063.622.54
Over 1.5 %80%92%69%
Over 2.5 %56%71%42%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.261.830.73
Conceded1.801.791.81
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana412
100%
3.0
110+11
2.8
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.80.0
-
2IlirijaIlirija49
75%
2.2
102+8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.50.5
-
3Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana49
75%
2.2
87+1
3.8
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
4JeseniceJesenice47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.2
-
5BistricaBistrica47
50%
1.8
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
6TriglavTriglav36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.7
-
7BeltinciBeltinci46
50%
1.5
86+2
3.5
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.5
-
8RudarRudar46
50%
1.5
75+2
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.2
-
9Dren VrhnikaDren Vrhnika46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10BiljeBilje46
50%
1.5
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.82.5
-
11PrimorjePrimorje46
50%
1.5
58-3
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
12KrškoKrško45
25%
1.2
38-5
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
13DekaniDekani44
25%
1.0
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.80.8
-
14KrkaKrka41
0%
0.2
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.02.2
-
15BrežiceBrežice30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
16DravinjaDravinja40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.52.5
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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