This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.30
1.81
1.31
0.64
1.29
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.57
1.00
1.40
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.22
2.18
1.27
0.75
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0 ✓
11.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.6%
Progres Niederkorn goals ↓
AS Jeunesse Esch goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.7%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.8%
8.9%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.1%
4.2%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Progres Niederkorn goals (down), columns = AS Jeunesse Esch goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.67
F91 Dudelange
2.67
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Wiltz
2.40
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
The Belval Belvaux
2.25
Union Titus Petange
2.25
UNA Strassen
2.25
Progres Niederkorn
2.25
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
URB
2.00
Minerva Lintgen
2.00
Jeunesse Canach
2.00
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Daring Echternach
1.67
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Folschette
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Lorentzweiler
1.50
Moutfort / Medingen
1.50
Obercorn
1.50
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Syra Mensdorf
1.50
Sporting Mertzig
1.50
Ehlerange
1.50
Schengen
1.50
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Fola Esch
1.50
Mondercange
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
Résidence Walferdange
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.33
ALSS Luxembourg
1.01
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Kehlen
0.00
Grevenmacher
0.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Feulen
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Koerich
0.00
Noertzange
0.00
Tricolore Gasperich
0.00
Sanem
0.00
Munsbach
0.00
RM Hamm Benfica
0.00
Jeunesse Biwer
0.00
Berdenia Berbourg
0.00
Norden
0.00
Mamer
0.00
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Koeppchen
0.00
Kopstal 33
0.00
Progres Niederkorn is 0.25 points better than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Schengen
4.50
FC Differdange 03
4.33
Jeunesse Schieren
4.00
UNA Strassen
4.00
Progres Niederkorn
4.00
F91 Dudelange
3.50
Union Titus Petange
3.50
Mondercange
3.50
US Rumelange
3.50
US Hostert
3.33
Koerich
3.00
Sporting Mertzig
3.00
The Belval Belvaux
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
Berdenia Berbourg
3.00
Wiltz
3.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.75
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.67
Moutfort / Medingen
2.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.33
URB
2.33
Daring Echternach
2.33
Lorentzweiler
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Syra Mensdorf
2.00
Tricolore Gasperich
2.00
RM Hamm Benfica
2.00
Jeunesse Biwer
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
Koeppchen
2.00
ALSS Luxembourg
1.93
Jeunesse Canach
1.67
Victoria Rosport
1.67
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
Minerva Lintgen
1.20
Folschette
1.00
Kehlen
1.00
Grevenmacher
1.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
1.00
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.00
Feulen
1.00
Noertzange
1.00
Sanem
1.00
Munsbach
1.00
Mamer
1.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Kopstal 33
1.00
Obercorn
0.50
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Norden
0.00
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Progres Niederkorn is 1.33 goals better than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of goals scored per game (4.00 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.33
Schifflange
0.50
Obercorn
0.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.50
The Belval Belvaux
0.75
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.80
Atert Bissen
1.00
Norden
1.00
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Victoria Rosport
1.00
Marisca Mersch
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Minière Lasauvage
1.00
UNA Strassen
1.25
Daring Echternach
1.33
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.33
Minerva Lintgen
1.40
Wiltz
1.40
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.75
F91 Dudelange
1.83
Avenir Beggen
2.00
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
URB
2.00
Grevenmacher
2.00
Lorentzweiler
2.00
Moutfort / Medingen
2.00
Feulen
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Sanem
2.00
Munsbach
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.00
Kopstal 33
2.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
Blô-Weiss Medernach
2.50
Syra Mensdorf
2.50
Sporting Mertzig
2.50
ALSS Luxembourg
2.71
Les Aiglons Dalheim
3.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
RM Hamm Benfica
3.00
Jeunesse Biwer
3.00
Schengen
3.00
Olympia Christnach
3.00
Mamer
3.00
Koeppchen
3.00
Folschette
3.50
Mondercange
3.50
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
4.00
Koerich
4.00
Noertzange
4.00
Tricolore Gasperich
4.00
Berdenia Berbourg
4.00
Kehlen
5.00
Sandweiler
5.00
Progres Niederkorn is 0.33 goals better than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Progres Niederkorn or Draw✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Progres Niederkorn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn or AS Jeunesse Esch✓ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Progres Niederkorn + AS Jeunesse Esch
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AS Jeunesse Esch✗ Miss
55.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Draw + AS Jeunesse Esch
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.6%
Under
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.2%
Under
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.9%
Under
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Progres Niederkorn, so a minus line means Progres Niederkorn give that many goals of a start and AS Jeunesse Esch receive them. At -1, Progres Niederkorn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Progres Niederkorn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Progres Niederkorn)Actual: AS Jeunesse Esch
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.88
0.56
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.48
1.00
0.55
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Progres Niederkorn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.08
0.62
0.94
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
1.42
0.67
2.00
0.80
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.94
0.75
0.21
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.74
1.18
0.73
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Progres Niederkorn and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Atert Bissen
FC Differdange 03
US Mondorf-les-bains
UNA Strassen
F91 Dudelange
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
UN Kaerjeng 97
US Hostert
Victoria Rosport
Swift Hesperange
Jeunesse Canach
Mamer
Union Titus Petange
Rodange 91
Résidence Walferdange
Wiltz