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Queen of Sth vs FC Edinburgh Result & Analysis

Date: 04/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
QO
Queen of Sth
Vs
32%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FE
FC Edinburgh
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queen of Sth win✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.76
Edge
-20.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.76
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 3.98
Edge
+20.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W15L40W11D12L25L10W12L01L31WA·FC 05/11A·ALL12/11H·MON19/11A·DUN03/12H·KEL17/12A·FAL23/12H·CLY31/12H·ALL07/01A·MON14/01A·PET28/01
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.671.431.361.501.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.461.691.451.271.472.00
vs Weaker (4)1.501.501.331.672.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L02L43W20W22D40W53W01L12L12LH·QUE05/11A·FAL12/11H·ALL19/11A·CLY03/12H·MON17/12H·PET24/12A·AIR02/01H·DUN07/01A·ALL14/01H·FAL28/01
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.911.481.671.502.181.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.901.621.641.642.201.60
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.8%
@ 1.64+7.7%
Under 2.5
35.2%
@ 2.19-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.5%
No
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
Queen of Sth goals ↓
FC Edinburgh goals →
01234
04.5%5.4%5.8%3.5%1.6%
14.4%11%8.9%5.3%2.4%
24.2%7.5%6.8%4.1%1.9%
32.1%3.8%3.5%2.1%0.9%
40.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of Sth goals (down), columns = FC Edinburgh goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
Queen of Sth is 0.08 points better than FC Edinburgh in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
Queen of Sth is 0.03 goals worse than FC Edinburgh in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
Queen of Sth is 0.11 goals worse than FC Edinburgh in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

For 6.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 12.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1906382952551464105536710691014719101581316A·PETA·MONH·ALLH·CLYA·FALH·KELA·DUNH·MONA·ALLA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70211113222313431213213424743A·PETA·MONH·ALLH·CLYA·FALH·KELA·DUNH·MONA·ALLA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 7.7 · Total 17.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

240121013755141011811687108548122220102419171518920A·PETA·MONH·ALLH·CLYA·FALH·KELA·DUNH·MONA·ALLA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FE
FC Edinburgh

For 3.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

160335368453275447176106861289911816H·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·AIRH·PETH·MONA·CLYH·ALLA·FALH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8042162112241124038101453H·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·AIRH·PETH·MONA·CLYH·ALLA·FALH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 9.3 · Total 18.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

240414511119121087881388915912818162022151621172420H·FALA·ALLH·DUNA·AIRH·PETH·MONA·CLYH·ALLA·FALH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.810.93.02.93.220.120.220.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.910.311.43.03.03.019.719.719.8
vs Weaker (6)6.26.85.03.22.25.023.023.023.0
% over line62%60%64%34%28%40%38%40%36%
% under line38%40%36%66%72%60%62%60%64%
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)9.49.79.23.42.84.018.718.319.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)9.49.69.23.42.64.318.417.919.0
vs Weaker (2)9.510.09.03.05.01.022.023.021.0
% over line43%42%45%43%33%55%30%17%45%
% under line57%58%55%57%67%45%70%83%55%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.5
Falkirk
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.3
Alloa
10.2
Peterhead
10.2
Dunfermline
10.0
Montrose
9.9
Clyde
9.9
FC Edinburgh
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.3
Falkirk
4.2
Clyde
4.1
Montrose
3.7
Kelty Hearts
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Airdrie United
3.4
FC Edinburgh
3.4
Queen of Sth
3.0
Alloa
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.2
Montrose
23.0
Clyde
22.1
Falkirk
22.1
Kelty Hearts
21.6
Dunfermline
20.7
Queen of Sth
20.1
Alloa
19.1
FC Edinburgh
18.7
Airdrie United
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
33.2%
Under 21.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D20W10W10W22D00D10W00D01LA·FC 05/11A·ALL12/11H·MON19/11A·DUN03/12H·KEL17/12A·FAL23/12H·CLY31/12H·ALL07/01A·MON14/01A·PET28/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.710.570.690.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.650.730.640.450.670.93
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D13L10W10W10W22D01L02L00DH·QUE05/11A·FAL12/11H·ALL19/11A·CLY03/12H·MON17/12H·PET24/12A·AIR02/01H·DUN07/01A·ALL14/01H·FAL28/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.650.500.670.820.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.620.710.450.730.800.70
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W04L20W01L02L03L10W02L01L30WA·FC 05/11A·ALL12/11H·MON19/11A·DUN03/12H·KEL17/12A·FAL23/12H·CLY31/12H·ALL07/01A·MON14/01A·PET28/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.710.790.811.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.960.820.820.801.07
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.330.671.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Edinburgh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FE
FC Edinburgh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L30W10W12L30W31W00D10W12LH·QUE05/11A·FAL12/11H·ALL19/11A·CLY03/12H·MON17/12H·PET24/12A·AIR02/01H·DUN07/01A·ALL14/01H·FAL28/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.260.831.170.831.360.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.290.901.180.911.400.90
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Edinburgh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls90.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.585.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards84.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls80.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
KH (4)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
KH (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
QOS wins
0
Draws
0
FE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queen of Sth vs FC Edinburgh · H/A from QOS
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22AFC Edinburgh Vs QOS0-3
17/09/22HQOS Vs FC Edinburgh4-1

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23APeterhead Vs QOS1-3
14/01/23AMontrose Vs QOS1-0
07/01/23HQOS Vs Alloa1-2
31/12/22HQOS Vs Clyde1-0
23/12/22AFalkirk Vs QOS5-2
17/12/22HQOS Vs Kelty Hearts1-2
03/12/22ADunfermline Vs QOS1-1
19/11/22HQOS Vs Montrose4-0
12/11/22AAlloa Vs QOS5-1
05/11/22AFC Edinburgh Vs QOS0-3

FE
FC Edinburgh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23HFE Vs Falkirk1-2
14/01/23AAlloa Vs FE2-1
07/01/23HFE Vs Dunfermline0-1
02/01/23AAirdrie United Vs FE3-5
24/12/22HFE Vs Peterhead4-0
17/12/22HFE Vs Montrose2-2
03/12/22AClyde Vs FE0-2
19/11/22HFE Vs Alloa4-3
12/11/22AFalkirk Vs FE2-0
05/11/22HFE Vs Queen of Sth0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.06
HomeLWLWL1.12
AwayLDLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.822.323.32
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %30%16%44%
Scored1.261.121.40
Conceded1.561.201.92
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners10.349.7610.92
Cards3.042.883.20
FE
FC Edinburgh
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.65
HomeWDWLL1.58
AwayDLWWL1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%50%55%
AVG goals3.393.173.64
Over 1.5 %91%92%91%
Over 2.5 %61%67%55%
Over 3.5 %35%33%36%
Scored1.911.672.18
Conceded1.481.501.45
BTTS43%33%55%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners9.439.679.18
Cards3.392.834.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3681
64%
2.2
6321+42
2.3
78%
33%
19%
10.6
47%
3.8
44%
19.6
36%
4
2021.80.6
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3667
53%
1.9
7039+31
3.0
83%
61%
44%
10.1
61%
3.9
64%
21.9
56%
6
2131.91.1
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3660
47%
1.7
8251+31
3.7
86%
58%
53%
10.4
56%
3.2
36%
18.0
19%
0
0002.31.4
-
4
A
Alloa
3657
47%
1.6
5647+9
2.9
78%
50%
33%
9.7
53%
2.8
39%
18.0
22%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
QO
Queen of Sth
3654
44%
1.5
5959+0
3.3
83%
64%
44%
9.9
53%
3.7
50%
20.0
39%
0
0001.61.6
-
6
FE
FC Edinburgh
3651
42%
1.4
6055+5
3.2
86%
61%
33%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.2
31%
0
0001.71.5
-
7MontroseMontrose3648
36%
1.3
5055-5
2.9
81%
64%
33%
10.3
56%
4.1
64%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3640
28%
1.1
3954-15
2.6
75%
58%
19%
10.7
67%
3.6
44%
22.6
53%
1
1001.11.5
-
9ClydeClyde3624
14%
0.7
3568-33
2.9
81%
58%
31%
10.5
53%
3.7
44%
21.2
47%
0
0001.01.9
-
10PeterheadPeterhead3616
8%
0.4
1984-65
2.9
86%
53%
33%
9.9
56%
4.1
58%
22.1
61%
0
0000.52.3
-
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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