This opponent (Feyenoord) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
1.63
2.00
1.54
2.41
1.71
vs Stronger (2)
3.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
3.00
3.00
vs Similar (9)
1.44
2.78
1.60
2.60
1.25
3.00
vs Weaker (19)
2.53
1.11
2.14
1.00
2.75
1.17
Clean sheet %
13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.4%
Under 1.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
82.5%
Under 2.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.6%
Under 3.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
80.5%
No
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
1-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-2
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
PSV Eindhoven goals ↓
Feyenoord goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.7%
1.9%
2.7%
2.0%
1.1%
1
2.0%
6.2%
6.2%
4.5%
2.5%
2
3.0%
6.5%
7.1%
5.2%
2.8%
3
2.3%
5.0%
5.5%
4.0%
2.2%
4
1.3%
2.9%
3.1%
2.3%
1.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PSV Eindhoven goals (down), columns = Feyenoord goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Waalwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Eemdijk
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
ADO '20
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Groningen
1.50
TEC
1.50
MVV
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
Telstar
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Dovo
1.33
Kolping Boys
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
HBC
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
EVV
1.00
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Willem II
0.50
Laar
0.00
ACV
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Roda
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
HHC
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
UNA
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Huizen
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
GOES
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
URK
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DEM
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
SVBO
0.00
PSV Eindhoven is 0.25 points worse than Feyenoord in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
Waalwijk
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
ACV
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
Twente
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
TEC
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HBC
2.00
URK
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Eemdijk
1.75
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Kolping Boys
1.67
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Willem II
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Heracles
1.40
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Roda
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
UNA
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Huizen
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
DEM
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
SVBO
1.00
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Laar
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Emmen
0.00
TOGB
0.00
HHC
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
EVV
0.00
PSV Eindhoven is 1.50 goals better than Feyenoord in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
HHC
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Gemert
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Waalwijk
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
MVV
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Forum Sport
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Capelle
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
Huizen
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
HBC
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
DEM
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Willem II
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Eemdijk
2.50
Twente
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
TEC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SVBO
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
TOGB
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
UNA
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
GOES
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
URK
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
PSV Eindhoven is 0.08 goals better than Feyenoord in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PSV Eindhoven
For 7.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 18.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feyenoord
For 7.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.1 · Against 10.3 · Total 17.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PSV Eindhoven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.2
10.3
2.9
3.1
2.7
17.4
17.1
17.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.0
5.0
3.0
20.6
21.5
19.7
vs Weaker (38)
10.9
11.6
10.3
2.6
2.5
2.6
16.3
15.6
16.9
% over line
67%
74%
60%
36%
40%
32%
25%
22%
28%
% under line
33%
26%
40%
64%
60%
68%
75%
78%
72%
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.0
10.6
3.4
3.0
3.8
20.1
18.9
21.2
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
14.0
12.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
15.5
11.0
20.0
vs Similar (14)
9.6
8.7
10.4
4.0
3.3
4.7
22.4
22.1
22.7
vs Weaker (34)
11.2
11.9
10.6
3.2
2.8
3.5
19.4
17.9
20.7
% over line
71%
70%
72%
50%
48%
52%
38%
35%
40%
% under line
29%
30%
28%
50%
52%
48%
62%
65%
60%
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Vitesse
11.4
Waalwijk
11.2
Heracles
11.0
FC Volendam
11.0
Sparta Rotterdam
10.9
Feyenoord
10.9
NEC Nijmegen
10.8
Dordrecht
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.7
Cambuur
10.7
GO Ahead Eagles
10.6
Utrecht
10.5
Willem II
10.4
FC Eindhoven
10.4
Den Bosch
10.4
Telstar
10.3
Twente
10.3
FC OSS
10.3
Almere City FC
10.3
VVV Venlo
10.3
Emmen
10.2
PEC Zwolle
10.2
MVV
10.2
De Graafschap
10.2
Heerenveen
10.1
Roda
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
Helmond Sport
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.8
Groningen
9.6
NAC Breda
9.5
ADO Den Haag
9.5
AZ Alkmaar
9.3
Ajax
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.2
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Ajax
4.2
Cambuur
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
Feyenoord
3.9
Roda
3.8
Dordrecht
3.8
Helmond Sport
3.8
Emmen
3.7
Almere City FC
3.7
Den Bosch
3.7
Vitesse
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
Twente
3.6
Willem II
3.6
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
VVV Venlo
3.6
Groningen
3.6
FC OSS
3.6
Telstar
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
De Graafschap
3.5
Heracles
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.4
FC Volendam
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
MVV
3.3
Waalwijk
3.2
Heerenveen
3.2
FC Eindhoven
3.1
GO Ahead Eagles
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.1
ADO Den Haag
24.2
Dordrecht
24.2
Vitesse
24.0
FC OSS
23.9
Emmen
23.8
Helmond Sport
23.5
Cambuur
23.3
VVV Venlo
23.0
Roda
22.5
Almere City FC
22.2
MVV
22.1
Den Bosch
21.9
Ajax
21.9
Heracles
21.9
AZ Alkmaar
21.6
Groningen
21.5
NEC Nijmegen
21.0
Fortuna Sittard
20.9
FC Eindhoven
20.7
NAC Breda
20.6
PEC Zwolle
20.5
Heerenveen
20.5
De Graafschap
20.4
Utrecht
20.2
Feyenoord
20.1
Twente
20.1
Willem II
19.8
FC Volendam
19.7
GO Ahead Eagles
19.6
Waalwijk
19.0
Excelsior
18.8
Sparta Rotterdam
18.4
PSV Eindhoven
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.8%
Under 9.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PSV Eindhoven or Draw✓ Hit
62.4%
Avg Implied -
42%
21%
38%
covers PSV Eindhoven + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven or Feyenoord✓ Hit
79.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
21%
38%
covers PSV Eindhoven + Feyenoord
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Feyenoord✗ Miss
58.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
21%
38%
covers Draw + Feyenoord
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.0%
Under
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.8%
Under
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
64.3%
Under
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.4%
Under
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PSV Eindhoven, so a minus line means PSV Eindhoven give that many goals of a start and Feyenoord receive them. At -1, PSV Eindhoven must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PSV Eindhoven win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: Draw
PSV Eindhoven -2
12.4%
Draw -2
12.4%
Feyenoord +2
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven -1
24.8%
Draw -1
17.0%
Feyenoord +1
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven +1
62.4%
Draw +1
16.1%
Feyenoord -1
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PSV Eindhoven)Actual: PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven +2
78.4%
Draw +2
11.2%
Feyenoord -2
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PSV Eindhoven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.60
1.80
0.60
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
1.36
0.50
1.91
0.45
0.82
0.55
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.08
0.85
1.12
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.56
0.60
1.80
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (19)
1.32
0.42
1.29
0.29
1.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PSV Eindhoven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.63
1.80
0.33
1.47
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.88
1.00
0.25
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.95
0.55
2.09
0.36
1.82
0.73
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feyenoord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.87
0.92
0.69
1.29
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.22
1.00
0.80
0.50
1.75
vs Weaker (19)
1.21
0.68
0.86
0.71
1.42
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PSV Eindhoven
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tillman39%
Ricardo Pepi38%
Ivan Perišić35%
Luuk de Jong30%
Noa Lang29%
Hirving Lozano27%
Johan Bakayoko27%
Ismael Saibari26%
Guus Til19%
Couhaib Driouech15%
Isaac Babadi8%
Jerdy Schouten7%
Ryan Flamingo6%
Armando Obispo5%
Richard Ledezma3%
Joey Veerman3%
Olivier Boscagli2%
Mauro Júnior0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Walter Benítez0%
Joël Drommel0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Matteo Dams0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Dams18%
Ivan Perišić18%
Tyrell Malacia17%
Richard Ledezma16%
Isaac Babadi15%
Malik Tillman15%
Rick Karsdorp15%
Joey Veerman13%
Luuk de Jong11%
Jerdy Schouten11%
Olivier Boscagli9%
Armando Obispo9%
Mauro Júnior8%
Ismael Saibari7%
Noa Lang5%
Johan Bakayoko4%
Guus Til4%
Ryan Flamingo4%
Ricardo Pepi4%
Walter Benítez2%
Hirving Lozano0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Joël Drommel0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Couhaib Driouech0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismael Saibari29%
Noa Lang26%
Guus Til26%
Ivan Perišić24%
Joey Veerman21%
Luuk de Jong20%
Hirving Lozano18%
Sergiño Dest14%
Olivier Boscagli14%
Mauro Júnior14%
Ricardo Pepi12%
Rick Karsdorp10%
Malik Tillman9%
Isaac Babadi8%
Jerdy Schouten7%
Couhaib Driouech5%
Johan Bakayoko4%
Ryan Flamingo4%
Richard Ledezma3%
Armando Obispo0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Walter Benítez0%
Joël Drommel0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Matteo Dams0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luuk de Jong48%
Guus Til28%
Hirving Lozano27%
Ricardo Pepi27%
Ismael Saibari26%
Malik Tillman21%
Johan Bakayoko18%
Noa Lang17%
Ivan Perišić15%
Joey Veerman8%
Couhaib Driouech5%
Armando Obispo5%
Ryan Flamingo4%
Mauro Júnior3%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Walter Benítez0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Joël Drommel0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Jerdy Schouten0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Richard Ledezma0%
Fredrik Oppegård0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Isaac Babadi0%
Esmir Bajraktarević0%
Matteo Dams0%
Tygo Land0%
Wessel Kuhn0%
Feyenoord
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Santiago Giménez50%
Igor Paixão30%
Ayase Ueda27%
Anis Hadj Moussa23%
Quinten Timber23%
Aymen Sliti20%
Julián Carranza17%
Jakub Moder16%
Ibrahim Osman12%
Antoni Milambo12%
Zepiqueno Redmond11%
In-Beom Hwang10%
Givairo Read9%
Jordan Lotomba9%
Dávid Hancko9%
Calvin Stengs7%
Luka Ivanušec5%
Gernot Trauner4%
Ramiz Zerrouki4%
Thomas Beelen2%
Timon Wellenreuther0%
Justin Bijlow0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Bart Nieuwkoop0%
Gijs Smal0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Facundo González0%
Jeyland Mitchell0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
Stéphano Carrillo0%
Gjivai Zechiël0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gernot Trauner25%
Quinten Timber23%
Jeyland Mitchell22%
In-Beom Hwang20%
Ibrahim Osman16%
Calvin Stengs13%
Bart Nieuwkoop13%
Dávid Hancko13%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zepiqueno Redmond11%
Ramiz Zerrouki11%
Jakub Moder11%
Julián Carranza10%
Anis Hadj Moussa9%
Gijs Smal8%
Chris-Kévin Nadje8%
Gjivai Zechiël8%
Timon Wellenreuther7%
Antoni Milambo7%
Hugo Bueno7%
Givairo Read6%
Thomas Beelen2%
Jordan Lotomba0%
Igor Paixão0%
Luka Ivanušec0%
Justin Bijlow0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Ayase Ueda0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Facundo González0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
Stéphano Carrillo0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Paixão26%
Gjivai Zechiël15%
Antoni Milambo15%
Calvin Stengs13%
Bart Nieuwkoop13%
Hugo Bueno13%
Gijs Smal13%
Givairo Read12%
Santiago Giménez11%
Jakub Moder11%
Jordan Lotomba9%
Quilindschy Hartman8%
Ramiz Zerrouki7%
Anis Hadj Moussa7%
In-Beom Hwang7%
Ibrahim Osman6%
Dávid Hancko4%
Quinten Timber4%
Gernot Trauner4%
Julián Carranza3%
Ayase Ueda3%
Thomas Beelen2%
Timon Wellenreuther2%
Luka Ivanušec0%
Justin Bijlow0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Facundo González0%
Jeyland Mitchell0%
Zepiqueno Redmond0%
Stéphano Carrillo0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Igor Paixão39%
Santiago Giménez39%
Ayase Ueda17%
Quinten Timber15%
Dávid Hancko13%
Zepiqueno Redmond11%
Julián Carranza10%
Anis Hadj Moussa9%
Jordan Lotomba9%
Jakub Moder5%
Luka Ivanušec5%
Antoni Milambo5%
Gernot Trauner4%
Ibrahim Osman3%
In-Beom Hwang0%
Timon Wellenreuther0%
Calvin Stengs0%
Justin Bijlow0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Bart Nieuwkoop0%
Gijs Smal0%
Ramiz Zerrouki0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Facundo González0%
Jeyland Mitchell0%
Thomas Beelen0%
Givairo Read0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
Stéphano Carrillo0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Gjivai Zechiël0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
PSV Eindhoven's squad is €51m more valuable than Feyenoord's (€280m vs €229m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
PSV Eindhoven's attack is €13m more valuable than Feyenoord's (€106m vs €93m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
PSV Eindhoven's midfield is €16m more valuable than Feyenoord's (€60m vs €43m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
PSV Eindhoven's defence is €21m more valuable than Feyenoord's (€115m vs €93m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajax
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag