Puskas Academy face Ferencvarosi TC with the model predicting an away win. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively encounter, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.6 % chance. Home form shows a 1.0 average goal scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger opposition, while Ferencvarosi, playing away against weaker foes, averages 2.4 goals for and 1.0 against. The probabilities for the match outcome are 18 % home win, 23 % draw, and 60 % away win. Recent form hints at momentum: Puskas Academy are on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Vasas 1-0, whereas Ferencvarosi are on a two-game winning run after a 1-0 win over Trabzonspor. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.8 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.0 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (96.0 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.8 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.0 % with a 5 % edge), and Away +2 handicap (93.3 %).
Results analysis
The win extends Ferencvarosi TC’s four-game winning run, while Puskas Academy returns to the field after a defeat. The model’s favourite was an away win with a 60% probability, and it proved correct as the final score was 1-2. The model’s selection of Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6%, Under 7.5 at 98.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%, Under 6.5 at 96.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4%, and Away +2 handicap at 93.6%. All nine picks settled, each achieving its predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Puskas Academy win✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.42
Edge
-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.80
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.50
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.61
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.87
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Dafabet
3.65
Betano
3.65
Ferencvarosi TC win✓ Hit
60.4%
Avg Implied 47.8% · @ 1.92
Edge
+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Dafabet
1.96
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Puskas Academy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.13
1.21
1.43
1.44
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.27
1.12
1.23
1.38
1.31
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
-
-
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.87
2.13
0.47
1.87
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.12
2.50
0.50
1.00
1.75
vs Weaker (22)
2.09
0.77
2.00
0.45
2.18
1.09
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
@ 1.18+4.1%
Under 1.5
17.2%
@ 4.37-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.59
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.61+2.6%
Under 2.5
39.5%
@ 2.21-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
@ 2.50+1.0%
Under 3.5
61.9%
@ 1.48-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
@ 1.54-2.1%
No
42.4%
@ 2.29+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
No
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%@ 6.58+3.9%
1-2 ✓
9.9%@ 7.58+4.2%
0-2
9.5%@ 9.86+5.1%
0-1
8.2%@ 8.44+3.0%
1-3
6.9%@ 12.28+3.4%
0-3
6.6%@ 15.89+3.9%
0-0
5.3%@ 12.63+1.9%
2-2
5.2%@ 10.87+1.2%
Puskas Academy goals ↓
Ferencvarosi TC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
8.2%
9.5%
6.6%
3.5%
1
3.6%
10%
9.9%
6.9%
3.6%
2
2.4%
5.0%
5.2%
3.6%
1.9%
3
0.8%
1.7%
1.8%
1.2%
0.7%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Puskas Academy goals (down), columns = Ferencvarosi TC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Puskas Academy and Ferencvarosi TC are level in average points per game (both 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Puskas Academy is 0.07 goals better than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Puskas Academy is 0.33 goals worse than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Puskas Academy is 12.4 percentage points worse than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of average possession (45% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Puskas Academy
For 5.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.9 · Against 9.7 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ferencvarosi TC
For 4.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Puskas Academy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.6
10.1
3.7
3.2
4.1
27.8
26.7
28.9
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
11.0
9.0
3.5
3.0
3.7
33.0
32.0
33.3
vs Similar (43)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.0
3.4
4.5
27.3
26.4
28.1
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
59%
53%
65%
50%
39%
59%
82%
68%
95%
% under line
41%
47%
35%
50%
61%
41%
18%
32%
5%
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.5
9.1
3.7
3.2
4.2
26.8
26.1
27.5
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
9.0
-
9.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (13)
9.8
11.0
8.4
4.5
5.0
4.0
25.6
24.2
27.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.7
10.2
9.2
3.2
2.6
3.9
27.4
27.1
27.8
% over line
54%
67%
42%
50%
46%
54%
86%
89%
84%
% under line
46%
33%
58%
50%
54%
46%
14%
11%
16%
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Puskas Academy
9.8
MTK Budapest
9.8
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Budapest Honved
9.5
Ferencvarosi TC
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.0
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ujpest
26.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Gyori ETO FC
24.2
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.4%
@ 1.80-4.9%
Under 9.5
53.6%
@ 1.90+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Puskas Academy or Draw✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.79
Edge
-11.9%
17%
22%
60%
covers Puskas Academy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.85
Unibet
1.84
10Bet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Puskas Academy or Ferencvarosi TC✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.23
Edge
+2.3%
17%
22%
60%
covers Puskas Academy + Ferencvarosi TC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Draw or Ferencvarosi TC✓ Hit
82.8%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
+9.6%
17%
22%
60%
covers Draw + Ferencvarosi TC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.7%
@ 1.31-6.0%
Under
35.3%
@ 3.16+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.0%
@ 2.52-8.9%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.47+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.60
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 5.67-7.5%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.10+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Puskas Academy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 13.75-4.7%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.6%
@ 1.15+6.4%
Under
12.4%
@ 4.95-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.70
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.6%
@ 1.76+9.0%
Under
38.4%
@ 1.96-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.6%
@ 3.33+6.8%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.28-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.8%
@ 6.92+2.4%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.08-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.60
1xBet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Puskas Academy, so a minus line means Puskas Academy give that many goals of a start and Ferencvarosi TC receive them. At -1, Puskas Academy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Puskas Academy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +2 (Puskas Academy)Actual: Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy +2
62.0%
@ 1.29-7.1%
Draw +2
18.6%
@ 5.28+1.8%
Ferencvarosi TC -2
19.3%
@ 6.33+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Superbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.25
Unibet
6.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Puskas Academy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.57
0.50
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.50
0.62
0.54
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.43
1.13
0.27
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.62
1.25
0.00
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
1.23
0.36
1.09
0.36
1.36
0.36
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.2%
@ 1.28+1.9%
Under 0.5
25.8%
@ 3.35-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.5%
@ 2.34-3.1%
Under 1.5
63.5%
@ 1.54+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.31
Under
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 5.29-2.0%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.13+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
Under
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 2.14-3.9%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.64+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Unibet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 6.60-4.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.07+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 20.50-3.3%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.1%
@ 1.71-0.2%
Under
45.9%
@ 2.02+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 4.46-3.7%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.17+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.55
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.30
Under
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 11.75-3.8%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Puskas Academy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.64
0.93
0.62
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.85
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.86
0.41
0.91
0.09
0.82
0.73
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.16+0.6%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 4.57-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.65
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.3%
@ 1.82-3.7%
Under 1.5
52.7%
@ 1.89+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 3.47-5.1%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.26+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 1.79-5.0%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.91+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 4.88-6.1%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.14+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 13.50-4.2%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.0%
@ 1.49-6.4%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.47+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.3%
@ 3.27-5.0%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.29+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 8.20-5.7%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.6%
1.15
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
84.2%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.0%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.8%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
82.8%
1.26
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
82.8%
1.26
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.4%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.6%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.29
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+5.0%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
1.33
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.2%
1.28
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
72.0%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
+8.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Puskas Academy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lamin Colley50%
Georgiy Harutyunyan40%
Palkó Dárdai20%
Dániel Lukács20%
András Németh20%
Martin Kern20%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Michael Okeke0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Roland Orján0%
Zsombor Varga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roland Orján67%
Martin Kern60%
Lamin Colley50%
Laros Duarte25%
Wojciech Golla20%
András Németh20%
Michael Okeke20%
Zsombor Varga20%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Palkó Dárdai0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Urho Nissilä33%
Roland Szolnoki25%
Palkó Dárdai20%
Dániel Lukács20%
András Németh20%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Lamin Colley0%
Michael Okeke0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Martin Kern0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Roland Orján0%
Zsombor Varga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lamin Colley25%
Dániel Lukács20%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Palkó Dárdai0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
András Németh0%
Michael Okeke0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Martin Kern0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Roland Orján0%
Zsombor Varga0%
Ferencvarosi TC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Krisztián Lisztes67%
K. Zachariassen33%
M. Gómez25%
M. Corbu25%
Yusuf Bamidele25%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
Cadu0%
Z. Varga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Corbu50%
K. Zachariassen33%
C. O'Dowda33%
Cadu33%
Krisztián Lisztes33%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
Yusuf Bamidele0%
Z. Varga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cadu67%
Yusuf Bamidele25%
K. Zachariassen0%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
M. Corbu0%
Krisztián Lisztes0%
Z. Varga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yusuf Bamidele50%
Krisztián Lisztes33%
Z. Varga33%
M. Corbu25%
K. Zachariassen0%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
Cadu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Puskas Academy's squad is €29m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€11m vs €40m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Puskas Academy's attack is €19m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€5m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Puskas Academy's midfield is €5m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€2m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Puskas Academy's defence is €5m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€4m vs €9m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ujpest
Gyori ETO FC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE